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Fact or Fiction: Jamere Holland will gain over 1000 yards receiving in 2009

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One of the brightest spots for Oregon this spring was the play of wide receiver Jamere Holland. It was just last year that he looked to be the starter across from Jaison Williams when a severe knee injury forced him to miss all of fall camp. He had troubles learned the playbook, seemingly lacking all of the motivation to make it as a college football player. Head Coach Mike Bellotti told Holland that he had his permission to seek a transfer if he wasn't going to get it together. It was put up or shut up time.

After that meeting, things finally started to come together. He caught a 47-yard pass on a flea flicker in the Holiday Bowl and has had, by all accounts, an eye-catching spring. The talent and potential had always been there for the fastest man in college football. The motivation seems to have finally caught up to that speed.

Last year at this time, we were all marveling at Lagarrette Blount's performance in the spring game, wondering if he could carry it over to the fall. He went on to rush for over 1000 yards as a compliment to Jeremiah Johnson. Is it possible Jamere Holland could be in for a similar run? That leads us to this week's Fact or Fiction question.

Fact or Fiction: Jamere Holland will gain over 1000 yards receiving in 2009

 

Star-divide

JConant > FICTION

I expect a breakout season for Holland. Predicting a 1000-yard season from a guy who's barely played just doesn't feel right. Only seven Ducks all time have had 1000-yard receiving seasons. Jaison Williams missed becoming the eighth in 2006 by only 14 yards. The last was Demetrius Williams with 1059 in 2005. No Duck has ever done it twice. My point - it's no easy feat. Maybe even more difficult in Chip Kelly's spread attack that emphasizes rushing the ball and spreads the passing wealth around quite a bit.

What could Holland do? I could see him catching 40 balls. That would be a solid contribution from a first-year starter. I could also see Holland eclipsing 1000 all-purpose yards if he returns kickoffs.

jtlight > FICTION

While I expect Holland to have a very productive year, I do not think he will break 1,000 yards. Oregon under Chip Kelly just doesn't have a single receiver like they have in previous years. Kelly offenses just haven't had enough completions or yards to get that type of year, especially from a single player. Receptions will be split between running backs, tight ends, and the other receivers. With that offense, it's too easy for a single player to get left out of a single game, and derail hopes of a 1,000 yards receiving season.

I also don't know how the chemistry between Masoli and Holland will work out. At this point, we don't know which receiver will become Masoli's go-to guy. It could be any number of players, and we don't yet know that Holland will become that guy. If he does, he has a shot, but I'm not betting on that at this point. What I want to see out of Holland is that he catches those passes thrown his way, gets yards after catch, and catches a long ball every other game or so. For all of our receivers, efficiency will be key. Overall numbers won't the way to measure Holland's success in my mind.

dvieira > FACT

I know that spring ball isn't a good indicator of how a player will do in the regular season but I think this year sets up very nicely for Jamere Holland to get over 1000 yards receiving. Although Oregon hasn't had a long and storied history of 1000 yard receivers, Chip Kelly has coached a big time wide receiver while he was the offensive coordinator at New Hampshire. David Ball went for 1114 yards in 2006 (Chip's last season with New Hampshire), 1551 yards in 2005, and 1495 yards in 2004. The offensive scheme that Chip Kelly employs doesn't prevent a receiver, with the right amount of talent, to emerge as a premiere offensive weapon.

Several teams lost experience in their defensive backfields in the offseason and with Masoli starting to gel with the offense at the end of the 2008 campaign, his passing numbers should be greatly improved for the upcoming year.  Given our inexperience on the offensive line, I expect new wrinkles in the offense that get Holland the ball and with his speed, he should be able to beat most corners on the deep routes.

Poll
Jamere Holland will gain over 1000 yards receiving in 2009
Fact
218 votes
Fiction
230 votes

448 votes | Poll has closed

Comment 48 comments  |  0 recs  | 

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FICTION

I can see Jamere finishing the season around the 850-950 area in yards. The run-first mentality makes it difficult to develop consistent receiving numbers, and there could be games where the running game is so effective that we don’t have to pass all that much. Masoli’s history (last season) as a scrambler, combined with a depleted odashline, makes the deep ball all the more sketchy. If the pocket isn’t holding, and/or Masoli is taking off instead of staying in the pocket, it makes the deep ball damn near impossible.

It's spelled "T-A-K-I-M-O-T-S-C-H-M-O-E."

I support inroywetrust in his support of The VD Special in his support of me supporting Roger Kieschnick in his quest to becoming the best Kieschnick ever to play professional baseball.

by Takimoto on Jun 1, 2009 10:50 AM PDT reply actions  

Fiction

I can’t see him getting 1,000 in his first year as a starter. I think that he will get about 850 yards this year, and then in 2010, when he is more comfortable as a starter, he will reach 1,000.

PADO

by Tortuga12 on Jun 1, 2009 11:10 AM PDT reply actions  

I voted fiction, but I think it is possible that he’ll be a game away from doing it. While averaging 77 yards/game isn’t out of the question, we’re playing some tough Ds this year.

I think Masoli will need to average over 320 yards/game passing, and Holland will need to average 6 receptions/game for him to break 1000 yards.

"It’s spelled S-H-U-F-E-L-T-M-E-U-P"

by JShufelt on Jun 1, 2009 11:35 AM PDT reply actions  

Ficton -- it might be a long time before a Duck gets 1,000 yards receiving

With so many talented receivers and tight ends on this team, Holland could have the monster breakout year and still not get to 1,000 yards. Oregon is just too balanced these days to rely on one receiver.

by DavisDuck on Jun 1, 2009 11:52 AM PDT reply actions  

Fact Voters...!?!

You’re leading 55/45…please weigh in with comments about why you believe that. Inquiring minds want to know and maybe argue you with.

I'm really tired of it not being football season.

by JConant on Jun 1, 2009 12:37 PM PDT reply actions  

maybe my argument was just that compelling….. yeah right. ;)

--Dominic, Addicted to Quack

Autzen Stadium is where great teams go to die." - J. Brady McCullough, The Michigan Daily.

by dvieira on Jun 1, 2009 12:38 PM PDT up reply actions  

I think you have a fair point. It’s been done in the CK offense, three times by one guy. But the fact that it was done three times by one guy screams to me an unusual circumstance – some guy playing at a level above the 1-AA competition or going for big games against lightweight defenses. So, I’m not buying the notion that your example translates to Holland, not with Maehl and Dickson and Tyrece Gaines/D.J. Davis/Rory Cavaille on the field at the same time.

The one way I could see it happen is if Jeremiah Masoli really improves his deep ball accuracy during the off season. CK (or the green-team coach) called for consecutive deep throws to Holland during the spring game. Neither were completed, though one almost had a chance. On those plays there was no question of Holland’s speed and ability to get behind both a corner and safety help over the top. If Masoli finds the magic touch on that route – watch out.

I'm really tired of it not being football season.

by JConant on Jun 1, 2009 12:57 PM PDT up reply actions  

I'm not sure it's completely out of the question

But what would worry me if I was Oregon is the depth at WR. With the departures of Harper and Pflugrad, most eyes of defensive units are going to be on Holland. Basically, what I’m saying is he might be covered so much he might not even get the opportunity to get 1,000 yards.

The flip side of this, is that other than Cal and USC, most of the defensive back units in this conference are very young and inexperienced, and that could play into his hands, especially with the deep ball— play action passes freezing the safeties, leaving a young CB one on one with Holland, that’s not a good matchup against his size and speed.

I support Takimoto in his effort to support Roger Kieschnick in his quest to becoming the best Kieschnick ever to play professional baseball.

by The VD Special on Jun 1, 2009 3:43 PM PDT reply actions  

I’m not sure if Harper and Pflugrad transferring will change defensive scheming much. Pfugrad wasn’t a projected starter despite his strong spring, and it was still unclear as to how Harper was to be used throught the year. Losing Maehl and Dickson, and I could see it.

It's spelled "T-A-K-I-M-O-T-S-C-H-M-O-E."

I support inroywetrust in his support of The VD Special in his support of me supporting Roger Kieschnick in his quest to becoming the best Kieschnick ever to play professional baseball.

by Takimoto on Jun 1, 2009 3:47 PM PDT up reply actions  

Agree totally. Harper and Pflugrad would be 2nd string at best for next season, so that won’t affect Holland’s production much, if at all.

However, I can see VD’s point about Holland being the number 1 and getting more attention. While he may have been reading the Oregonian too much and misjudging Pflugrad and Harper, Holland should be the clear #1 over Gaines, Davis, Jackson, Embry, and Cavaille. So no matter who is opposite him, he should get more attention than the other receiver. But if he gets attention, so be it. Then those receivers (as well as slots and tight ends) can get open easier.

--AddictedToQuack, SBNation's Oregon Ducks blog

by jtlight on Jun 1, 2009 3:53 PM PDT up reply actions  

Apologies if I misunderstood what Harper and Pflugrad were going to be used as this year. But other than Jaison Williams, does Oregon have a whole lot of depth at WR? I have read that they have potential, and the upside is there, but it is unclear how good they are right now

I support Takimoto in his effort to support Roger Kieschnick in his quest to becoming the best Kieschnick ever to play professional baseball.

by The VD Special on Jun 1, 2009 3:55 PM PDT up reply actions  

Drew Davis should be starting opposite of Holland. He beat out Williams last year before getting injured, and because of that injury wasn’t able to play in spring ball. We also have the top WR JC playing coming in the fall, who should be able to push the top 2 receivers for playing time. The rest of the pack is similar. We have some guys like Cavaille and Embry, who should be solid backups, much like Pflugrad was. And Harper would have played slot, which is held down by Maehl.

I really don’t think that the production of Pflugrad and Harper will be hard to replace at all this season. Future seasons, Harper could have been a stud in the slot, but we can recruit to that position over the next year or two and not have a drop there from Maehl.

--AddictedToQuack, SBNation's Oregon Ducks blog

by jtlight on Jun 1, 2009 4:17 PM PDT up reply actions  

Duly noted. Thanks for the receiver info. I thought Maehl graduated, but apparently not, so that helps open things up for Holland. But who knows. I know Holland had a solid spring, but he could still be a head case, and that could lead to down production.

I support Takimoto in his effort to support Roger Kieschnick in his quest to becoming the best Kieschnick ever to play professional baseball.

by The VD Special on Jun 1, 2009 4:25 PM PDT up reply actions  

I actually have more faith in this crew of WRs than last year’s. If we had 2006/ and most 2007 J-Will, I’d be singing a different tune.

"It’s spelled S-H-U-F-E-L-T-M-E-U-P"

by JShufelt on Jun 1, 2009 5:50 PM PDT up reply actions  

J-Will graduated

May we hand you your taints on a silver platter...

by 071903 on Jun 1, 2009 7:03 PM PDT up reply actions  

I knew that. I meant Holland. TOO MANY DAMN J's AT OREGON!

I support Takimoto in his effort to support Roger Kieschnick in his quest to becoming the best Kieschnick ever to play professional baseball.

by The VD Special on Jun 1, 2009 7:07 PM PDT up reply actions  

you can refer to him as J-Holl if you like. ;)

--Dominic, Addicted to Quack

Autzen Stadium is where great teams go to die." - J. Brady McCullough, The Michigan Daily.

by dvieira on Jun 1, 2009 8:30 PM PDT up reply actions  

Fiction

Oregon has not had a 1000 yard receiver since 2005 and only two since 2003 (Demetrius Williams and Samie Parker, respectively. Williams was 65 yards short in ’03) J-Will was 16 yards short in ’06 and 150 short in ’07.

I just don’t see Holland being open enough, being touted as the #1 receiver. He won’t be able to get open as much and throws will go the other way. There is a lot of talent at receiver and TE, so we have other options too. The focus is going to the run first and have passes open on other option type plays. He could have some success on bubble screens and if the deep passing game opens up. Other than that, I still think that even 850 yards might be a bit high for Holland. There are just too many other options to go with to spread out the receiving yards.

May we hand you your taints on a silver platter...

by 071903 on Jun 1, 2009 7:03 PM PDT reply actions  

It's a close race between fact and fiction, but haven't seen a lot of the arguments for fact

I suspect the fact-voters are a lot of the same fans who post over at oregonlive thinking that Jamere Holland is going to have 1,000 yards receiving, Masoli is going to pass for 4,000 and have 1,000 yards rushing, as well as LaGarette Blount rushing for 1,500 yards, 26 touchdowns, and Oregon is going to win the Nat’l Championship 56-10 over Florida

I support Takimoto in his effort to support Roger Kieschnick in his quest to becoming the best Kieschnick ever to play professional baseball.

by The VD Special on Jun 1, 2009 7:43 PM PDT reply actions  

What in the world is unrealistic about that?

--AddictedToQuack, SBNation's Oregon Ducks blog

by jtlight on Jun 1, 2009 8:14 PM PDT up reply actions  

Someone actually being crowned “National Championship”.

"It’s spelled S-H-U-F-E-L-T-M-E-U-P"

by JShufelt on Jun 2, 2009 7:41 AM PDT up reply actions  

I voted impulsively "Fact"

Maybe this isn’t a legit argument at all, but I feel like every Duck QB (and I guess QB’s universally) as far as I can remember, have had their “guy” to throw to. A favorite receiver, if you will. Kellen Clemens had it in Demetrius Williams. Dennis Dixon had it with J-Will, and was beginning to with Brian Paysinger. Brady Leaf had it with James Finley. Ropert liked Ed Dickson. Jason Fife had it with the turf. Masoli 2008 favored Terence Scott, I thought.

It will be Masoli’s second year, with a new receiving corps save for Maehl and Ed, and I don’t think either are quite Masoli’s outlet guys. This is where I believe Jamere Holland comes in as T-Scott incarnate and Masoli and him gangbang defenses with their veiny, triumphant, athletic appendages of epic valor and creed.

Maybe it’s a pipe dream. But I think Holland is Masoli’s guy next year. Just toss it up downfield and he’ll catch up.

Addicted To Quack [dot] com; Dear Joevan, Develop motor skills. Love, ATQ.

by qrsouther on Jun 1, 2009 8:46 PM PDT reply actions  

gangbang defenses with their veiny, triumphant, athletic appendages of epic valor and creed.

I worry about you.

by grimc on Jun 1, 2009 10:19 PM PDT up reply actions   1 recs

Fiction

Oregon spreads the ball around too much. Holland simply won’t get enough catches. Furthermore, Masoli has been brutal overthrowing the deep ball. He’s got a gun, but it misfires a lot.

Also, as you say: “He had troubles learned the playbook, seeminly lacking all of the motivation to make it as a college football player.” No doubt. But I hope they’re not as bad as the trouble you had with this sentence.

by Hank Hosfield on Jun 1, 2009 10:38 PM PDT reply actions  

Also, as you say: "He had troubles learned the playbook, seeminly lacking all of the motivation to make it as a college football player." No doubt. But I hope they’re not as bad as the trouble you had with this sentence.

If Jamere Holland’s worst problem is having a typo in a word on a blog post, I’m very much looking forward to next year’s civil war game. I hope you are too. :)

I’ve corrected the error in the summary. Thanks for pointing it out. :)

--Dominic, Addicted to Quack

Autzen Stadium is where great teams go to die." - J. Brady McCullough, The Michigan Daily.

by dvieira on Jun 1, 2009 11:26 PM PDT up reply actions  

Fact

I think fact. With his speed, he can turn a 10 yard gain into a 50 yard gain. I can see CK devising plays where Holland races across 5 yards in front of the line of scrimmage, with Masoli looking to run. D bites on the run, Masoli lobs it to Holland and then its off to the races with a bunch of open field in front of him. If Wes Welker can do that sort of play in the NFL, Holland should be able to in the NCAA.

With 12 games on the schedule, he only needs to average 84 ypg. I think that is very doable, barring injury.

He may be able to get a 1000 just playing against UW and WSU :)

by westspec on Jun 2, 2009 5:56 AM PDT reply actions  

Getting 1,000 yards receiving, even in an offense that passes a lot, is an accomplishment

What I’m saying is Julio Jones and AJ Green of Alabama and Georgia, respectively, both caught under 1,000 yards last year and were still considered two of the best, if not THE best, receivers in the SEC, if not the country. Getting 1,000 yards in college football is an awesome feat that I don’t think a receiver in an offense where the ball is spread out so much is ever going to get to

I support Takimoto in his effort to support Roger Kieschnick in his quest to becoming the best Kieschnick ever to play professional baseball.

by The VD Special on Jun 2, 2009 10:03 AM PDT reply actions  

“Ever” is a long time, but I mostly agree.

Frankly the Oregon offense is probably more dangerous with two or even three prominent passing game weapons, rather than a single 1000-yard guy. Case in point: 2000-01 Beavers when Chad Johnson had 806 yards (8 TDs), TJ Houshmandzadeh had 730 yards (7 TDs), and Robert Prescott had 643 yards (4 TDs). With the Fiesta Bowl Beavs or last year’s Holiday Bowl Ducks, it wasn’t one guy that dominated, but rather death by 1000 cuts. I expect the same from Oregon again this season.

I'm really tired of it not being football season.

by JConant on Jun 2, 2009 11:13 AM PDT up reply actions  

You know what is important? We have a deep threat, and a QB that is willing to try it.

That opens up the game underneath so much, and lets us get more room to run.

"It’s spelled S-H-U-F-E-L-T-M-E-U-P"

by JShufelt on Jun 2, 2009 10:48 AM PDT reply actions  

It’s like you read my mind.

If Holland does nothing more than force every free safety not to cheat against the run, it opens up so much opportunity. Okay – so you’re the opposing free safety and Holland just blew past the corner so you have to turn and run with him…except he was just a decoy and it’s actually a read option… you heard the sideline yelling “run” so you turn back around only see…LaGarrette Blount at 235 pounds and coming full speed and probably growling at you in open field. Yeah, you’re screwed.

I'm really tired of it not being football season.

by JConant on Jun 2, 2009 11:19 AM PDT up reply actions  

Fact or Fiction

Holland will run a streak route 5 times a game.

Fact!

How many catches on said streak routes will go a long way to answering the real fact or fiction.

Sleeping under an avalanche with Cartman, wake me Sept 3.

by trumpetduck on Jun 2, 2009 11:33 AM PDT up reply actions  

Fact - Masoli needs to learn to throw the long ball.

If he does – watch out. Holland had two wide open patterns he ran in the spring game: one was thrown to the wrong should and the other was just plain overthrown. If Masoli can put those on the money – Holland will have a breakout year and the run game will run rampant with the vertical threat.

by BisonDucks on Jun 2, 2009 1:03 PM PDT reply actions  

Agree, still say fiction

Things started clicking for Dixon when his accuracy on the deep ball became top notch. It was right about the time we had to go play some team in Michigan. I remember talking about Dixon with my roommate before that game started, we were saying Dixon wouldn’t be that good because he couldn’t throw it deep consistently. Couldn’t eat for three days it took so long to get my foot out of my mouth. The point being if Masoli learns to hit Holland with the long ball it should allow him to do anything he wants. Which will help and hurt Holland’s yardage.

Sleeping under an avalanche with Cartman, wake me Sept 3.

by trumpetduck on Jun 2, 2009 3:13 PM PDT up reply actions  

FACT - most of the PAC-10's secondary is young and inexperienced

I voted Fact, mostly because I believe that Oregon’s offense will be clicking much better than most of the PAC-10’s defenses. Masoli has a firm grasp on the QB position, and late in the last season, including the Holiday Bowl, showed he has the patience and intelligence to make the right decisions. Couple that with a quick, strong receiver and too many other offensive weapons for Masoli to choose from, including the run from the spread, and most PAC-10 defenses won’t be able to cover Holland long enough to keep him from breaking loose.

It’s the Duck’s season to break loose on offense. The Holiday bowl proved that. 77 yards per game for Holland really isn’t that much if he is able to break loose a couple of times per game, and lord knows he could get some nice padding playing UW and WSU. Those secondaries are awful right now, and with the right play calling, Holland could rack up enough yards in those games to make up for potential lackluster games against USC and Cal.

by WSUCougMaddie on Jun 2, 2009 3:16 PM PDT reply actions  

I really like the way you think...

May we hand you your taints on a silver platter...

by 071903 on Jun 2, 2009 7:08 PM PDT up reply actions  

Your avatar is so cute!

Welcome.

Addicted To Quack [dot] com; Dear Joevan, Develop motor skills. Love, ATQ.

by qrsouther on Jun 2, 2009 7:30 PM PDT up reply actions  

First it’s veiny, athletic appendages, now cute avatars? Dude you’re all over the place.

I'm really tired of it not being football season.

by JConant on Jun 2, 2009 8:43 PM PDT up reply actions  

Otherwise known as a utility player.

I'm really tired of it not being football season.

by JConant on Jun 2, 2009 10:18 PM PDT up reply actions  

Touche.

Addicted To Quack [dot] com; Dear Joevan, Develop motor skills. Love, ATQ.

by qrsouther on Jun 3, 2009 9:50 PM PDT up reply actions  

more like you’re the jake locker’s passing game of commenters.

It's spelled "T-A-K-I-M-O-T-S-C-H-M-O-E."

I support inroywetrust in his support of The VD Special in his support of me supporting Roger Kieschnick in his quest to becoming the best Kieschnick ever to play professional baseball.

by Takimoto on Jun 2, 2009 10:35 PM PDT up reply actions  

BTW...

Welcome to ATQ WSUCougMaddie. Good to have a coug fan in the mix.

I'm really tired of it not being football season.

by JConant on Jun 2, 2009 8:49 PM PDT up reply actions  

Thats what Blount did, stat wise

Sleeping under an avalanche with Cartman, wake me Sept 3.

by trumpetduck on Jun 2, 2009 11:07 PM PDT up reply actions  

And JJ!

He did two games worth on two carries in the CW!

May we hand you your taints on a silver platter...

by 071903 on Jun 3, 2009 3:43 AM PDT up reply actions  

It's not the Avatar...

If it were just me, it wouldn’t be so damn cute – but look at her, how can you not love a 3 1/2 year old girl who loves college sports?!

I actually took her to her first BB game up here in Seattle in January, when the UO Women’s BB team kicked the crap out of those stupid Fuskies! She had a blast. She also made me promise to take her to the Ducks/Huskies football game in Oct. That is going to be one fun beat down!

Thanks for the love…we are huge Duck supporters in my house as well!

by WSUCougMaddie on Jun 3, 2009 7:35 AM PDT reply actions  

We’ll always be friends as long as there are huskies to hate.

"It’s spelled S-H-U-F-E-L-T-M-E-U-P"

by JShufelt on Jun 3, 2009 7:57 AM PDT up reply actions  

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