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The Future of Oregon Basketball

What a frustrating game.  A ten point lead at halftime, and absolutely no reason to lose this game.  But in the second half we were outcoached--woefully.

This game was a mirror of the season.  In no game have we failed to compete.  We have had the athletes and the talent to win every game.  UCLA, USC, WSU--we were right there in all those games, and faltered in the end.  The same thing happened tonight.  The problem isn't the players.  The problem is the plan--or total lack thereof.

We shot a whopping 38 three pointers tonight.  On 64 field goal attempts.  Of those 38, we made 9.  Taylor:  1-7.  Leunen:  1-6.  Porter:  4-13.  That's a whole lot of missed shots.  I'll put aside the question of why we shot 22 threes in the second half in spite of a double digit lead.  But what's more frustrating is that there was no plan in place for when those threes stop falling.  The only response that we had tonight was to shoot more threes.  And its been that way all season.  Why was Malik--a beast down low--not posting up other guards and small forwards all season?  Why did Oregon continue to play the point all season when its clear that his strengths are at shooting guard coming off screens and spotting up?  Why are we a freelance team with very few offensive sets?  Why do we not have a competent center (no offense to Maarty--he's great.  But how great would he be as a power forward with a center playing next to him?).  

What makes teams like UCLA or Stanford so good is execution.  They have a plan.  They have sets to get them good shots at the end of games.  If they're not shooting well, they stay in games because they play excellent defense and rebound well.  If they are shooting well, then its lights out.

Our style is much like that of a pickup game.  It can be very exciting, and you can score a bunch of points in a hurry.  But, as we saw tonight, its excruciatingly painful when the shots aren't falling.  They're all long shots which not only makes offensive rebounding more difficult--but often lead to fast breaks on the other end.  We got manhandled on the interior--Charles Rhodes was amazing--but its also a product of bad defensive principles.  We played haven't played great defense since Fred Litzenberger left.  And, instead of putting out a lot of pressure defensively, we use a lot of zones and gimmicks.  And instead of stepping up the pressure when our shots aren't falling, our defense actually gets a bit worse.

In spite of all that, we've been in almost every game this season.  But, we've seen that our plan is inadequate.  The only times we've been great down the stretch is when we've had dynamic individual playmakers who could single-handedly take over a game--Freddie Jones and Aaron Brooks.  I guarantee you not every team has that.  Stanford doesn't.  WSU doesn't.  But they have a plan, and are able to play excellent defense and get good shots by executing their sets down the stretch.  We can't win without AB to take the game over.

I've been a big EK defender.  And I don't see any way that he's not back next season.  But, its also clear that unless he changes things, he is not going to take us to the next level.  EK is a great recruiter.  Now he needs to swallow his pride, shake up his coaching staff, and give his assistants some power.  Get one who's a good strategist, and one who's a good big man coach.  EK recruits and is the face of the program, these other guys get a lot of the gritty work done.  See, Ernie, I've stood by you.  I've defended you on the blog.  I feel like we owe you a lot for taking us to levels we've never seen before.  But learn, dammit, learn.  Grow as a coach.  Recognize your weaknesses.  Its okay to have weaknesses--every coach does.  But, instead of being stubborn, put people around you who can compliment you by making up for those shortcomings.  Its not a bad thing to need help.  In fact, it makes you a better coach.

For Maarty, Malik, Bryce, Mitch, and Ray, thank you.  Two NCAA tournaments, an elite eight, and a Pac-10 tournament championship--few Oregon players can boast the accomplishments the you guys do.  But you deserved better this year.  How can we blame them for continuing to jack up threes--they weren't taught any better.  Hopefully, a few of them can stick in the NBA.  But I wish all of them the best of luck in life.  They stuck around, graduated, and have represented our University with class.

We have a ton of talent next year, and there is a lot to look forward to.  I dream of Javon Catron becoming a Robert Johnson type enforcer.  I dream of Michael Dunigan becoming the best big man in the conference.  I dream of TP returning to form as the best pure shooter in the country--playing his natural position off the ball.  I dream of Kamyron Brown as an elite point guard.  And LeKendric Longmire as a lock down defender.  And of all that coming together into a versatile team that can beat you in so many ways--and if one's not working, they simply pound you with another.

All the talent is there.  And you deserve the credit for bringing that talent in, Ernie.  But this season--with three big time senior starters--was unacceptable.  Make sure it doesn't happen again.  Get the people in here who can help you.  Its not a pride issue--in fact, you'll get tons of credit for it.  Just look what scrapping the traditional offense and hiring a guy like Chip Kelly did for Bellotti.  He went from on the hot seat to people being scared shitless that he was going to leave.

Your legacy is assured for taking the Ducks to this level.  And we are all grateful for that.  But, if you want to be the one to take the next step, get some help.  After all, your job depends on it.  There are rumors out that many boosters don't really care for you.  Wouldn't it be great to shove it in everyone's face and take Oregon to that next level.  

Otherwise, it may be Mark Few opening that new arena.

GO DUCKS!!!

--Dave

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Mark Few?
You mean the Zags Mark Few?  Thought he loved it in Spokomton.

by DuckinNC on Mar 22, 2008 6:11 AM PDT   0 recs

Great Idea
I love the idea of shaking up the coaching staff, bring in a couple of vets as assistants.  

If not lets go after Bruce Pearl

by tdawg on Mar 22, 2008 9:23 AM PDT   0 recs

Mike Montgomery
What about him?  I know Mark Few is on everyone's list but Montgomery has proven himself a little more.

by pointguard10 on Mar 22, 2008 10:51 AM PDT   0 recs

interesting
I forgot about him.  
I don't think Ernie's going anywhere, but if he wants to stick around, he needs an assistant that can actually coach to make up for Ernie and his obvious lack of coaching.
No offensive plays or sets is just mid-boggling.  I've said all year that they should have been playing a high/low game with Malik and Maarty, the great thing being that either one can be successful down low or up high.

Bruce Pearl is a jackass and will bring only NCAA sanctions, don't wish for that.  I'd rather have Ernie and his deficiencies than Pearl.

by kddean on Mar 22, 2008 11:12 AM PDT to parent up   0 recs

Right on w/Montgomery
That would be a great choice for Oregon or anybody else.  He can recruit, teach and coach and would love living in Eugene.
Go Ducks!!

by twinsfan58 on Mar 22, 2008 12:05 PM PDT   0 recs

kelley
Ernie doesn't need a Chip Kelly to revamp the offense, he needs defensive a defensive assistant, a la Nick Allioti.

Oh, wait.  let's all just forget I made that comparison, ok?

I don't fault Ernie for running the offense he did this year.  It's about the only thing you can do in today's NCAA era of skilled 7 footers, when Maarty is your only real big-man.  Had Platt or Schaefer ever matured into a Chris Christofferson-type center, this team would have been great.

If Dunigan or Crittle can play D, and Ernie brings someone in to teach them the fundamentals, the new class can be really really good for the next few years.  I'm really looking forward to less matchup zone and more steals, blocks, and transition buckets.

by gribbit1 on Mar 22, 2008 2:00 PM PDT   0 recs

Hold on folks
I said nothing about firing Ernie.  I don't advocate that, nor do I want to see it happen.  I want this to work with Ernie.  But he's got to realize that he needs some help to make that happen.

by Addicted to Quack on Mar 22, 2008 3:40 PM PDT   0 recs

the coaching tree
I agree.  EK's not so bad.

with a mature point guard, EK's teams are unstoppable.  The keys to the good times under Ernie  were Luke Ridnour and AB.  

If Ernie had an assistant who could coach big men, we could be a national force.  Unfortunately, they keep leaving.  EK actually has quite the coaching tree going on.  

I haven't done any research on this, but it seems past UO/EK assistants are head-coaching two NCAA tournament teams: Texas A&M and Boise State.  Add in that he lost one to UCLA (incidentally, home of lots of great big men) and you can see that he's actually quite the talent developer in the coaching industry.  

by gribbit1 on Mar 22, 2008 5:15 PM PDT to parent up   0 recs

Ernie
I like Ernie and I do believe he should stay.  This year was not completely his fault.  I am saying i believe some it was but not all of it.  As everyone has mentioned, the Ducks this year did not have a true go to guy down the stretch.  

by pointguard10 on Mar 23, 2008 2:07 AM PDT   0 recs

Sounds very familiar
Perhaps I am dating myself a bit here, but this situation seems very familiar to football in the late 80's/early 90's (when I was at UO).  Rich Brooks did a great job getting us to a certain level.  One of going to bowl games, but couldn't get over the hump to national respect.  It took our next coach to make that happen on a regular basis.  I suspect that we wouldn't have made it without Brooks.  My friends in Kentucky have the exact same feeling about him right now!

Perhaps EK is that same person.  Took us to a decent level, but may not be able to take us to consistent national respect.  Not sure I am ready to give up on him yet, but it is quite frustrating to be outside the west coast and realize how people forget our bball team exists!

Just my two cents.

by rod1916 on Mar 23, 2008 7:02 PM PDT   0 recs

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