Oregon vs. Oregon State Game Thread (Game 3 @ 1 p.m.), and 5 things to look for from the Ducks
by kanders4 on May 29, 2011 10:30 AM PDT
in Oregon Ducks Baseball
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PrintQuack fans, here is where you can find updates on today's third game of the Civil War Series. I will be in the press box of PK Park, posting updates as they happen.
The Ducks lead the series 2-0 and have raised their RPI to 58, according to Boyd's World. For the Beavers, their RPI has fallen to 28.
What does that mean for the Ducks? RPI is far form an exact science when determining regional selections. I would say the cut off for being selected to regionals is 60, so Oregon would have to complete the sweep in order to stay below that. Also, even if the Ducks stay below 60, that does not guarantee them a regional spot. The committee will take into account things like being swept by the UCLA Bruins and losing two out of three to the Washington State Cougars last weekend.
Looking at the Pac-10 conference picture, the Bruins secured themselves at least a share of first place with a win over the Arizona State Sun Devils, last night. If the Bruins win today. Currently, the Beavers are one game back of the Bruins. A win for the Bruins today and they will stand alone at the Pac-10 conference champs. A loss and a win by the Beavers means a two-way tie for first place.
The Ducks sit alone in seventh place.
As far as the game today, the Beavers are not releasing who will be their starting pitcher. Because of that, Horton has decide he will wait as well. My hope is that Madison Boer will be on the hill for the Ducks. He spent much of the year as the Ducks dominant No. 2 pitcher--although he would be an ace on many other staffs. He was moved to the closer roll a before the Stanford series to relieve a struggling bullpen. But after Scott McGough's outing yesterday, the Ducks might be able to take the risk of moving Boer out of the 'pen.
However, my gut tell me that Alex Keudell will be the Ducks starter today. Keudell has a 3.20 earned run average and a 6-3 record. Boer has a 2.27 earned run average.
I will have lineups and starting pitchers for all of you as soon as I get them.
I'm going to keep this brief, but here are the five things to look for:
1. I see great things from Ryon Healy. The Ducks first baseman has hit home runs in the last two rubber matches at home. He seems to step up in the big games, and it's not every freshman that can say that. OK, so he doesn't have a hit in this series. That's just all the more reason for him to have that chip on his shoulder coming to the park today. Or he's caught in the midst of a slump and I'm an idiot. Guess we'll see.
2. Aaron Jones, keep producing runs. I guess I'm all about freshmen today. The Ducks right fielder has five runs batted in in this series. With the bases loaded in the fourth inning of Saturday's game, Jones cleared the bases with a double. On Friday, his two runs batted in were a little less spectacular (sacrifice fly and fielders choice). He'll be in hte four or five hole today, so opportunities to drive runs in will present themselves.
3. Defense. At times this season, the Ducks defense has proved fatal. If this game shapes up like the last two, an error could have major implications. this has been a series decided by extremely slim margins. Ducks third baseman J.J. Altobelli has been an every day starter because of his glove (Also, he has a 10 game hit streak, which might be the quietest double digit hit streak I've ever seen). Who knows how many runs his glove has saved this season?
4. Pitching & Luck. I'm combining these two things because I don't know who will be starting for the Ducks today. Christian Jones started for the Ducks on the mound yesterday, and he needed luck. His stuff was not sharp, and the Beavers hit him hard. But they were right at fielders, for the most part. Friday's game was decide by just a couple bounces in the Ducks favor. Granted, the Beaver bats have have really struggled in key situations, but the Ducks seem to have everything going their way in this series.
My guess is that Ben Wetzler will start for the Beavers today. His number have been less than impressive (4.70 earned run average). If he does start, the Ducks will have the edge in pitching with either Boer or Keudell. That being the case, either guy needs to pitch to his potential. If they do what they are capable of doing, that might be enough for the Ducks.
5. Small ball. In a series decided by inches, small ball becomes unmeasurably important. The Ducks need to get guys over, scrap and find any way to score. Horton is a small ball guy. The Ducks can't rely on the big hit, so Horton will push the tempo of the game with bunting, hit-and-runs; anything that will get guys over. Also, look for at least ONE DELAYED STEAL today. I promise the Ducks will try it at least once.
Prediction: Pitching will be the difference, and the game will go to the team with the edge on the mound. Ducks complete the sweep and hold their breath for tomorrows regional decision.
Look here for all your Duck updates. I'll be typing with fire-fingers today (whatever that means).
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I have NEVER taken out my football eye black and head-piece for anything other than a saturday (or thursday/friday) in the fall
I’m making an exception today. For all the talk about a crash-and-burn season, crappy bullpen, etc., the team has a chance to not only do something today that people will remember for years to come, but possibly, somehow, miraculously make the tournament.
The "Bill Simmons" of ATQ
There's no good at this point that can come from messing with the rotation IMO
I’d rather have the possibly-reborn Mcgough and Boer on the back end of a close game, besides Kuedell isn’t a slouch.
The "Bill Simmons" of ATQ
I don't mean to take anything away from Keudell.
He has been money for the Ducks. But you know horton was thinking of starting his possible all-American with the season he has had. Again, Keudell is more than worthy of getting the nod
thanks for the great baseball write-ups this season, it’s nice to have such an informed voice for baseball on AtQ … at times we seem extremely football centric around here
also, sorry to do this, but i’ve seen it in the last 2 write-ups of yours … please note the difference between “loosing” and “losing”
Starting pitchers
Ducks: Alex Keudell (6-3, 3.20 ERA)
OSU: James Nygren (8-2, 3.15 ERA, 16 App., 8 GS)
Starting lineups
Ducks: D. Pulfer 2B, B. Thomas CF, A. Jones RF, R Healy 1B, S. Sabol LF, S. Peterson DH, KC Serna SS, B Hambright C, J.J. altobelli 3B
Beavers: R. Barnes RF, M. Miller LF, A. Sucac C, K Keyes DH, J. Norris 1B, R. Dunn SS, C. Bell 3B, J. Rodriguez 2B, B. Stamps CF
games to keep your eye on
Missouri and Texas A&M. Ducks really need A&M to win that b/c a win by the Tigers would take away one of those bubble spots. 7-6 A&M in the 5th
YOU ARE NOT ALONE KANDERS4!
"I'll give any teller who gives me a lollipop 4 stars."-Chip Kelly
by TennesseeQuackAttack8 on May 29, 2011 1:59 PM PDT via mobile reply actions
Thanks for the updates!
The video on goducks.tv is about 1/2 an inning behind for some reason. That wouldn’t be a big deal, except the live stats right next to the video are up to date…
--AddictedToQuack, SBNation's Oregon Ducks blog
The fake works....the run scores...Ducks up 3-0
"What you are entrusted to do as a coach is to create an environment where your players have a chance to be successful." CHIP KELLY
There are a lot of people that can’t get the game. The updates are appreciated.
--AddictedToQuack, SBNation's Oregon Ducks blog
Besides that, you got anything better to do..?
Aj leads off with single to right
"What you are entrusted to do as a coach is to create an environment where your players have a chance to be successful." CHIP KELLY
Would it be too much to ask Healy to serve up another wall-banger?
"What you are entrusted to do as a coach is to create an environment where your players have a chance to be successful." CHIP KELLY
Duke's done.....call to the pen...Bavers are getting 'bruised.'
"What you are entrusted to do as a coach is to create an environment where your players have a chance to be successful." CHIP KELLY
Matt Boyd the new Baver pitcher B-6, 1 out, runner on first
"What you are entrusted to do as a coach is to create an environment where your players have a chance to be successful." CHIP KELLY
I don't really understand baseball
But I enjoy any event that ends with the Ducks scoring more points then the Bavers.
It is hard to understand...the only game I can think of where when you've got the ball, you're on defense.
"What you are entrusted to do as a coach is to create an environment where your players have a chance to be successful." CHIP KELLY
Peterson rockets one to right, Jones to thrid, the nasty KC Serna up now. 2 d0wn
"What you are entrusted to do as a coach is to create an environment where your players have a chance to be successful." CHIP KELLY
Serna drops a dying quail in for single to right, 4-0 Ducks AJ scores
"What you are entrusted to do as a coach is to create an environment where your players have a chance to be successful." CHIP KELLY
Hambright frozen rope to right for ANOTHER RBI...5-0 DUX!!!!!!!!!!
"What you are entrusted to do as a coach is to create an environment where your players have a chance to be successful." CHIP KELLY
Baver bullpen again?? what they got left????
"What you are entrusted to do as a coach is to create an environment where your players have a chance to be successful." CHIP KELLY
Cole Bayliss, 6' 7" in from the pen, B6, 2 in 2on, 2 out.
"What you are entrusted to do as a coach is to create an environment where your players have a chance to be successful." CHIP KELLY
Altmatic Belly up for the Duxks, deep fly to center 3 down
"What you are entrusted to do as a coach is to create an environment where your players have a chance to be successful." CHIP KELLY
Pulfer, Thomas and Jones due up.....top of the order
"What you are entrusted to do as a coach is to create an environment where your players have a chance to be successful." CHIP KELLY
Let's try not to blow this one.
"I'll give any teller who gives me a lollipop 4 stars."-Chip Kelly
by TennesseeQuackAttack8 on May 29, 2011 3:23 PM PDT reply actions
Ducks down in order....
"What you are entrusted to do as a coach is to create an environment where your players have a chance to be successful." CHIP KELLY
Serna gobbles the 2 hopper and throws to 1st for out # 1 5 out left for the sweep
Now 2 down 4 outs left….
"What you are entrusted to do as a coach is to create an environment where your players have a chance to be successful." CHIP KELLY
Fly ball to Thomas, seven pithes end of the Bavers half of the 8th
"What you are entrusted to do as a coach is to create an environment where your players have a chance to be successful." CHIP KELLY
Bottom of the eighth, Healy up,
"What you are entrusted to do as a coach is to create an environment where your players have a chance to be successful." CHIP KELLY
Sealy seeing eye single, now 3 for 4 , 1 on , no out
"What you are entrusted to do as a coach is to create an environment where your players have a chance to be successful." CHIP KELLY
Ten hits for the Ducks so far
pop out for 1st out, Healy stays @ 1st
"What you are entrusted to do as a coach is to create an environment where your players have a chance to be successful." CHIP KELLY
Mitch K 1st base hit of the season, Healy stops @ 2nd, Marder pinch runner
"What you are entrusted to do as a coach is to create an environment where your players have a chance to be successful." CHIP KELLY
ANOTHER single,bases loaded,
"What you are entrusted to do as a coach is to create an environment where your players have a chance to be successful." CHIP KELLY
so, who wins the Pac if we sweep the Bavers?
They once showed a clip of the Oregon offense to the French. The French decided to surrender, just to be on the safe side.
by QuackQuackAttack on May 29, 2011 3:42 PM PDT reply actions
UCLA
"What you are entrusted to do as a coach is to create an environment where your players have a chance to be successful." CHIP KELLY
Hambright dribbles one...run scores Altobelli up with runner on 2nd and 3rd Ducks 6-0
"What you are entrusted to do as a coach is to create an environment where your players have a chance to be successful." CHIP KELLY
score update?
GO BLAZERS!!!GO DUCKS!!!!GO RAIDERS!!!!AND PANTHERS!!!!GO YANKEES!!!!!
NVM! on csn! GO DUCKS!!!!!!!
GO BLAZERS!!!GO DUCKS!!!!GO RAIDERS!!!!AND PANTHERS!!!!GO YANKEES!!!!!
end of the eighth, flyout 3 outs to go for lst PAC 10 sweep!!!!!
"What you are entrusted to do as a coach is to create an environment where your players have a chance to be successful." CHIP KELLY
Alex Keudell pitching marvelous....grounder to Pulfer...one down
"What you are entrusted to do as a coach is to create an environment where your players have a chance to be successful." CHIP KELLY
Thomas catches the high fly...2 down on the way to 33 wins....Keudell sits down w/ hopefully his 7th win
Fans go wild…..
"What you are entrusted to do as a coach is to create an environment where your players have a chance to be successful." CHIP KELLY
Kellen Moen in for the save opportunity,,senior from Alaska
"What you are entrusted to do as a coach is to create an environment where your players have a chance to be successful." CHIP KELLY
1 & 2, 1 strike away
"What you are entrusted to do as a coach is to create an environment where your players have a chance to be successful." CHIP KELLY
Ducks WIN, Fans going wild!!!! Chanting Let's
"What you are entrusted to do as a coach is to create an environment where your players have a chance to be successful." CHIP KELLY
No, game still going....Moen hit with visious line drive, Altobelli makes barehanded grab and throws himout but he's called safe
Ducks pissed runner on first
"What you are entrusted to do as a coach is to create an environment where your players have a chance to be successful." CHIP KELLY
Great grab on towering fly for the third out!!!!
"What you are entrusted to do as a coach is to create an environment where your players have a chance to be successful." CHIP KELLY
Bavers....no hits, no runs, Sweep = 14 runs for Ducks, 2 for the Bavers for the series
"What you are entrusted to do as a coach is to create an environment where your players have a chance to be successful." CHIP KELLY
Giansante gets the victory and the pie in the face....good for him, great Ducks, best Homer evah!
"What you are entrusted to do as a coach is to create an environment where your players have a chance to be successful." CHIP KELLY
Congrats guys
Good to see some joy coming out of the dreary weekend, though I wish it had been us. The teams played to their pre-season predictions this series. Will be interesting to see what happens with the post-season selection (you’ll excuse me for not pulling for Duck-entry :p )
Very, very, very nice JPDX, you pitched a 3 hitter!!
"What you are entrusted to do as a coach is to create an environment where your players have a chance to be successful." CHIP KELLY
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