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Oregon Baseball: Corvallis kerplunk puts Ducks on the bubble

I know people are more concerned with the Oregon Ducks' regional chances than they are with how they won today, so I'll try to give people a good perspective on the likelihood of being selected. 

There are several Ducks who may have suited up in the green and yellow for the final times today. Possibly among those was starting pitcher Alex Keudell, who provided his finest performance as a Duck as his team tried to complete the sweep of the No. 6 Oregon State Beavers (38-17, 17-10 Pac-10).

Keudell went 8 2/3 innings, allowing no runs on only two hits and struck out six. He was lifted in the ninth inning with two outs to give senior Kellen Moen his, possible, final moment as a Duck (33-26-1, 11-16 Pac-10).

A first inning bomb from freshman Ryon Healy off the wall in left center field, which scored Danny Pulfer form second base, was all the Ducks needed as they swept their in-state rivals 6-0.

Star-divide

Lets get to Oregon's chances of being selected to the field of 64.

The win improved Oregon's RPI to 53, according to warrennolan.com. The RPI cutoff for teams being selected is about 60 or 70, so the Ducks are safe in that regard. 

Had the Ducks won the series against the Washington State Cougars last weekend, then they would probably be selected. Since they didn't, they are on the bubble and the outlook doesn't look good.

ESPN released their protected field of 64, and they have Oregon as one of the last nine teams out. Aaron Fitt of Baseball America is working on his projections, but this is what he tweeted just moments ago: "Oregon made a furious last-ditch rally, sweeping Oregon State, making Ducks realistic at-large candidate. They still fall just short for me."

I would have to agree with both of those projections. The Ducks' body of work doesn't represent a regional worthy team. Oregon pulled their act together in the final three weeks of the year, but as a whole, there are too many disappointing defeats.

If the committee is having trouble deciding if Oregon should get in, they will look at a couple of things. Being swept by the Bruins will hurt. Washington taking two out of three from the Duck in Eugene will hurt. And Hawaii is also a bubble team, and the Ducks were only able to split that series to begin the year. Also, Oregon is 5-12 in one-run games this year-not a favorable stat.

After Sunday's game, this is what coach George Horton had to say about regionals: ". I think we're a worthy team. In my heart of hearts, I believe we're one of the 64 best teams in the country. I think we've earned the right to play in the 64-team tournament. I think we'll make the committee proud."

Horton believes the Ducks have a 40 percent chance of being selected.

Tune into ESPN at 9:30 a.m. PDT, as the field will be announced then. Until then, cross your fingers Duck fans. If anybody has any questions, post them below and I'll try my best to answer them. Also, if any other news breaks, I'll have it for all of you.

Go Ducks! I've had an amazing time bringing all of you news on the Diamond Ducks. 

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Thanks for all of the great work, man.

Maybe we can sneak into the tournament and be this year’s version of Fresno State in ’08. Sneak in as a 4 seed, and then win the whole damn thing.

Dream on!

"I'll give any teller who gives me a lollipop 4 stars."-Chip Kelly

by TennesseeQuackAttack8 on May 29, 2011 8:03 PM PDT via mobile reply actions  

Do you think it helps our chances if well tell them we know Erin Andrews?

by JonathanPDX on May 29, 2011 8:12 PM PDT reply actions  

In a biblical sense?

"What you are entrusted to do as a coach is to create an environment where your players have a chance to be successful." CHIP KELLY

by Famous Duck on May 29, 2011 8:32 PM PDT up reply actions  

More importantly

who the HELL is “Dallas Baptist”

The "Bill Simmons" of ATQ

by axemen23 on May 29, 2011 9:33 PM PDT reply actions  

Dallas Baptist you ask...

All they’re known for is their D1 baseball program. They’re a private D3 school population wise and to my knowledge they have a basketball program. DBU is located on top of a hill in the Dallas area. Arlington is less than 10 minutes away from campus. DBU is most famous for their epic losing streak in basketball which was, to my recollection, almost 100 games.

Completely inappropriate. I apologize. I’ve always wanted to say that. I hope the Ducks make it in even though the first half wasn’t so good.

I don't always derp, but when I derp I herp.

by Jeff Daddy on May 30, 2011 12:05 AM PDT reply actions  

It's a shame that we, in all likelyhood, won't make it

But damn a sweep of the beavs is a nice way to go out.

"We Believe" - Rudy Fernandez

by TheGreatMon on May 30, 2011 1:39 AM PDT reply actions  

So when do they announce the NIT field?

"Dispatch yourself with the utmost precision, and proceed as far as your individual excellency will permit." - John McEwan

by benzduck on May 30, 2011 9:23 AM PDT reply actions  

Let’s hope for a miracle.

"I'll give any teller who gives me a lollipop 4 stars."-Chip Kelly

by TennesseeQuackAttack8 on May 30, 2011 9:40 AM PDT via mobile reply actions  

Let’s hope for a miracle.

"I'll give any teller who gives me a lollipop 4 stars."-Chip Kelly

by TennesseeQuackAttack8 on May 30, 2011 9:40 AM PDT via mobile reply actions  

And no.

"I'll give any teller who gives me a lollipop 4 stars."-Chip Kelly

by TennesseeQuackAttack8 on May 30, 2011 9:47 AM PDT via mobile reply actions  

You didn't want it bad enough.

"Dispatch yourself with the utmost precision, and proceed as far as your individual excellency will permit." - John McEwan

by benzduck on May 30, 2011 10:31 AM PDT up reply actions  

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