Navigation: Jump to content areas:


Pro Quality. Fan Perspective.
Login-facebook
Around SBN: This Week In GIFs

Rose Bowl 2012: LaMichael James and Montee Ball headline exceptional rushing attacks

For Oregon to be successful, LaMichael James must have a big day.

For college football fans, the Rose Bowl will be a great game. It features two of the best running backs of the past two years. Both Oregon's LaMichael James and Wisconsin's Montee Ball were Doak Walker Award finalists this year. Both have been Heisman trophy finalists. James is one of the most productive backs in Pac-12 history (in only 3 seasons), while Ball has scored an astounding 38 TDs this season. James and Ball ranked 1st and 3rd, respectively, in rushing yards per game.

Both players lead the rushing attacks for their teams that makes the rest of the offense go. Both offense will try to set a tone in the rushing game, and the offense will flow from there. But Oregon's rushing attack will have a higher amount of pressure.

For Oregon to win the game on Monday, they have to be successful on the ground. Not only does this mean that the Ducks must rack up a lot of yards, but they must do it consistently, something they haven't always done this year. How the Ducks run the ball is the key to this game.

Star-divide

We all know the stats in previous "big" non-conference games. Oregon rushing offense has been limited to some of its worst output of the year. The only game the Ducks were able to somewhat overcome this was against Auburn, when Darron Thomas threw the ball all over the field, but the limited rushing game kept the Ducks out of the end zone. But last year's offense was far different than this years.

Last year, this Ducks ranked similarly nationally in standard downs vs. passing downs. Keep in mind, advanced stats hated Oregon last year, but the Oregon offense ranked 21st nationally in standard downs, and 28th in passing down. This is not a significant difference.

This year, Oregon ranks 3rd in standard downs. However, in passing downs, they rank 50th in the country. The dropoff when Oregon gets into 2nd and 3rd and long situations is simply astounding. Oregon's inconsistency on the line, and inconsistency in the passing game has really hurt the Ducks, and made it even more reliant on producing yards on the ground consistently.

Luckily, Oregon matches up very well with the Wisconsin defense, which is frankly, not all that good. They ranked below defenses like Stanford in almost all advanced metrics, and do not have a single All Big 10 player on their defensive line.

They have good linebackers in Chris Borland and Mike Taylor, and good defensive backs in Antonio Genelus and Aaron Henry, but that means that Wisconsin is a good defense on passing downs, and not so much on standard downs. According to S&P+, they have the 70th ranked defense in the country on standard downs, and 19th in passing downs. It's like Oregon has found it's defensive counterpart.

And this makes me love this matchup. To be successful, Oregon must run the ball consistently, and I don't think that Wisconsin will be able to consistently stop the Ducks.

Unfortunately, the Ducks face a pretty incredible rushing game and offense on the opposite side of the ball. Wisconsin has arguably the best offense in the country. Montee Ball is an exceptional back behind a huge offensive line, and if he fails, Russell Wilson can get it done through the air. Wisconsin has the #1 ranked offense in both standard downs and passing downs, according to S&P+.

A lot has been written about Oregon's speed vs. Wisconsin's size. But the Ducks do have the front 7 to disrupt the Wisconsin attack. With the attacking scheme that Nick Aliotti runs, the Ducks will trade yards for the opportunity to make big plays. They did this very successfully against Stanford, and they'll do it again.

But be ready to be frustrated, because the Ducks are sure to give up multiple instances where they will give up 7 yards on first down, then another 6, then 8, as Wisconsin seems to push Oregon down the field. But I have no doubt that Oregon will get stops, and this game (as most do) will not come down to the amount of yards either team gives up, but the amount of stops that they get.

I feel like I know what we're going to get out of the Oregon front 7. A lot of yards, some big plays, and Wisconsin will probably score around 35 points.

But I don't know what we're going to get out of the Oregon offense. I think they have a decided matchup advantage, but there are a lot of questions in any bowl game. Can the offensive line get in sync early? Will Thomas, James, and Barner make the right reads and cuts? How long will it take the offenses to shake off the rust?

Oregon has an opportunity to do what they haven't done in a bowl game, run the ball. They must do this to have a chance to win the game. If they do, they'll be in great shape to get their first Rose Bowl victory in a long, long time.

Ducks Fan Confidence Poll

Last tallied on 12/28.

21|1:|0|100&chxt=x,y&chco=5098c7&chd=t:82

Comment 13 comments  |  0 recs  | 

Do you like this story?

Comments

Display:

The only game the Ducks were able to somewhat overcome this was against LSU, when Darron Thomas threw the ball all over the field, but the limited rushing game kept the Ducks out of the end zone. But last year’s offense was far different than this years.

I think you mean Auburn, not LSU

by echo31 on Dec 28, 2011 10:08 AM PST reply actions  

You know how it goes. All those SEC teams are all the same.

--AddictedToQuack, SBNation's Oregon Ducks blog

by jtlight on Dec 28, 2011 10:49 AM PST up reply actions  

/that’sracistgif

by echo31 on Dec 28, 2011 11:38 AM PST up reply actions  

I remember in 2003 when we faced a Heisman hopeful RB from the Big 10, and I hope that we can stop Montee Ball even 1/3 as well as we did that time

by echo31 on Dec 28, 2011 2:44 PM PST reply actions  

Jordan Carey's shining moment of glory

I think that was the only time he ever hit the stat sheet…

by BigMacDuck on Dec 28, 2011 4:28 PM PST up reply actions  

Whoa... how am I doing that?

This is BigMacDuck…. are my posts showing up right?

by Blaser7 on Dec 29, 2011 3:15 PM PST reply actions  

Comments For This Post Are Closed


User Tools

Welcome to the Addicted to Quack, SBN's Oregon Ducks blog and fan community.

FanPosts

Community blog posts and discussion.

Recent FanPosts

Uncle_phil_small
Oregon National Champs? See what ESPN says...
2011-09-03_15-49-32_912_small
Weekend Preview for May 18-20
Mostinteresting_small
Tako Tuesdays: The Music Thread
Small
Better video of DAT in 100m
2011-09-03_15-49-32_912_small
Giant Sports Weekend Open Thread
Atq-spoon-5_small
Miracle Wolf Scholarship Fund: Update
La_foto_small
Spring game online?
Small
Ducks Drafted and also picked up in Free agency
2011-09-03_15-49-32_912_small
------> REVISED: ATQ Spring Game Meet-Up 2012
Dog_in_tree_small
Duck football tied to Kennedy Assassination

+ New FanPost All FanPosts >

FanShots

Quick hits of video, photos, quotes, chats, links and lists that you find around the web.

Recent FanShots

Guest SB Nation correspondent A.J. Jenkins gets a few questions in with his new teammate, LaMichael...
Big Weekend For Ducks Baseball
Hello folks, you may not know me but i'm an alum living in south hateistan (renton WA)  and am looking to find duck fans who enjoy drinking and college football in this hostile environment. Please let me know if you share these pursuits and wish to hang.
While at the NFLPA trading card photo shoot, Amy K. Nelson and Dan Rubenstein gave their microphone...
Spring Football Analysis II & the "Scat" Play
Here is this weeks video with plenty of discussion on the changes for the BCS.  Thanks ATQ and GO Ducks!
Anthony Bennett picks UNLV over Oregon
Chip Kelly Scared
Here is this weeks video. Thanks ATQ, GO DUCKS!
All of DAT's races from Oregon Twilight.

+ New FanShot All FanShots >

ATQ Twitter Feed


Managers

207873_1005773153454_1498651968_14034_9616_n_small David Piper

Pre_small ntrebon

Img_0525_small jtlight

Mostinteresting_small Takimoto

Domsicecream_small dvieira

Editors

Pettingzoo_small PaulSF

Atq-spoon-5_small Matt Daddy

Authors

Ryan__rusty_small jcgoducks

Small nds500