I'm ready to take some flack for this one. I'm unhappy with the way I've voted in the BlogPoll ballot. I find myself guilty of the same things that make the AP and coaches polls so terrible. Namely, I assume too damn much. For example. lets take Oklahoma. I, like many others, have had them rated pretty high based on what I think they'll do. The problem? There is no empirical evidence to show me. They're 2-1 and have beaten Idaho State and Tulsa at home. Regardless of what I THINK about Oklahoma (that they're pretty good), and how I think they'll finish (comfortably in the top ten), there is no OBJECTIVE evidence right now to show me that is the case. They have no notable wins. So Oklahoma is unranked this week. As is Ole Miss. This is also why Florida is ranked #16. I think they're better than that, but have they shown it?
Another thing I hate about the voters is how everything is based on the previous week's poll. If team A is ahead of team B, and neither team loses, team A will remain ahead of team B regardless of their final resume. This is stupid. So I will throw away my poll and reevaluate it every week. Houston and Washington are ahead of Florida right now because they have better resumes. But if all three of those teams win out, would that remain the case? Of Course not. By that time, Florida would likely have the better resume and move up accordingly. That's why its not the tragedy that some think it is to have Florida at #16 right now--because they'll move to where they should be if they win. I think they'll end up #1, but they have to prove it, because what I think is too subjective.
Of course, there will always be some subjectivity, because in ranking resumes you have to make judgments about how good some wins and losses are relative to each other. But no ranking system is going to be perfect. We just have to try and do the best we can. And, when you have some empirical evidence, to ignore it was we so often do is foolish in my opinion. It creates unfair obstacles for teams just because they weren't on the preseason radar. So with my little spiel complete, off to the poll.
|Last week's ballot