Since Chip Kelly took over the Oregon offense -- and especially since becoming head coach in 2009 -- Oregon's football recruiting has shifted away from the California axis that has provided the majority of its players for decades.
Looking at the last 10 recruiting classes, two trends are apparent:
- Arizona has overtaken Washington as a recruiting target, and
- The ratio of California recruits is at a historic low. Also,
- CK's going national on recruiting (this is widely known, so I didn't count that as one of the two trends).
Chip arrived after the 2007 recruiting class was signed. In the last two years, while he's had total control over the recruiting process, Oregon has signed 19 kids out of California -- one less over two years than his predecessor landed in 2007 alone.
- National recruiting focus, aided and abetted by the success on the field, slick facilities, --ugly-- stylish-to-18-year-olds uniforms, media coverage, etc.
- More selective recruiting in California; since it's no longer necessary to sign the 2- star kids from south of the border to fill out a class, Oregon can hit the 4- and 5-star kids harder. More competition from top programs means they won't sign as many as they used to.
- SARK HAS CLOSED THE BORDER.
The question: Is this a trend, or are the last two years outliers? Were there just not as many quality players in SoCal this year? Did we just lose most of them to Cal? (There were at least three players in that category.)