The importance of Autzen Stadium going into the Civil War
In preparation for the biggest Civil War in 45 years, there is one factor not being mentioned all that often: Autzen Stadium.
The reasoning for this is understandable. After 10 years of domination by the home team, the last two meetings between the Ducks and Beavers have been won by the road team. Because of this, many people seem to be overlooking the very important fact that Oregon gets this game at home. Now, I could care less about the 10 year streak and all that. Those years just happened to coincide to years that both Oregon and Oregon State were having good or bad years, and the better teams in those seasons just happened to be playing at home, or were catching the opposing team at the right time.
And for the most part, I'm not a huge proponent of home field advantage in general. I think that a lot of fans like to overstate its effects. On the whole, home field is a few points, nothing more. One of the best minds in college football, Bill Connelly, who writes for SBNation's Missouri blog RockMNation and also Football Outsiders, has done a lot of great work on trying to quantify the advantage. And overall, it's very tough to do. For that reason, I tend to undersell it, because there are so many other variables that are in play.
However, this year I can't. The Ducks are a significantly better team at home than on the road.
Statistically, there is no comparison. And frankly, the disparity between Oregon's performance at home and on the road is shocking. Below I have some of the major statistics for the Ducks this season. I have included home and road splits for all games, and even removed WSU from conference home games, to remove that possible outlier.
| Home (Pac-10) | Home (PX-WSU) | Home (Overall) | Away (Pac-10) | Away (Overall) | |
| Scoring Off. |
46.3 | 44.3 | 42.3 | 38.3 | 32.2 |
| Scoring Def. |
12.5 | 14.6 | 18.3 | 30.3 | 28.0 |
| Scoring Dif | +30.8 | +29.7 | +24 | +8 | +4.2 |
| Rush YPG | 303.3 | 298.3 | 270.5 | 222.8 | 184.4 |
| Total Offense | 509.8 | 508.3 | 451.2 | 437.0 | 380.0 |
| Total Defense |
225.8 | 248.3 | 275.2 | 388.0 | 382.6 |
| Total Yards Dif | +284.0 | +260.0 | +176 | +49 | -2.6 |
| First Down Dif | +14.5 | +10.3 | +7.5 | -1.0 | -4.0 |
For reference, here are the Sagarin ratings for teams at home: 74 (Purdue), 27 (Utah), 20 (Cal), 118 (WSU), 14 (USC), 59 (ASU). For road teams: 8 (BSU), 37 (UCLA), 53 (Washington), 19 (Stanford), 22 (Arizona).
These numbers simply shocked me. In every indicator of success, points yards, and yards per game, the differentials show a stark difference. Even throwing out WSU, Oregon has been dominant at home, against great to solid competition. Though the road schedule is slightly harder, it does not begin to explain the shocking disparity between home and road performance.
What is so intriguing about these numbers is that they back up what we've been seeing on the field. It's tough to put a finger on it, but the Oregon team is just not the same on the road. I was willing to look past sub-par performances at UCLA (Masoli was out), Washington (at least in the first half, Masoli was just getting his legs back), and Stanford (they just executed). But, after Arizona, I'm very glad we don't have any more road games. On the road, something just seems, well, off. Both sides of the ball just simply are not the same.
On offense, the team just does not execute at the same level. Overall, the team has more penalties, averaging two more per game and an extra 20 yards). Failure to convert on 4th down has been a huge problem, especially against BSU, Stanford, and Arizona. The Ducks are converting 4th downs at a 3/7 rate on the road, and 7/10 at home. While 3rd downs have been merely slightly better at home at 37% to 35%, the offense just simply does not execute on the same level away from Autzen. The rushing game hasn't been the same, which has led to an increase in passing, which is improving but is not the bread and butter of the offense. The Oregon offense simply seems to shoot itself in the foot. There have been times when it clicks, and all seems to go well. But there have also been stretches of missed opportunities.
On the opposite side of the ball, Oregon has been able to get off the field on 3rd downs. Opponents are converting at a mere 30.21% at Autzen, while on the road the Ducks are allowing a 43.75% conversion rate.
One exception to this is the red zone performance for both the offense and defense, where the Ducks have been phenomenal on the road. On offense, the Ducks have scored touchdowns on 14/15 opportunities, and on defense, opponents are scoring less than 70% of the time, with touchdowns a mere 56% of red zone trips.
A lot of this could be explained away by matchups, strength of schedule, small sample size, etc. But I think the disparity is too large to do this. The simple fact is that the Ducks just don't execute to the same level on the road. The level of their game rises to a different level when at home. I didn't think that USC would be fazed by Autzen, and outside of a number of false starts, I don't think that it was. However, on offense and defense, the Ducks played at a much different level, just as they did against Cal, WSU, and during the first half of the Arizona State game. At home, Oregon is just far more consistent, and execute well on almost every play. That has not been the case on the road, and the numbers (especially first down differential) back that up.
Going into the Civil War, I think that this home field advantage will be a huge factor. It's not getting a lot of attention yet, but it should. The Ducks are a better team at home. They play at a completely different level. And if the Ducks can come close to that level, I love their chances next week.
1 recs |
73 comments
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Comments
I think this is where the young team becomes a factor
We’ll be better on the road next year with more experience but its harder to execute in a hostile environment, true in every sport.
"Good evening Blazer fans, wherever you may be!"-Bill Schonely
by skywaker9 on Nov 24, 2009 10:12 AM PST reply actions 0 recs
It’s very likely related to experience and youth on the team. Hopefully this will get worked out by next year, and that the Stanford and Arizona games really showed the team how you must play on the road.
While I like the home schedule next year (with Stanford, Arizona, Washington at home), there will be some tough games, and this team will definitely need to become road warriors.
--AddictedToQuack, SBNation's Oregon Ducks blog
by jtlight on Nov 24, 2009 10:19 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Sure, we get Stanford, Arizona, and UW at home — that’s not a bad thing — but would you really trade that for USC, Cal, and the Beavers at home? I wouldn’t. I’m not looking forward to next year’s road schedule at all.
Civil War for the Rose Bowl! We should do this every year!
by ProbablyMonty on Nov 24, 2009 10:39 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Stanford, Arizona, and Washington will all have the top returning QBs in the Pac-10 (outside of Masoli). I think that all will be improved next year. And if we’re talking about intimidating stadiums, I’d rather not play at Husky Stadium or down in Tucson.
That said, if Oregon can’t improve in execution on the road, we won’t end up as high as we’d like.
--AddictedToQuack, SBNation's Oregon Ducks blog
by jtlight on Nov 24, 2009 11:18 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Scary sounding
But all teams that we destroyed this year, and none of which are likely to return as much important talent as the Ducks.
by HoodRiverDuck on Nov 24, 2009 1:20 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Freudian slip
MY HUMBLEST APOLOGIES JUJU
We haven’t destroyed OSU this year.
Yet.
by HoodRiverDuck on Nov 24, 2009 1:21 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
I agree
I think the youth/inexperience of the team plays out most in consistency on the road. Before that ugly third quarter against ASU a couple weeks ago, the Ducks have been very consistent at home, with the only real "letdowns" coming during blowout wins in the fourth quarter. However, the road has been a completely different story.
BSU – Offense was terrible the whole game and the defense struggled the first half
UCLA – Offense struggled the first half and was up and down the second half (although we know Masoli wasn’t in)
UW – Offense came out sluggish again
Stanford – Once again, the offense didn’t look itself in the first half, and the defense got manhandled the entire game (although credit goes to the Stanford offense for that)
UA – Offense came out firing, but lost a lot of momentum and struggled in the 2nd and 3rd quarters, and the defense struggled in the third
This is total speculation, but it could be the unfamiliarity of the road environment forces changes in pre-game preparation, and the team just doesn’t click as well during the first half. Finally, against UA, they determined not to let that happen, came out hard, and then fell flat during the middle of the game once the adrenaline wore off.
I anticipate that a veteran team next year will be familiar enough with each other to avoid slow starts, and will know how to pace themselves to avoid a letdown in the middle. Either way, we’re at home for the Civil War, so that shouldn’t be a factor. Is it next Thursday yet?
Defending maligned chants since 2009
by Gorbachav5 on Nov 24, 2009 11:34 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
On the road (and I don’t even think it’s necessarily related to crowd noise, because Stanford is a joke), the offense just doesn’t click like it does at home. At home, it’s a finely tuned machine that is running perfectly. On the road, there are just all sorts of misfires and missed opportunities.
I mean, look at the first downs between home and road. First downs are a great measure of how the team is moving consistently down the field, and it’s just not happening on the road, for whatever reason.
--AddictedToQuack, SBNation's Oregon Ducks blog
by jtlight on Nov 24, 2009 11:39 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
So what do you think the actual causation is? Travel fatigue? Field familiarity? Freak streak of coincidence? Does the home crowd really energize the players?
It's spelled "S-H-U-V-3-0-0-0"
by JShufelt on Nov 24, 2009 11:44 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
I have absolutely no idea.
--AddictedToQuack, SBNation's Oregon Ducks blog
by jtlight on Nov 24, 2009 11:47 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Nothing like 56000 intense, passionate, desparate, screaming people breathing down your neck...
To help you focus, keep your head in the game, and remind you of what’s at stake. Would you like to be the one to disappoint the Autzen faithful? :)
by gamedaytribe on Nov 24, 2009 6:36 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
One thing to consider in this also is that the Beavers are a relatively young team, some making their first start at Autzen Stadium. That being said, the Beavs have played well on the road, losing only to USC. Their other two losses were at home against Cinci and Arizona
--Dominic, Addicted to Quack
Autzen Stadium is where great teams go to die." - J. Brady McCullough, The Michigan Daily.
by dvieira on Nov 24, 2009 10:39 AM PST reply actions 0 recs
Oregon State is slightly better on the road than at home, but the splits are nowhere near they are for the Ducks. The numbers are close enough that I’m not sure it tells you a whole lot.
--AddictedToQuack, SBNation's Oregon Ducks blog
by jtlight on Nov 24, 2009 11:21 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
A lot of it on offense is the oline...
simply put, they miss assignments more often. We pick up the blitz much better at home, especially run blitzes.
On defense, I wonder if it’s the competition. Stanford, Arizona, and BSU are just prolific on offense.
With Oregon State, my feeling is that we hold them to more field goals but they will move the ball. Our redzone offense is just amazing with the zone read option inside the 5, especially at home. Inside the 20 Oregon State’s verticle passing game is limited and our speed will stifle them.
I see us winning for that reason.
by BisonDucks on Nov 24, 2009 10:44 AM PST reply actions 0 recs
Does OSU actually have a vertical passing game?
They’re averaging a pass 15+ yards 18% of their offensive attempts. They’re averaging a 25+ pass 4.8% of their pass attempts. By contrast, Oregon is averaging a 15+ yard pass 15.8% of their pass attempts, and 25+ yard pass 7.4% of their pass attempts. Stanford is simply rocking the long game by having a 25+ yard pass on 10.3% of their long passes.
I just honestly don’t see them going down the field that much. They excel at getting to that middle level, but not much past that.
--AddictedToQuack, SBNation's Oregon Ducks blog
by jtlight on Nov 24, 2009 11:15 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Variable Shmariable.
Home field advantage is real, and while Autzen is a special place, most teams enjoy a huge gain in advantage playing at home. Your quantification of a “couple of points,” as your own stats point out, do nothing to describe the phenomenon.
The advantage is not Oregon’s alone.
Here are the Pac-10’s combined home and away records (minus WSU):
- Home: 38-13
- Away: 21-24
I also took the records of all SEC teams, and all teams playing SEC teams this weekend and combined them to increase the sample size:
- Home: 71-21
- Away: 34-28
When combined, those teams win 76% of their home games, and only 51% of their away games. Clearly there is something more to home-field then a couple of points.
That said, I love the analysis. No surprises; Autzen is a beast.
Go Ducks
I heart taxes.
by everett on Nov 24, 2009 12:38 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
SEC teams don’t travel to their cupcakes’ stadium.
It's spelled "S-H-U-V-3-0-0-0"
by JShufelt on Nov 24, 2009 12:50 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Well…if you want to look at point differentials over the history of college football, here is the home field advantage (compared to a neutral site) by decade:

So right now, home field is worth just under 4 points if you look only at point differentials between home and road teams, which to me is a bit crude considering how many cupcake games are played at home versus the road.
But even if we accept that, and say that home field is worth 3.7 points, you shouldn’t typically see swings of more than 8 points between the home and road differentials.
For the Ducks, this year that swing is 18.8 points. In 2008 for the Ducks, the swing was only 3.8 points. In 2007, 2.5 points. In 2006, when the Ducks were very young, it was a 17.1 point swing. In 2005, it was 0.4 points. In 2004 (as far back as cfbstats.com goes), it was 17.6 points.
Did Autzen actually change in 2007 or 2008? No, but the teams did. While home field advantage is very real, it seems that its effects can mean very little depending on the psychological makeup of the home team, as well as the visiting team.
--AddictedToQuack, SBNation's Oregon Ducks blog
by jtlight on Nov 24, 2009 12:58 PM PST up reply actions 1 recs
Did Autzen actually change in 2007 or 2008? No, but the teams did. While home field advantage is very real, it seems that its effects can mean very little depending on the psychological makeup of the home team, as well as the visiting team.
As much as it might suck to hear that, it is completely true.
It Autzen showed a consistent 15-17 point swing year to year, then you might have some argument against that, but the data is erratic.
I would love to see a real study of home field advantage.
First, you need to identify the advantages for a home team. (Noise level, location, weather etc.)
Then create measurables of the advantages. (False Starts, Delay of Games, etc)
Then create a baseline for the visiting team. (How many false starts do they average per game? etc)
Compare results, and analyze the effect of the advantages. (Profit!)
It's spelled "S-H-U-V-3-0-0-0"
by JShufelt on Nov 24, 2009 1:12 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
I don’t think that’ll ever happen. How do you measure if the QB couldn’t audible to his receiver and ended up throwing an INT?
In the Ducks case this year, it seems like home field hasn’t affected other teams as much as being at home has increased/being on the road has decreased their consistency and execution.
--AddictedToQuack, SBNation's Oregon Ducks blog
by jtlight on Nov 24, 2009 1:18 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
How do you measure if the QB couldn’t audible to his receiver and ended up throwing an INT?
The only way to do that would be knowing both what the play was before the audible, what the QB had audible to, and what the WR thought the audible was. So yeah, that won’t ever happen.
But I disagree a bit. I think there are some definable measurable. cfbstats tried it not too long ago. One of the problems though, is that some teams give up more penalties then others, So to effectively do this study, you need to compare it against a baseline.
Of course, not every aspect is going to have a measurable, but I think there are some attainable measures.
It's spelled "S-H-U-V-3-0-0-0"
by JShufelt on Nov 24, 2009 1:27 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
What do the duck's red zone stats look like at home?
by Yarmarkt on Nov 24, 2009 1:20 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
Offense,
Home TD: 67%, FG: 27%
Road TD: 93%, FG 7%
Defense
Home TD: 71%, FG: 18%
Road TD: 57%, FG 13%
--AddictedToQuack, SBNation's Oregon Ducks blog
by jtlight on Nov 24, 2009 1:28 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
That’s funny… On offense, we’ve scored every time we’ve been in the Red Zone on the road.
It's spelled "S-H-U-V-3-0-0-0"
by JShufelt on Nov 24, 2009 1:30 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
And we have a better Red Zone defense on the road too. WTH?
It's spelled "S-H-U-V-3-0-0-0"
by JShufelt on Nov 24, 2009 1:31 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Very strange,
Considering we had our stat padding game against WSU at home…
Juju, you complete me...And now as your humble-as-ever servant, I kindly request the following:
So, how is it that one brother is named "James", and the next one "Jacquizz"?
Anyways, based on the picture; they look as if they have a relationship thats a little too comfortable.
by CaDuck on Nov 24, 2009 1:35 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
It’s weird considering how much worse our 3rd down defense is on the road.
--AddictedToQuack, SBNation's Oregon Ducks blog
by jtlight on Nov 24, 2009 1:35 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Blame the Purdue and Utah games
When we were still a shadow of what we are now.
"Good evening Blazer fans, wherever you may be!"-Bill Schonely
by skywaker9 on Nov 24, 2009 2:09 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Small sample size, and skewing factors
for this level of detail.
Take a look at the results without Boise and without Wazzu.
The unfortunate (or fortunate) aspect of college football is that there are far too many variables. You don’t have a control sample to compare to. The teams change from year to year, game to game (injuries, and so on). The environment, the detailed minutia (grass, affecting speed, just throwing off the defense a shade, and so on).
You can’t obtain a larger sample size because you pull in even more variables.
Looking only at the games this year sounds like a good plan, but if you’re going to dive into the nitty-gritty, then you probably need to take into account all sorts of various micro-factors like the differences in our opponent’s ability to score when within the redzone, etc., etc.
by gamedaytribe on Nov 24, 2009 6:48 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
But what about the change in defense?
In Pac-10 games, the total yards allowed increased from 226 at Autzen to 388 on the road. That’s 162 yds./game! Ouch! (The offensive output only went down about 72 yds./game going from home to away.)
Scoring defense went from 12.5 at Autzen up to a whoppin’ 30.3 on the road while the offensive scoring only decrease 8 points per game.
Seems that we should be looking more at the defense than the offense for answers to this home vs. road dilemma.
by sandyduck on Nov 24, 2009 1:39 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
So much of those terrible road stats came against Stanford. Might be interesting to recalculate all this by kicking out both Stanford and Washington St. from the mix.
by eloomis20 on Nov 24, 2009 2:11 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
I don’t know if that’s fair though. We can’t just give the defense a pass against Stanford. Yes, Stanford executed very well, but the defense didn’t do anything to slow them down, either. I think the Stanford game is very indicative of the defense’s struggles on the road.
Defending maligned chants since 2009
by Gorbachav5 on Nov 24, 2009 2:16 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
I think its the way our schedule went this year more than youth or Autzen...
Haven’t read everything yet but just did some math. The average sagarin rankings of the teams we have played at home is 52. The average sagarin ranking of the teams we have played on the road is 17. That is a startling difference!!! And really I think it is shocking that on average we’ve played all top twenty teams on the road this year. (Our two “easy” road games were UCLA-who beat Tennessee; and UW-who should have beat LSU… GO DUCKS
by NICKPAPAGEORGIOTHEDUCK on Nov 24, 2009 2:29 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
That’s part of the reason that I broke out the home/road statistics by more than just home and road. The Pac-10 schedules (minus WSU) are very, very comparable. The average ranking for USC, Cal, and ASU is 31. The average ranking for UCLA, UW, Stanford, and Arizona is 33.
I mean, yeah, there’s a smaller sample size, but the home road point swing is 21 points per game. That is simply ridiculous.
--AddictedToQuack, SBNation's Oregon Ducks blog
by jtlight on Nov 24, 2009 2:54 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Do we break the decibel level in this game...
or do we get more geeked up for the Michigan, OU, & SC’s of the world?
by BisonDucks on Nov 24, 2009 3:05 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
I doubt the decibel level will be broken, simply because there’s bound to be more OSU fans there than would be there for a normal visiting team.
Defending maligned chants since 2009
by Gorbachav5 on Nov 24, 2009 3:07 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
I think your math is slightly off
Away (overall) scoring difference sould be +4.2
Kenny Wheaton #20; The Pick - 1994 v UW. Matthew Harper #20; The Pick #2 - 2007 v USC. John Boyett #20;...
by Matt Daddy on Nov 24, 2009 3:10 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
You are very correct. Thanks, and fixed.
--AddictedToQuack, SBNation's Oregon Ducks blog
by jtlight on Nov 24, 2009 3:14 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
I think the thing that suprises me the most is the Rushing Production
Shouldn’t the rushing game be pretty consistent from game to game? I can see a defense getting geeked to play in front of Autzen. I can see the the passing game being dependent on weather/crowd/atmosphere/audibles/etc… but the rushing game?
Why do we rush better at home. Do opposing teams intentionally leave their grass about 6 inches longer to slow us down (cough…Stanford)? That one confuses me.
Kenny Wheaton #20; The Pick - 1994 v UW. Matthew Harper #20; The Pick #2 - 2007 v USC. John Boyett #20;...
by Matt Daddy on Nov 24, 2009 3:15 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
I don’t know what it is either. The YPC isn’t all that different, but we’re averaging about 15 attempts less per game on the road.
--AddictedToQuack, SBNation's Oregon Ducks blog
by jtlight on Nov 24, 2009 3:18 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
WOW 15 less carries?
My only shot at this. Games are not as close at home so we go to that conservative “inside-zone-read-every-time” offense to keep the clock running and shorten the game.
But why have the home games then produced more of the blowouts?
Are the YPC in the first half greater than in the second at home? Why is our defense more stingy early in the game and letting our O produce the larger margin victories? I see nothing in our schemes that would signal that we are doing anything different on O or D. I am so confuse-ed
Kenny Wheaton #20; The Pick - 1994 v UW. Matthew Harper #20; The Pick #2 - 2007 v USC. John Boyett #20;...
by Matt Daddy on Nov 24, 2009 3:24 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
I don’t know what it is either. The YPC isn’t all that different, but we’re averaging about 15 attempts less per game on the road.
I would bet that part of this is that we’ve been behind in games a lot more on the road. Behind in the game tends to mean more passing.
--Dominic, Addicted to Quack
Autzen Stadium is where great teams go to die." - J. Brady McCullough, The Michigan Daily.
by dvieira on Nov 24, 2009 3:37 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Yes, though against Arizona we were up early, and never really established our running game…
--AddictedToQuack, SBNation's Oregon Ducks blog
by jtlight on Nov 24, 2009 4:11 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
I think Chip has some sneaky way of cheating
that only works at home.
Disclaimer: everything I know about basketball I learned on Blazersedge.
by pualo on Nov 24, 2009 3:18 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
I think Chip has somesneaky way of cheatingtasty cookies.
that only works at home.
Fixed it for you.
It's spelled "S-H-U-V-3-0-0-0"
by JShufelt on Nov 24, 2009 3:20 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
mmmmmm cookies…
It's spelled "T-A-K-O-T-U-E-S-D-A-Y-S-!-!-!."
I support inroywetrust in his support of The VD Special in his support of me supporting Roger Kieschnick in his quest to becoming the best Kieschnick ever to play professional baseball.
by Takimoto on Nov 24, 2009 4:35 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
You guys are freaking nazis, man!
Come on… come on… Go away!
It's spelled "S-H-U-V-3-0-0-0"
by JShufelt on Nov 24, 2009 8:36 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Turf?
Can anyone with the resources break down the road numbers between Turf, Natural Grass, and (oh, and the blue, bluetty blueness to the east))? Does that have an effect on the Ducks performaces? Maybe a half a step here, a cut there…?
Steve
by Cheech on Nov 24, 2009 3:28 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
cfbstats has a good writeup on it
defense – http://www.cfbstats.com/2009/team/529/total/defense/split.html
offense – http://www.cfbstats.com/2009/team/529/total/offense/split.html
--Dominic, Addicted to Quack
Autzen Stadium is where great teams go to die." - J. Brady McCullough, The Michigan Daily.
by dvieira on Nov 24, 2009 3:40 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
From that, it looks like our offense is a bit better on grass, and defense a LOT better on turf. Though it’s really tough to tell with only 3 grass games.
--AddictedToQuack, SBNation's Oregon Ducks blog
by jtlight on Nov 24, 2009 4:34 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
That could make sense though – defense, once everyone is in their proper position, is all about reacting to the offense. What our defense has lacked in size, they’ve usually made up for in speed, increasing that reaction time. If grass slows down our defenders even a quarter of a step, they can’t get that edge on the pass rush or get into proper position to make a tackle. Now the pass rush is going to suffer and tackling is going to suffer.
And we saw that play out against Stanford and UA. Not so much against UCLA, but then again, UCLA is TERRIBLE on offense.
Defending maligned chants since 2009
by Gorbachav5 on Nov 24, 2009 4:50 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
This is all well and good, but..
Where would you rather see this game played?
Don’t confuse me with facts. I’m voting for Autzen.
those who do not remember history should read my blog...
by benzduck on Nov 24, 2009 5:19 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
I just want you to know that I’m not overlooking the importance of Autzen Stadium. I could never overlook the importance of Autzen Stadium. I think its worth at least 42 points. And might even be able to singlehandedly hold OSU to 3 OR FEWER points! Me-wow!
President Emperor Warlord Of The Sun!
www.CaliforniaGoldenBlogs.com
by TwistNHook on Nov 24, 2009 10:22 PM PST reply actions 1 recs
SOMEONE IS BITTER!
It's spelled "S-H-U-V-3-0-0-0"
by JShufelt on Nov 25, 2009 7:36 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
I copied the idea and applied it to OSU for the sake of comparison, if anyone is intersted
Tried to follow the mold set by jtlight as closely as possible so the numbers could be looked at side by side.
http://www.buildingthedam.com/2009/11/25/1173825/autzen-stadium-will-it-make-a
--JB--
www.buildingthedam.com
by Jake Bertalotto on Nov 25, 2009 11:23 AM PST reply actions 0 recs
Thanks, Jake!
It's spelled "S-H-U-F-E-L-T-P-R-E-T-T-Y"
by JShufelt on Nov 25, 2009 11:39 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Someone might want to contact SBNation.
Their link to this article is:
“The Civil War: Why Homefield Advantage Is Key To Oregon St. At Oregron”
Before we know it, Lou Holtz will be pronouncing it "OrygRON.
It's spelled "S-H-U-F-E-L-T-P-R-E-T-T-Y"
by JShufelt on Nov 25, 2009 1:09 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
orgy-ron!
whoo hoo….
eerrrr…..
Go Bears Go
by Rocksanddirt on Nov 25, 2009 5:31 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
interesting
i think that this game can end up another multiple overtime thriller and it seriously can happen.
this year all the duck games were aired accross the pacific, so i got to watch the ducks all year. although both teams are great this year and the stakes are crazy, if oregon performs against another highly ranked team at home like they have ALL YEAR. utah cal usc we all know the score so far at home. watch out beavers.
a couple of stops by our fast agressive D with some points early by our offense just like these other games ( not as much utah) . i think we can easily watch another great team desperately try to catch up and fail.
i would prefer this so i wont have 50 heart attacks watching civil war like last week, but we may be in for a nail bitter if osu can weather the storm that is the oregon ducks at home.
by sheyn on Nov 25, 2009 1:25 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
Some more data...
I got a bit more info from Bill Connelly over at RockMNation. It’s basically home and road S&P+ data, split by home and road. This data has been (as best as possible) normalized for strength of schedule and quality of opponent, but also doesn’t include the idea that the BSU game was an anomaly. Obviously, the sample size is very small, but any way you cut it, this Ducks team is very different at home.
Offensive S&P+
Home: 141.0
Road: 92.4
Offensive Rushing S&P+
Home: 147.6
Road: 103.9
Offensive Passing S&P+
Home: 125.1
Road: 89.3
Defensive S&P+
Home: 177.9
Road: 128.5
Defensive Rushing S&P+
Home: 157.3
Road: 128.0
Defensive Passing S&P+
Home: 191.3
Road: 123.1
--AddictedToQuack, SBNation's Oregon Ducks blog
by jtlight on Nov 26, 2009 4:56 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
For more info on these types of statistics, check out this post by Bill.
--AddictedToQuack, SBNation's Oregon Ducks blog
by jtlight on Nov 26, 2009 4:57 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Ha...
I read this somewhere before, but I’m not exactly sure where that was!
Juju, you complete me...And now as your humble-as-ever servant, I kindly request the following:
So, how is it that one brother is named "James", and the next one "Jacquizz"?
Anyways, based on the picture; they look as if they have a relationship thats a little too comfortable.
by CaDuck on Nov 27, 2009 8:47 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Our defense has been ridiculous at home. Especially passing defense. 191.3 S&P+ ?!?
That’s near astronomical.
It's spelled "S-H-U-F-E-L-T-P-R-E-T-T-Y"
by JShufelt on Nov 26, 2009 9:09 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
i'm going to sit my butt down in front of the TV next thursday and I'm not going to move till its over
GO DUCKS!
Gerald Wallace is the best player the Bobcats will have..... EVER
by raysfan81 on Nov 27, 2009 1:01 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
And I'm going to put on my thermals and my rain gear and get hoarse for the last time this year in Autzen Stadium.
Home of Chips Ahoy (Real PAC 10 Coaching in Every Play)
by DONALDUCK on Nov 27, 2009 9:08 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs






















