2010 Oregon Football Preview :: Washington State Cougars

Part 6 in a series on Oregon's 2010 season opponents

Part 1:  New Mexico | Part 2: Tennessee | Part 3: Portland State | Part 4: Arizona State | Part 5: Stanford

Washingtonstatecougars_medium

 Time TBA :: October 9, 2010 :: Martin Stadium

Opponent Washington State
Nickname Cougars
Location Pullman, WA
Enrollment 18,234
Head Coach Paul Wulff (3-22 at WSU, 56-60 overall)
Stadium Martin Stadium (35,117) : FieldTurf
2009 Record 1-11, (0-9 Pac 10)
Starters Returning 8 Offense : 7 Defense
Base Offense Single Back
Base Defense 4-3
Blogs Coug CenterWSU Football BlogThe Coug
Newspapers Seattle Times, Spokane Spokesman-Review

Top Returners

Category Player
Rushing James Montgomery :: 37 Rushes : 167 Yards : 1 TD
Passing Jeff Tuel :: 71/121 : 789 Yards : 6 TD : 5 INT
Receiving Jared Karstetter :: 38 Receptions : 540 Yards : 6 TD
Tackles Alex Hoffman-Ellis :: 84 Total, 55 Solo, 29 Assisted
Sacks Travis Long, Casey Hamlett:: 2 each
Interceptions Myron Beck :: 2 INT


Oregon heads to Pullman in early October, hopefully before the weather out there becomes unbearable, because that should be the only thing stopping the Ducks from rolling up a big victory.


2009 Offensive Statistics 

Statistic Washington State Oregon
Pass Offense 176.3 (100) 180.31 (98)
Rush Offense 70.67 (118) 231.69 (6)
Total Offense 246.9 (119) 412.00 (33)
Scoring Offense 12.0 (119) 36.08 (8)
Pass Efficiency 101.33 (114) 128.03 (59)
Sacks Allowed 4.42 (119) 1.00 (10)
3rd Down Conversion % 23.81 (120) 35.12 (95)
Yards/Play 4.1 (119) 6.0 (24)

The Washington State offense has been horrendously bad over the past two seasons. In both seasons, they have had more punting yards than total yards (Oregon has doubled their punting yards every since since 2004). The have ranked 119th in total yards for the past two years. 

Last year, they ranked dead last in S&P+ by a significant margin, and according to the same metrics, had the second-worst passing attack and rushing attack in the country. 

Honestly, there's no way that this offense can get any worse. They return 8 offensive starters, including most of their offensive line, and most importantly, QB Jeff Tuel. If there is any offensive optimism going into this season, it's due to Tuel, who came in against USC last season, and was surprisingly competent. He played well over the next few games, including a 354 yard performance against Cal, before going down with a knee injury. If Tuel can grow to be an average to above-average QB, WSU will be vastly improved on offense. 

Tuel may not have a lot of help from the run game, however. James Montgomery, a transfer from Cal, returns after playing only the first three games last season, and there isn't much behind him, though Paul Wulff is seems to have some hope that they'll get production out of their freshman recruits.

At receiver, the Cougars return their top 3 receivers, including their leader Jared Karstetter. The experience should be a benefit, though the unit can only hope for mediocrity and won't be blowing anyone away.

The key to the entire offense will be the offensive line. Cougar fans are hoping that they improve, and that won't be tough to do from last seasons numbers. They gained only 71 yards on the ground last year, and gave up a sack rate of 14.2%. If the line can become even below-average, that will help the rest of the offense tremendously

Overall, this will not be a good offense. If they are not in the bottom of every Pac-10 category, that has to be considered a success for the team. Oregon should manhandle this offense. They have more talent and should win pretty much every position battle. While the Cougars may be improved, they still have a long ways to go before they will have a competitive Pac-10 offense.


2009 Defensive Statistics

Statistic Washington State Oregon
Pass Defense 275.6 (115) 207.62 (44)
Rush Defense 236.42 (117) 128.69 (42)
Total Defense 512.0 (120) 336.31 (35)
Scoring Defense 38.5 (118) 23.77 (51)
Pass Efficiency Defense 151.05 (112) 112.30 (25)
Tackles for Loss 4.58 (107) 6.31 (40)
Opponent 3rd Down % 41.67 (84) 37.91 (51)
Turnover Margin -0.58 (102) +0.15 (51)
Yards/Play Allowed 7.1 (120) 4.4 (12)

 

The WSU defense has been atrocious the last few years. Last season, they gave up over 7000 yards, 7.1 yards per play, and came in 117th in S&P+.

The woes of the WSU defense start with the defensive line. They have simply been pushed around, and have made it nearly impossible for the rest of the defense to keep up. This season, they return every starter, and 8 players with starting experience, and also add some depth with JC transfer Brandon Rankin. If they can hold their own at all, it will give the rest of the defense a chance to be marginally successful.

The linebacking unit is led by Alex Hoffman-Ellis, WSU's returning tackler. Behind him, there isn't much proven talent, though there is at least some talent. Touted 2010 recruit CJ Mizell could make an impact, though talented LB Louis Bland may have to redshirt due to recurring knee problems. Paul Wulff thinks this unit will be faster, though starting off with significant injury problems doesn't bring a lot of optimism.

The secondary returns starters CB Aire Justin and SS Chima Nwachukwu. Both have had decent production, but niether will be a difference maker in the Pac-10. 7 players with starting experience return. If the unit could avoid injury problems, they might be able to get some degree of cohesiveness. But that could just be wishful thinking.

The WSU defense will have an almost insurmountable task slowing down the Oregon offense. Two years ago the Ducks put up over 60 points despite uncertainty from the QB position. With a few games under their belts, the Duck offense should steamroll the Cougars.

2009 Special Teams Statistics 

Statistic Washington State Oregon
Kick Returns 18.54 (114) 24.91 (10)
Punt Returns 6.89 (86) 12.00 (27)
Kickoff Returns Against 27.72 (120) 20.85 (42)
Punt Returns Against 13.05 (111) 6.83 (T-36)


The number one key to strong special teams play is depth, and WSU has just not had it recently. That is very apparent when looking at opponents special teams stats. WSU has given up large yards in the return game, which simply cannot happen to a team struggling to stay competitive. If WSU has been lucky enough to get into a field position battle, they have lost it quickly. 

In the kicking game, WSU has a solid punter in Reid Forrest. He's gotten a lot of practice the last few years and slowly improved, though punt coverage hasn't helped him much. 

WSU can look to improve this year, though they still have a long ways to go.


Final Analysis

WSU has been so utterly terrible over the past few years, that even if they improve significantly, it is doubtful they'll win a Pac-10 game. But Paul Wulff's team has a chance to make some good strides this season. They have a lot of players returning and have been killed by injuries over the past two seasons. They might see some dividends this season. Talking about winning a Pac-10 game is very optimistic for this team, but the Cougars have chance to move towards staying competitive in some Pac-10 games. For the sake of the Cougars, and the Pac-10 as a whole, I hope this happens.

Oregon will not be one of those games, however. The Ducks will have a significant edge in every position battle on the field, and it will be a shock if WSU can keep the final score within 3 touchdowns.

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