The Chip Kelly Statistic: Washington State Week

Scott Olmos-US PRESSWIRE - Presswire

This is a statistic Chip Kelly referenced in an interview that he uses to track how the team does after a turnover.

What a week for Oregon in their response to turnover category. Not only was Oregon able respond with a score to every turnover Arizona gave them, but the defense (yes, more about that defense) shut Arizona down after Oregon coughed it up. Probably the most awesome stat from last week was the fact that the Oregon defense gave up an average of 9.7 yards after a turnover. That is stellar. After the offense took the field for 3 plays, 1 play, and 1 play after the end of the quarter, the defense was required to go back out there and stop a high powered Arizona offense. And their response? They gave up less than a first down on average.

For the season Oregon improved on every category both offensive and defensively. After a slow start to the season, Oregon is above or near pace on every category from 2011 too. That shows the defense is picking up the scheme quicker than last year, and the offense is where they were to on average all of last season. This is great to see if you are the coaches and will only further Kelly's resolve to go for it on 4th down, and continue to push Aliotti to attack.

Washington State biggest issue so far this year has been the number of yards on average their defense has given up after a turnover. Their defense has allowed drives of a 77 yard TD, an 80 yard FG, a 99 yard TD, and a 92 yard TD. There are two things this indicates. First, WSU is turning the ball over at terrible times, when they are close to scoring and at least in FG range. Second, their defense is not doing a good job of stopping the momentum of the team that just took the ball away.

So Saturday, if Oregon runs a "bend-don't-break" defense, and is able to take the ball away, expect to see the offense immediately able to capitalize on it.

If you'd like to see the spreadsheet I'm using to put this together, the link is below:

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Asqc5wli-6y1dGlKbXZwRnVVRklVaU1iODFuaDd5amc

Here is a look at both Oregon and Washington State.

Oregon 2012

2012 Opponent TO Turnover Caused Yards After TO Points Scored Oregon TO Turnover Given Yards Given Up Points Given Up
Arkansas St 3 1 22 7 1 1 41 3
1 73 7
1 7 0
Fresno State 0 3 1 22 7
1 4 3
1 67 3
Tenn Tech 2 1 65 7 3 1 23 7
1 32 7 1 7 0
1 89 7
Arizona 5 1 88 7 3 1 -7 0
1 43 3 1 21 0
1 88 7 1 15 0
1 54 7
1 33 7
Total TO 10 Total TO 10
Ave Yds After TO 50.5 Ave Yds Given Up 28.20
Ave Pts After TO 5.9 Ave Pts After TO 3.0
# of Empty Poss 1 # of Empty Poss 4
Empty Poss % 10.00% Empty Poss % 40.00%
# of TD Poss 8 # of TD Poss 3
# of TD Poss % 80% # of TD Poss % 30%

Washington State 2012

2012 Opponent TO Turnover Caused Yards After TO Points Scored WSU TO Turnover Given Yards Given Up Points Given Up
BYU 0 2 1 77 7
1 80 3
East Wash 2 1 44 7 2 1 4 0
1 25 3 1 99 7
UNLV 1 1 37 7 2 1 12 0
1 27 0
Colorado 3 1 39 7 3 1 35 0
1 0 0 1 11 7
1 77 7 1 92 7
Total TO 6 Total TO 9
Ave Yds After TO 37 Ave Yds Given Up 48.56
Ave Pts After TO 5.2 Ave Pts After TO 3.4
# of Empty Poss 1 # of Empty Poss 4
Empty Poss % 16.67% Empty Poss % 44.44%
# of TD Poss 4 # of TD Poss 4
# of TD Poss % 66.67% # of TD Poss % 44.44%
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