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Jersey Contest: Week 7 -- Blogger Picks

Here's what the bloggers of ATQ thought about this week's games.  If you have not submitted your picks yet, can do so via this form before the deadline (tonight at 11:59:59 PM PT).  Here's a list of all the users that have successfully submitted picks this week, as of 8:30 AM PT today.


Dave Nick Jared Dominic Jeremy Paul Takimoto Matt Daddy
Pittsburgh at Syracuse
Syracuse
Syracuse
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh
Arkansas at Auburn
Arkansas
Auburn
Auburn
Arkansas
Auburn
Auburn
Auburn
Auburn
Baylor at Colorado
Baylor
Colorado
Baylor
Colorado
Baylor
Colorado
Colorado
Colorado
California at USC
Cal USC
USC
Cal
USC
Cal
USC
USC
Ohio State (-6.5) at Wisconsin
Wisconsin
Wisconsin
Wisconsin
OSU
OSU
Wisconsin
Wisconsin
OSU

Pittsburgh at Syracuse [Nick]:

This was one of those games that seemed like a fun game with two bad teams when I picked it on Monday, but now that I have to actually pick it -- ugh.  Vegas isn't much help, as most sports books have this game as a straight pick'em (a few have Pittsburgh as a 1-point favorite).  Pittsburgh's two wins have been blowouts against New Hampshire and a Florida Internal team whose sole victory was a close win against Western Kentucky.  Syracuse, on the other hand, has four wins, but the only one that is even remotely worth mentioning is their 13-9 victory last weekend against South Florida.  Ultimately, I'll let myself be guided by bradll99's recap of the Pittsburgh at Utah game that he saw in person during week 1: "It was a game between two bad teams, with Utah's QB fighting inconsistency and Pittsburgh's QB being just plain awful.  Inconsistency ended up beating awful." Here's hoping "awful" loses again.

Arkansas at Auburn [Jared]:

Have you ever been less excited for a matchup of top 15 teams? While Auburn is undefeated, they have been squeaking by game after game, and have not beaten a BCS opponent by more than one possession. Meanwhile, Arkansas' best showing was a loss against Alabama, where they scored only 3 points in the second half and Ryan Mallet threw two interceptions on the Razorbacks' final two drives. 

I think that Auburn is ripe for an upset, but I don't trust Arkansas to actually get the job done, though they'll have plenty of opportunities. Auburn wins this one at home in a high-scoring contest.

Baylor at Colorado [Jeremy]:

Apparently I won the when mediocrity sees its twin in the mirror sweepstakes. Vegas likes this to be a close game, which makes sense when comparing records and statistics. Baylor's offense has rolled in every game this season with the exception of their 45-10 loss at TCU. With a second half schedule that includes Oklahoma, Oklahoma State, Texas and Texas A&M, this is a must win for the Bears if they intend to go bowling. CU won't be a pushover at home, but I think Baylor QB Robert Griffin (69% completion rate, 9/1 TDs to INTs, 6 rushing TDs) will do just enough to leave Boulder 5-2.

California at USC [Dominic]:

I hate Cal games because every time I put my faith in them, they let me down. I just can't see USC losing three in a row in a normal year but this is anything but normal for the Trojans. Losing the last two games on field goals has to be brutal, even to the most optimistic USC fan. I think both coaches need this win but Cal is trending up and should get their first win at USC in a decade. Besides, Lane Kiffen won't be thinking about this game when he's coaching the 49ers next year.

Ohio State (-6.5) at Wisconsin [Paul]:

This one’s more of a no-brainer than it might seem on first glance: Wisconsin should cover the spread.  That is, if history’s any indication.  Although Ohio State has had surprisingly great success the past two decades at Camp Randall (they’re 5-2-1 in Madison since 1990), they haven’t been winning by much.  And since Jim Tressel took over in 2001, the Buckeyes lead by a combined one point, winning by 3 in 2008, losing by 7 in 2003, and winning by 5 in 2002 (the year the Buckeyes won the national title).  We also don’t know a whole lot about how good either of these teams are.  According to Jeff Sagarin’s computer, they’ve played the 117th and 116th rated schedules, respectively.  Do I think Ohio State will lose?  No.  But I think it will be close, and history suggests the safe bet is to take Wisconsin to cover.