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Preseason BlogPoll: First Draft

We have something new happening at ATQ this year.  The most common debates in college football always have to do with rankings.  Its part of what makes college football so much fun.  Most commonly, we follow the AP and coaches polls, wonder what the hell they were thinking, and talk about how everything would be wonderful if only we had a vote in the elusive poll.

Well, this year we do.  Sort of.  A few years ago, some of the big hitters in the college football blogosphere decided to create a poll that college bloggers could participate in, and the blog poll was born.  This is the third year of the poll.

This year, ATQ was selected to participate in the poll.  If you look on the left sidebar under the schedule, you can see the participants this year.  These blogs are the cream of the crop in the college blogosphere, and to be included among them is truly an honor.  Anyway, these differ in the AP and coaches polls in four ways:

  1. Unlike the coaches, we actually watch other teams play.
  2. Unlike the AP, we wait until Wednesday to publish our polls, letting what happened over the weekend digest, instead of rushing it out the next day.
  3. We are held accountable to the other poll memebers.  This means that we are constantly asked to explain and defend our choices to our colleagues.  We don't just get to mail it in.
  4. You will see our votes every week, and we have to explain and defend them to you, as well.  Your input in the comments will be taken into account in my votes.

    With that said, here are my thoughts regarding my preseason ballot:

    Rank Team Delta
    1 Southern Cal 25
    2 LSU 24
    3 Michigan 23
    4 Texas 22
    5 Wisconsin 21
    6 West Virginia 20
    7 Florida 19
    8 Georgia 18
    9 Hawaii 17
    10 Oklahoma 16
    11 Louisville 15
    12 Nebraska 14
    13 Virginia Tech 13
    14 Ohio State 12
    15 Oregon 11
    16 Arizona State 10
    17 Tennessee 9
    18 Auburn 8
    19 Rutgers 7
    20 Penn State 6
    21 Alabama 5
    22 Boston College 4
    23 California 3
    24 Boise State 2
    25 Florida State 1

    Dropped Out:
    The first poll isn't due until August 22nd, so I welcome your comments and suggestions, as I may change this a bit before making my submission final.

    I think that SC has the most talent in the land. Regarding other Pac-10 schools:  It is my belief that a healthy defense and a confident Dennis Dixon puts Oregon no worse than #3 in the conference.  I also am falling for ASU, which is usually dangerous.  However, I respect Dennis Erickson so much that I just see them being a big mover this year.

    On the flip side, I don't have Cal ranked as high because I think that the loss of Marshawn Lynch is going to hurt this team more than people realize.  I also don't have UCLA or OSU ranked, while a lot of people do.  I don't trust OSU's QB situation and we don't know what's going on with Sammie Stroughter.  As for UCLA, I don't see what the hype is.  They've done nothing to suggest that they'll be any good, and the fact that Karl Dorrell is their coach makes it even less likely.

    On other teams, I may have Hawaii too high, and Va. Tech too low.  And even at #5, I may have Wisconsin too low as well.

    Anyway, I'd love to have your input in the comments.  My final poll isn't due until the 22nd, I want you to convince me that I'm right or wrong, and ask me to defend my picks.  Happy debating.

    GO DUCKS!!!

    --Dave

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I think you're right...
...Hawaii is way too high.

They're a good team, fairly likely to run the table and crash the BCS, but I'm having a tough time buying that there are only eight teams in the country that are better.

I live in Columbus (but hate Ohio State), so I should have a pretty good read on what to make of tOSU.  Unfortunately, though, I don't.  Their defense is ridiculously good, they're always terrific on special teams, they've got some potential big-time playmakers on the outside.  What they don't have is a quarterback.  I watched Rob Schoenhoft and Todd Boeckman quite a bit in high school and came away distinctly unimpressed.  Think "Poor Man's Justin Zwick".

If tOSU can run the ball well and avoid turnovers, the defense is good enough that they're a legit BCS team again.  (Sigh.)  So I'd maybe bump them up a couple spots.  Maybe.

By the way, I voted in the Blogpoll the last two years.  I'm out of the poll now - I don't have time to blog anymore - but it's really a lot of fun.

by thejamootz on Aug 17, 2007 2:58 PM PDT reply actions  

yeah
that's why its a draft.  My heart always wants to put midmajors way to high.  I still think that Hawaii's a better team than many people give them credit for, but I'm really considering putting them in the 15 range.

by David Piper on Aug 17, 2007 3:08 PM PDT up reply actions  

Yeah, drop Hawaii a bit
I think that Hawaii is a bit underrated but definitely not a top 10 team. I think Boise State will run the WAC again this year and beat Hawaii so I say BSU should be in the top 15 above Hawaii.

I think its great that you have faith in Oregon but I would keep them out of the top 25 until they prove themselves a bit this year. A little too homerish for my liking.

Oklahoma seems to have a cakewalk schedule this year with the exception of @ Texas. I think they will be overrated but will have a decent record.

Your biggest oversight in my opinion is Arkansas. They had a 7-1 record in the SEC last year and have top Heisman candidate McFadden. I think they should be in the top 15.

by albanyduck on Aug 17, 2007 5:13 PM PDT reply actions  

you may be right about Arkansas
interestingly enough, several other blogpoll voters have Oregon right around where I do.  Its not so much about what a team did last year, as much as its about what you think they'll do this  year.  While the previous year is a factor, I think Oregon, and Arizona State for that matter, have fixed a lot of their problems, while I think UCLA, another unproven team that many have highly rated, do not.

Regarding Arkansas, they are definitely a team I will keep an eye on.  That may be an oversight and I may change my poll to reflect that.

by David Piper on Aug 17, 2007 5:29 PM PDT up reply actions  

Unfounately...
I can't agree with Oregon at 15th and Cal 23rd. Oregon lost their last 4 games including a blowout in a bowl, where Cal returns their 3 WR's and QB and a solid RB, plus ended with a strong performance in the Holiday Bowl. I'm a huge Oregon fan, however, with questions marks on D and at the QB position, 15th seems a little high.  As for Hawaii, they don't play anyone until the BSU game, so they will huver in the top 15 for most of the season.

by socalduck on Aug 20, 2007 8:22 AM PDT reply actions  

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