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Fact or Fiction: will weather affect the Oregon-USC game?

To borrow a topic idea from dvieira's posts...

FACT OR FICTION:

The weather in Eugene will affect the outcome of the USC-Oregon game on Saturday.

The weather report for Saturday (I realize that this is Fall weather in Oregon and that it could change 20 times by then...) calls for showers and a high of 58. Light winds around 10mph out of the WSW.

Just in case you need statistical facts on Jeremiah Masoli, I lead you here to Paul SF's article last month.

A list of thoughts that I had while contemplating this topic:

  • Will SoCal boy, Matt Barkley be able to throw in cool, wet weather?
  • Does this weather mean more of a running attack for both teams, and if so, who is more likely to succeed running the ball?
  • Does Chip Kelly not care about rain and ask Masoli to throw the ball to start the game as he has in the past few games?
  • Will wet weather affect coaches' decisions to go-for-it on 4th downs, rather than kick FGs in certain situations?

What are your thoughts? Vote FACT or FICTION and give your reasons in the comments.

GO DUCKS!

Poll
The weather in Eugene will affect the outcome of the USC-Oregon game on Saturday.
FACT
82 votes
FICTION
37 votes

119 votes | Poll has closed

This is a FanPost and does not necessarily reflect the views of SB Nation or the Addicted To Quack Moderators. FanPost opinions are valued expressions of opinion by passionate and knowledgeable Oregon fans.

Comment 36 comments  |  0 recs  | 

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But I thought it never rained in Autzen?

To go out and ruin somebody's dreams like that, it feels real good," Oregon receiver Jaison Williams.

by DuckinNC on Oct 29, 2009 6:17 AM PDT reply actions  

That’s because you have one of the luxury boxes.

Life is a sport: Watch other people play it.

by Al Orange on Oct 30, 2009 7:51 AM PDT up reply actions  

While I do believe it is a fact the weather will effect the outcome

I do think that both teams are built to play in good and bad weather. Both team are built around fast strong defenses. Both teams are run dominant. Both teams use short passing games to set up the run.

I think the one area that Oregon has an advantage when it comes to the weather, is that Oregon uses a lot of misdirection, screen and counter plays where if you aren’t ready defensively and have to make quick cuts to get back into position, the weather could adversely effect. Plus, Oregon is used to playing on a wet Brooks field, USC isn’t.

by Matt Daddy on Oct 29, 2009 7:03 AM PDT reply actions  

I agree with you, but voted fiction, because I think it’ll all be a wash in the end.

--AddictedToQuack, SBNation's Oregon Ducks blog

by jtlight on Oct 29, 2009 7:06 AM PDT up reply actions  

I think it will effect the outcome though

I think there will be turnovers, drops and missed tackles due to the weather. I only think Oregon is better built to play in all weather situations. I personally disagree with Paul’s assertion that weather effects Masoli performance.

by Matt Daddy on Oct 29, 2009 7:24 AM PDT up reply actions  

I think it will affect his performance a little bit, but it certainly can’t help our newest crop of receivers to contract the drops (not that it’s as bad as in years past, but you can’t deny that there have been a decent number of dropped passes – I’m looking at you Jamere Holland).

Anyway, I think it will have an affect on the outcome of the game, in that it will decrease scoring. I think it may ultimately help the Ducks, but not by a lot.

Defending maligned chants since 2009

by Gorbachav5 on Oct 29, 2009 10:02 AM PDT up reply actions  

I think DJ Davis is quickly becoming the new favorite target of Masoli and the offense. Maehl is still dependable and runs great underneath routes.

The biggest X factor is going to be Dickson. OSU torched USC with the TE and at times it looked like USC was so focused on the backfield and Quizz that the LBs totally lost track of the TE running past them. If Dickson gets that same type of treatment (a la Cal and it’s LBs, and USC v OSU) he is going to have a HUGE game, rain or shine.

by Matt Daddy on Oct 29, 2009 10:10 AM PDT up reply actions  

HA! “A wash.” Nice one.

Defending maligned chants since 2009

by Gorbachav5 on Oct 29, 2009 9:59 AM PDT up reply actions  

It would be kind of awesome to have a downpour

But I hope it doesn’t happen. We want conditions that favor an offensive game. Our easiest route to victory is to simply outscore USC (the defense is good but I don’t want to let Barkley have a chance at being da man late).

"Good evening Blazer fans, wherever you may be!"-Bill Schonely

by skywaker9 on Oct 29, 2009 8:29 AM PDT reply actions  

Carroll is undefeated in November isn’t he? I’d be willing to wager a few of those games were in the rain.

by jessenumber1 on Oct 29, 2009 9:58 AM PDT reply actions  

Its not November thankfully

Still October.

"Good evening Blazer fans, wherever you may be!"-Bill Schonely

by skywaker9 on Oct 29, 2009 10:10 AM PDT up reply actions  

I Hope

the weather doesn’t quiet down the fan noise. I want it to be as intimidating as possible.

All Ducks, all the time.

by thatbpguy on Oct 29, 2009 10:26 AM PDT reply actions  

The loudest game I attended during my years UO (2000 – 2003) was the Civil War in 2001 when it downpoured and actually hailed for awhile. The weather just gets people even more fired up.

Defending maligned chants since 2009

by Gorbachav5 on Oct 29, 2009 10:43 AM PDT up reply actions  

It won't

In 2005, I attended the Cal game, which was held in an absolute monsoon. The crowd remained really loud the entire game.

"Good evening Blazer fans, wherever you may be!"-Bill Schonely

by skywaker9 on Oct 29, 2009 11:16 AM PDT up reply actions  

True that...

I was at that game and during OT that was the loudest game I had ever attended until Cal this year. Thats also when I found out my water-proof jacket is only water proof for 4 hours…

by SeattleDucks on Oct 29, 2009 1:40 PM PDT up reply actions  

ummm fact

Unless they can re create rain in So Cal.. i don’t think they can handle the drizzle.

by duckyou on Oct 29, 2009 12:07 PM PDT reply actions  

I assure you most here in SoCal cannot...

Down here in SoCal, when there is intermittent drizzle…It recieves STORM OF THE CENTURY type media coverage. Absolutely ridiculous

On Halloween; USC will die, Matt Barkley will cry, and all of the little bandwagoning Trojan fans will shout "WHY!?"

In the holy name of Juju, I am the humblest of servants

by CaDuck on Oct 29, 2009 3:37 PM PDT up reply actions  

I can attest to that.

I have been working down here in SoCal since April and it has only rained a handful of times. If USC plays football in the rain anything like the people here drive in rain…its gonna be ugly! When it rains here people lose their minds when if comes to driving!

May we hand you your taints on a silver platter...

by 071903 on Oct 29, 2009 3:43 PM PDT up reply actions  

I was honestly thinking of saying something along the lines of...

If you see a Southern Californian driving in the rain, get the hell away!

Awww man, if it rains down here people drive insane!

On Halloween; USC will die, Matt Barkley will cry, and all of the little bandwagoning Trojan fans will shout "WHY!?"

In the holy name of Juju, I am the humblest of servants

by CaDuck on Oct 29, 2009 3:54 PM PDT up reply actions  

Hey, not all of us Southern Californians are complete morons when it comes to driving in the rain. Let’s be careful with the generalizations here.

No, it doesn’t rain much down here, but how often do those guys play in the rain up in Eugene? I think it rained lightly during one of the games (although I could be wrong) and Kelly has them practice most of the time indoors. I don’t think experience in the rain is going to be a huge plus for the Ducks. Maybe a tiny one, but too small to have any significant impact.

Defending maligned chants since 2009

by Gorbachav5 on Oct 29, 2009 4:38 PM PDT up reply actions  

The Ducks practiced today in the rain and cold, and Kelly said they looked good. That makes me happy.

--AddictedToQuack, SBNation's Oregon Ducks blog

by jtlight on Oct 29, 2009 4:42 PM PDT up reply actions  

That did make me happy, as well. I’m always glad when Kelly gives the team props, because it doesn’t seem like he’s one to give praise when it’s not due.

Defending maligned chants since 2009

by Gorbachav5 on Oct 29, 2009 5:12 PM PDT up reply actions  

Wow, seriously.

They must have practiced AMAZING for him to give out a compliment like that

On Halloween; USC will die, Matt Barkley will cry, and all of the little bandwagoning Trojan fans will shout "WHY!?"

In the holy name of Juju, I am the humblest of servants

by CaDuck on Oct 29, 2009 5:24 PM PDT up reply actions  

I have lived in SoCal all 17 years of my life...

Of course not all of us suck in the rain, but it is very scary to see some people drive down here when it rains.

I hope that wet weather would help us, and hurt them….It would at the very least make sense

On Halloween; USC will die, Matt Barkley will cry, and all of the little bandwagoning Trojan fans will shout "WHY!?"

In the holy name of Juju, I am the humblest of servants

by CaDuck on Oct 29, 2009 4:49 PM PDT up reply actions  

Nope, not yet at least

On Halloween; USC will die, Matt Barkley will cry, and all of the little bandwagoning Trojan fans will shout "WHY!?"

In the holy name of Juju, I am the humblest of servants

by CaDuck on Oct 29, 2009 5:08 PM PDT up reply actions  

wait wait wait...a 17 year old without a facebook page

Isn’t there a rule against this, like talking about Amanda Pfulgrad in a comment without posting a picture????

Kenny Wheaton #20; The Pick - 1994 v UW. Matthew Harper #20; The Pick #2 - 2007 - USC. John Boyett #20;...

by Matt Daddy on Oct 29, 2009 6:11 PM PDT up reply actions   1 recs

Wrong image.

Addicted To Quack [dot] com; Six-hundred and ninety-four yards of total offense.

by qrsouther on Oct 29, 2009 6:14 PM PDT up reply actions   1 recs

sorry Matt Daddy didn't have that one set as his desktop picture yet

thanks for fixing that for Matt Daddy

Kenny Wheaton #20; The Pick - 1994 v UW. Matthew Harper #20; The Pick #2 - 2007 - USC. John Boyett #20;...

by Matt Daddy on Oct 29, 2009 6:37 PM PDT up reply actions  

Those freaking blobs you put the shirt...

God dammit! I can’t help but laugh when I see that pic

On Halloween; USC will die, Matt Barkley will cry, and all of the little bandwagoning Trojan fans will shout "WHY!?"

In the holy name of Juju, I am the humblest of servants

by CaDuck on Oct 29, 2009 6:50 PM PDT up reply actions  

Those aren't blobs, son...

Addicted To Quack [dot] com; Six-hundred and ninety-four yards of total offense.

by qrsouther on Oct 29, 2009 6:52 PM PDT up reply actions  

Oh thats right...

It was your interpretation of a wet t-shirt

On Halloween; USC will die, Matt Barkley will cry, and all of the little bandwagoning Trojan fans will shout "WHY!?"

In the holy name of Juju, I am the humblest of servants

by CaDuck on Oct 29, 2009 6:54 PM PDT up reply actions  

In so many words, yes.

Addicted To Quack [dot] com; Six-hundred and ninety-four yards of total offense.

by qrsouther on Oct 29, 2009 7:04 PM PDT up reply actions  

I applaud the effort!!!

On Halloween; USC will die, Matt Barkley will cry, and all of the little bandwagoning Trojan fans will shout "WHY!?"

In the holy name of Juju, I am the humblest of servants

by CaDuck on Oct 29, 2009 7:12 PM PDT up reply actions  

Hmmm...

From her Athlon summary:

“Community & Campus Involvement:
 Attended numerous cheerleading appearances, assisted in fundraising activities for the athletic department. Volunteer for the free prostate screening event.”

Nice.

http://www.athlonsports.com/college-football/8054/sideline-spirit?action=gallery&participant=110

by stax o' wax on Oct 30, 2009 8:40 AM PDT up reply actions  

Um – - – does she go for aging alumni?

Life is a sport: Watch other people play it.

by Al Orange on Oct 30, 2009 9:10 AM PDT up reply actions  

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