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Oregon baseball: Stranded runners, predictable strategy, lead to another lost series

Kris Anderson, Addicted to Quack, Episode 2 

On Friday, I was reminded of what the Oregon Ducks (17-16, 2-7 Pac-10) season was supposed to be like. The dominant pitching would set the tone of the game--opponents would know that every run would be a grind. On the other side would be the Oregon hitters whose only way of impressing you was by their ability to score just enough runs to escape with the win. On Friday against the USC Trojans (15-20, 6-6 Pac-10), it was Oregon baseball--the way fans pay to see it.

The preseason All-American, Tyler Anderson, as on the bump Friday night and was unflappable in his outing. Anderson scattered five hits, walked only one, didn't allow an earned run and struck out ten. Trojans first baseman Ricky Oropesa, who ranks in the top-10 in the conference in--get ready for this list--batting average, slugging percentage, on-base percentage, hits, RBI, home runs and total bases, struck out all three times he faced Anderson.

Led at the plate by second baseman Danny Pulfer--who appears to be the newly found leadoff hitter--the Ducks strung together hits when needed, and even reminded the faithful followers that this team does have some pop. With the game tied at two in the either inning, left fielder Stefan Sabol sent a solo shot over the left field fence. The Ducks would plate one more in the ninth to take the first game of the series 4-2.

What was most impressive in game one were the 11 hits the Ducks produced. What was most concerning were the eight runner left on base.

Oregon would prove in the final two games of the series that my concern was not purely paranoia.

Star-divide

The Ducks would strand 20 runners while only scoring three runs during the remainder of the series. Following the second game of the series where the Ducks lost 9-2 while producing 11 hits but also leaving 11 runners on base, head coach George Horton used the word "continuity" to describe what his offense was missing. I suppose the glass-half-full way to look at this weekend is that the Ducks were even able to have 28 runners to leave on base. It's all about baby steps, right?

The Ducks would drop the rubber match by the score of 3-1. 

Following this weekend's series, there were a few things that let me know this is a team deserving of its conference standing.

The predictability of the Ducks "small-ball" style of play

Horton has always been known as a coach that looks for ways to manufacture runs. Last weekend during the series against Washington, I turned to Adam Jude, sports writer for The Register-Guard, and said, "this team plays more small-ball than I've ever seen a team play." He said to me," that's just Horton, man."

But this style has gone past the point of "a coach with balls," to the point where if the Ducks have a runner on first with less than two outs--no matter where they are in the order--a sacrifice bunt, or a hit-and-run, or a steal is guaranteed. And I'm not the only one who knows it.

The Oregon dugout continuously called for the hit-and-run throughout the weekend--and one could argue that it cost the Ducks in both of their defeats. The Ducks would strategize their way out of innings with swinging strike-threes and throw-downs to second that would beat the runner.

In the third inning of the third game of the series, Oregon had an opportunity to build an early lead. Pulfer singled to drive in KC Serna who had just doubled off the USC pitcher, Logan Odom, a native of Oregon. With one out, Pulfer attempted to steal second, but was thrown out following a pitch-out by Odom. Brett Thomas record the final out of the inning on a strikeout looking.

When I can sit in the press box and predict when the runner is taking off with a, roughly, 90 percent success rate, that is when it looks more like it's hindering the team than helping the team.

One of the explanations that I've been able to come up with for it is that Horton has a lack of confidence in his offense-and it's hard to blame him. When your team is stranding 28 runners on base in a three-game series, you start to think outside the box when finding ways to score runs. When Horton talks about "continuity" missing form the lineup, maybe that is why he turns to "small-ball."

Rough weekend from Madison Boer and the ‘pen

Madison Boer was shaky in his outing on Saturday. He pitched five and two-third innings while allowing ten hits, four walks and three earned runs. He was able to strikeout five, but he struggled with his command. It was certainly not the Boer we saw last weekend.

The bullpen still appears to be hit-and-miss after allowing four earned runs and six walks in the last two games of the series. Christian Jones-in his first appearance on the mound following a back injury-was still in search of his command while walking two and allowing a hit in two-thirds of an inning. Scott McGough allowed a run on one hit and a walk during Saturdays one-inning outing. But he was dealing the next day when he didn't allow a hit and struck out one in an inning of work.

Closer Kellen Moen earned the save on Friday night, but allowed two runs to score during the eight inning of a tie game on Sunday.

Youth

In every series the Ducks seem to remind us of their age. The Ducks continuously define themselves by their youth and inexperience--and when the season is over, that is how this year will be defined.

The Ducks were down two runs entering the eighth inning of Saturday's game. From there, Oregon would collapse. With one out in the inning, McGough walked the second hitter of the inning. Porter Clayton would continue the unraveling of the bullpen. The runner would move to second on a wild pitch. Then Clayton would issue the second walk of the inning. Joey Housey replaced Clayton. He hit the second batter he faced to load the bases. A single would then score a run. Brando Tessar came in to replace Housey, but the final out of the inning was quite elusive for Tessar. When the inning was over, USC had scored six runs on only two hits and an error.

On Sunday, it was again the eighth inning that would prove disastrous.

Kellen Moen issued a leadoff walk. That runner would move to second on a balk, and then advance to third on a wild pitch. He would score on a double and the Trojans would plate one more in the inning.

The Ducks would commit four errors in the series, proving that they are a team not ready for the bright lights that come with lofty, early season expectations.

Follow me on twitter @ twitter.com/kanders4 I will continue to provide in-game updates, video of player interviews, links to my work for collegebaseball360 and any news that Duck baseball fans need to know.

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Oh sarcasm font… you mythical beast. You can potentially confuse those that are unaware of your existence.

It's spelled "S-H-U-F-E-L-T-S-K-Y"

by JShufelt on Apr 18, 2011 12:01 PM PDT up reply actions  

Way to ruin the fun Shu

I was certain someone was going to come racing in, light themself on fire, and leap headfirst into the sarchasm, screaming invectives as they plummented into the abyss. Now what do I have to look forward to?

by daisyduck on Apr 18, 2011 12:40 PM PDT up reply actions  

I don’t want Kris to be scared and run away. He needs to fall into the sarchasm in the same way as everyone else – Entirely unaware. I’m on a quest to destroy the sarcasm font. It’s more fun our way, Daisy.

It's spelled "S-H-U-F-E-L-T-S-K-Y"

by JShufelt on Apr 18, 2011 1:59 PM PDT up reply actions  

Good point

Everything is more fun our way, Shu.

by daisyduck on Apr 18, 2011 3:58 PM PDT up reply actions  

It is really frustrating leaving so many men on base, and while small ball may produce hits, it can set up some easy outs too.

Will more experience really improve this team or will we get in a rut of being unable to finish our games for a couple years?

It's spelled "S-H-U-F-E-L-T-S-K-Y"

by JShufelt on Apr 18, 2011 12:05 PM PDT reply actions  

They just need time

This year has become entirely about gaining experience. I mean, they have three freshman starting in the outfield. The bullpen has dealt with injuries, and it seems every game that roles have to adjust to adhere to those injuries (side note: I will be doing a feature story on those three freshman for goducks). But just look at Stefan Sabol. He is starting to drive the ball. he had 2 RBI’s today and a home run against USC. These guys just need time at this level to adjust. Its a big jump from high school to D1

by kanders4 on Apr 18, 2011 5:11 PM PDT up reply actions  

Great example with Sabol

He was hitting well before he broke his hand. When got back into the lineup, his timing was off and it was like he had to start all over again. In the meantime, we missed his hits.

Now it is all about gaining experience, but that’s not how the year started. Unfortunately, we were ranked in the top 15 in five preseason polls and predicted to host a regional, told that NIKE was designing special uniforms for the regionals, and had Horton talking about going to Omaha. We needed to walk back some of that talk earlier and work on getting through one game at a time without a meltdown inning. No doubt our young guys are getting some great experience this year, but our starting pitcher rotation is going to take a hit next year.

by Ducks73 on Apr 18, 2011 7:07 PM PDT up reply actions  

One game at a time

I talked to Horton and Pulfer today and they both used the phrase one game at a time. I have videos of those interviews that I’ll be posting with my article tomorrow.

by kanders4 on Apr 18, 2011 7:44 PM PDT up reply actions  

Thanks Kris

I just have to say having your updates and info on the Diamond Ducks is such a great thing for this site.

Now, if we could just get that Tako guy to contribute something… anything.

Lavender double U's have no soul
Addicted to Quack

by Matt Daddy on Apr 18, 2011 8:19 PM PDT up reply actions  

I FIND THIS IN VIOLATION OF THE ATQ COMMUNITY GUIDELINES!!

Willie Lyles is dating my mom.
Addicted to Quack, home of Bill Musgrave, the best ever.

by Takimoto on Apr 18, 2011 10:27 PM PDT up reply actions  

Bad form Musgrave, considering Tako is still declaring his everlasting devotion to you in his sig line.

by daisyduck on Apr 19, 2011 8:13 AM PDT up reply actions  

There is no sarcasm font in the sig line.

In addition, there is no bad form on ATQ, is there?

If so, I need to know what it is so I can put more effort into it.

Take a doo doo pie. I love you.

by Bill Musgrave on Apr 19, 2011 8:12 PM PDT up reply actions  

There's nothing wrong with what Kris is doing

why would you even suggest such a thing. Man you’re a jerk.

Lavender double U's have no soul
Addicted to Quack

by Matt Daddy on Apr 18, 2011 10:37 PM PDT up reply actions  

I hate you.

Willie Lyles is dating my mom.
Addicted to Quack, home of Bill Musgrave, the best ever.

by Takimoto on Apr 18, 2011 11:13 PM PDT up reply actions  

Shit, I pulled #49

how many people have you pissed off Matt?

The "Bill Simmons" of ATQ

by axemen23 on Apr 19, 2011 8:38 AM PDT up reply actions  

He’s on #48.

It's spelled "S-H-U-F-E-L-T-S-K-Y"

by JShufelt on Apr 20, 2011 10:50 AM PDT up reply actions  

Some changes today

Sabol is at 3rd and there is about 5 people in the left field bleachers.

#88

by pipgras on Apr 18, 2011 1:17 PM PDT via mobile reply actions  

FIVE freshmen in the starting line-up today

Guess we’re going with the get more experience thing today . . . against a senior pitcher.

by Ducks73 on Apr 18, 2011 1:35 PM PDT up reply actions  

Looking good so far

Hitting runners in (3 runs on 5 hits with a runner on in the 3rd), good pitching (5 strike outs thru 3) amd no fielding mistakes yet

#88

by pipgras on Apr 18, 2011 1:50 PM PDT via mobile up reply actions  

"knock on wood"

Glad Jones is getting a good start after his back problems. Hope we can score enough or he can pitch long enough to avoid the bullpen.

by Ducks73 on Apr 18, 2011 1:52 PM PDT up reply actions  

he was my high school teammate

I played with this guy since we were both little and all the way thru high school. Jon Abramson throws gas, but his off speed looked all over the place today. and big mistake not looking Pulfer back at second when he stole third. He didnt even give him a look

by kanders4 on Apr 18, 2011 2:04 PM PDT up reply actions  

Video: opps

IDK how that outtake slipped thru the cracks but I just watched the thing again in its entirety and lets just say, thats embarrassing. Since I’m covering Ducks baseball, lets just call that my eighth inning blunder

by kanders4 on Apr 18, 2011 9:24 PM PDT reply actions  

I personally thank you for watching your fucking mouth. Gotta keep it clean for the little shitlings.

It's spelled "S-H-U-F-E-L-T-S-K-Y"

by JShufelt on Apr 20, 2011 10:51 AM PDT up reply actions  

If that embarrasses you, you should listen to ME talk.

It's spelled "S-H-U-F-E-L-T-S-K-Y"

by JShufelt on Apr 20, 2011 10:52 AM PDT up reply actions  

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