Advanced Stats Saturday

Instead of doing quick previews in the advanced stats article for Oregon for other teams, I'll be doing previews in their own article. Should make our click through rate skyrocket it easier to read and talk about these games. If there are other games that you'd like to see, let me know and I'll try and get to them in the comments.

UCLA-Colorado:

	OVERALL		When UCLA has the ball		When Colorado has the ball
Category	UCLA	Colorado	UCLA Off	UCB Def	UCLA Def	UCB Off
F/+ Rk	12 (23.5%)	80 (-7.0%)	4 (17.5%)	94 (-7.9%)	44 (5.7%)	51 (2.3%)
S&P+	32 (231.6)	85 (203.2)	29 (116.8)	90 (98.6)	34 (114.7)	70 (104.6)
Play Efficiency			28 (121.8)	78 (96.5)	24 (120.4)	65 (103.8)
Rushing S&P+			22 (125.7)	96 (89.8)	29 (118.1)	96 (90.7)
Passing S&P+			26 (123.4)	73 (99.1)	24 (122.5)	39 (116.0)
Std. Downs S&P+			20 (123.8)	106 (88.6)	17 (122.0)	75 (100.1)
Pass. Downs S&P+			58 (110.0)	37 (119.0)	42 (115.4)	51 (112.8)
Drive Efficiency			27 (112.3)	80 (97.6)	37 (108.3)	80 (98.0)
DNP			NA (NA)	NA (NA)	NA (NA)	NA (NA)

	OVERALL		When UCLA has the ball		When Colorado has the ball
Category	UCLA	Colorado	UCLA Off	UCB Def	UCLA Def	UCB Off
F/+ Rk	12 (23.5%)	80 (-7.0%)	4 (17.5%)	94 (-7.9%)	44 (5.7%)	51 (2.3%)
FEI Rk	9 (.239)	69 (-.019)	2 (.797)	90 (.314)	43 (-.211)	48 (.143)
Field Position	67 (.495)	91 (.477)
Raw Efficiency	46 (.046)	91 (-.075)	25 (.328)	99 (.359)	74 (.103)	50 (.104)
First Down rate			10 (.776)	90 (.725)	88 (.721)	30 (.720)
Available Yards rate			35 (.497)	82 (.509)	74 (.475)	46 (.479)
Explosive Drives			25 (.188)	119 (.231)	28 (.081)	102 (.086)
Methodical Drives			36 (.165)	18 (.077)	123 (.233)	22 (.183)
Value Drives			55 (.395)	87 (.450)	58 (.354)	49 (.407)
Special Team rank	63 (.195)	89 (-.885)
Field Goal efficiency	68 (-.034)	102 (-.406)
Punt Return efficiency	98 (-.220)	91 (-.199)
Kickoff return efficiency	30 (-.065)	49 (-.127)
punt efficiency	81 (-.037)	26 (-.229)
kickoff efficiency	14 (-.291)	103 (-.045)

Not particularly surprising. Colorado should be able to move the ball a decent amount with passing and may get lucky in some stops against UCLA if they get them in worse down and distance situations, but otherwise UCLA should handily crush Colorado. UCLA should also get some good kickoff returns here and there too. This is probably going to be something of a highlight reel game for UCLA.

Oregon State - Stanford:

	OVERALL		When Oregon State has the ball		When Stanford has the ball
Category	Oregon State	Stanford	OSU Off	STAN Def	OSU Def	STAN Off
F/+ Rk	56 (1.6%)	28 (16.8%)	62 (0.2%)	3 (22.3%)	59 (1.4%)	81 (-4.3%)
S&P+	71 (208.5)	17 (245.9)	75 (103.9)	3 (143.5)	69 (104.6)	83 (102.4)
Play Efficiency			69 (102.0)	1 (169.8)	76 (97.6)	91 (93.0)
Rushing S&P+			43 (113.5)	2 (167.9)	122 (77.4)	100 (89.2)
Passing S&P+			88 (92.8)	3 (164.1)	26 (121.2)	76 (96.5)
Std. Downs S&P+			56 (106.7)	3 (157.8)	107 (88.5)	80 (96.7)
Pass. Downs S&P+			108 (83.1)	3 (192.8)	30 (122.0)	106 (83.6)
Drive Efficiency			68 (99.7)	30 (112.0)	78 (97.9)	55 (104.1)
DNP			NA (NA)	NA (NA)	NA (NA)	NA (NA)

	OVERALL		When Oregon State has the ball		When Stanford has the ball
Category	Oregon State	Stanford	OSU Off	STAN Def	OSU Def	STAN Off
F/+ Rk	56 (1.6%)	28 (16.8%)	62 (0.2%)	3 (22.3%)	59 (1.4%)	81 (-4.3%)
FEI Rk	43 (.088)	28 (.156)	60 (.040)	3 (-.750)	58 (-.102)	82 (-.174)
Field Position	99 (.471)	27 (.527)
Raw Efficiency	54 (.024)	34 (.064)	61 (.023)	7 (-.549)	45 (-.193)	92 (-.227)
First Down rate			34 (.712)	47 (.615)	8 (.548)	51 (.687)
Available Yards rate			63 (.456)	13 (.345)	38 (.386)	73 (.444)
Explosive Drives			59 (.136)	13 (.062)	9 (.048)	110 (.075)
Methodical Drives			66 (.136)	89 (.169)	57 (.129)	87 (.119)
Value Drives			65 (.385)	6 (.217)	51 (.340)	72 (.370)
Special Team rank	67 (-.008)	85 (-.726)
Field Goal efficiency	11 (.596)	99 (-.359)
Punt Return efficiency	118 (-.321)	104 (-.236)
Kickoff return efficiency	19 (-.020)	23 (-.042)
punt efficiency	95 (.011)	88 (-.017)
kickoff efficiency	69 (-.145)	41 (-.215)

Despite losing to ASU Stanford remains one of the best defensive teams in the country in every category. Oregon State is also a team in the country. Oregon State is in particular vulnerable to rushing attacks which should allow Stanford's fairly horrible run game to get some yards. OSU is good against the pass, however, so I would expect the Stanford red zone shenanigans to continue. Stanford should also not get a lot of big plays as OSU is good at keeping stuff in front of them. Looks like another typical Stanford game to me.

Arizona - Washington State

	OVERALL		When Arizona has the ball		When Washington State has the ball
Category	Arizona	Washington State	UA Off	WSU Def	UA Def	WSU Off
F/+ Rk	29 (16.8%)	61 (0.0%)	23 (11.6%)	90 (-7.1%)	43 (5.8%)	9 (15.0%)
S&P+	45 (220.8)	50 (219.8)	37 (112.9)	70 (103.4)	55 (107.9)	30 (116.4)
Play Efficiency			53 (108.2)	65 (101.0)	49 (108.5)	27 (122.1)
Rushing S&P+			62 (106.2)	88 (93.9)	47 (109.0)	75 (100.0)
Passing S&P+			50 (109.7)	50 (108.1)	60 (105.7)	27 (122.0)
Std. Downs S&P+			60 (105.5)	78 (97.0)	55 (104.3)	25 (118.9)
Pass. Downs S&P+			42 (116.3)	47 (114.2)	39 (117.6)	23 (132.0)
Drive Efficiency			23 (113.0)	52 (104.4)	44 (105.9)	39 (108.0)
DNP			NA (NA)	NA (NA)	NA (NA)	NA (NA)

	OVERALL		When Arizona has the ball		When Washington State has the ball
Category	Arizona	Washington State	UA Off	WSU Def	UA Def	WSU Off
F/+ Rk	29 (16.8%)	61 (0.0%)	23 (11.6%)	90 (-7.1%)	43 (5.8%)	9 (15.0%)
FEI Rk	4 (.254)	37 (.104)	14 (.537)	94 (.330)	33 (-.292)	5 (.675)
Field Position	16 (.548)	122 (.446)
Raw Efficiency	28 (.089)	87 (-.068)	11 (.488)	95 (.332)	79 (.197)	26 (.318)
First Down rate			1 (.855)	79 (.703)	72 (.689)	32 (.714)
Available Yards rate			5 (.610)	85 (.515)	67 (.454)	17 (.539)
Explosive Drives			18 (.197)	111 (.203)	69 (.135)	19 (.195)
Methodical Drives			31 (.171)	103 (.189)	46 (.122)	15 (.195)
Value Drives			7 (.552)	110 (.507)	67 (.375)	25 (.466)
Special Team rank	74 (-.370)	126 (-4.887)
Field Goal efficiency	78 (-.109)	115 (-.567)
Punt Return efficiency	68 (-.105)	113 (-.285)
Kickoff return efficiency	115 (-.299)	59 (-.150)
punt efficiency	76 (-.056)	127 (.297)
kickoff efficiency	12 (-.303)	124 (.126)

The pundits are expecting a game similar to WSU-Cal, but the numbers don't see that. Both teams have fairly good offenses - but they also have decent defenses. From an S+P standpoint these teams are within 1 point of each other, and both have about a 10 point advantage on offense over the other's defense. That usually means a good scoring but not absurd high scoring game. Where it'll get absurd is the pace; both teams are high in their average pace, so the score could inflate some simply due to how many plays the game has. Arizona should be able to get some more stops on passing downs than WSU does and get advantages in yardage due to good kickoffs; that may be the difference in this game.

Arizona State - Washington

	OVERALL		When Arizona State has the ball		When Washington has the ball
Category	Arizona State	Washington	ASU Off	UW Def	ASU Def	UW Off
F/+ Rk	13 (23.1%)	62 (-0.1%)	8 (15.5%)	55 (2.6%)	39 (6.6%)	78 (-4.0%)
S&P+	31 (231.9)	77 (206.1)	23 (120.5)	78 (101.7)	44 (111.5)	73 (104.3)
Play Efficiency			20 (125.2)	69 (99.1)	53 (106.0)	63 (104.8)
Rushing S&P+			44 (113.2)	71 (98.8)	62 (102.3)	29 (120.4)
Passing S&P+			15 (132.6)	74 (99.0)	49 (108.9)	85 (94.0)
Std. Downs S&P+			16 (126.3)	83 (94.8)	67 (101.2)	59 (105.6)
Pass. Downs S&P+			32 (121.6)	48 (113.5)	49 (113.1)	66 (103.2)
Drive Efficiency			30 (111.7)	90 (93.9)	24 (113.7)	75 (98.4)
DNP			NA (NA)	NA (NA)	NA (NA)	NA (NA)

	OVERALL		When Arizona State has the ball		When Washington has the ball
Category	Arizona State	Washington	ASU Off	UW Def	ASU Def	UW Off
F/+ Rk	13 (23.1%)	62 (-0.1%)	8 (15.5%)	55 (2.6%)	39 (6.6%)	78 (-4.0%)
FEI Rk	16 (.208)	45 (.087)	7 (.650)	45 (-.197)	32 (-.295)	84 (-.182)
Field Position	85 (.484)	5 (.571)
Raw Efficiency	39 (.056)	27 (.095)	17 (.431)	38 (-.287)	72 (.050)	89 (-.174)
First Down rate			13 (.770)	51 (.629)	106 (.759)	92 (.631)
Available Yards rate			13 (.573)	44 (.402)	81 (.499)	100 (.397)
Explosive Drives			42 (.164)	18 (.071)	95 (.172)	97 (.092)
Methodical Drives			24 (.180)	98 (.186)	92 (.172)	62 (.138)
Value Drives			19 (.481)	41 (.317)	77 (.415)	107 (.291)
Special Team rank	43 (.677)	38 (.836)
Field Goal efficiency	32 (.303)	33 (.291)
Punt Return efficiency	58 (-.072)	50 (-.056)
Kickoff return efficiency	57 (-.140)	58 (-.145)
punt efficiency	25 (-.238)	33 (-.195)
kickoff efficiency	109 (-.026)	89 (-.092)

As I said in the Oregon-Washington preview, S+P doesn't think all that highly of Washington's defense. Arizona State's offense remains very strong, especially on passing. I expect ASU to have a fairly easy game of it on offense. On defense ASU also has an advantage almost everywhere save against UW's rushing attack. With Cyler Miles out with a concussion I don't see that getting better. FEI thinks that ASU's defense is a smidgen more exploitable, but only a bit. Neither team will get much from the special teams, being almost precisely the same at every category.

Ole Miss - LSU

	OVERALL		When Ole Miss has the ball		When LSU has the ball
Category	Ole Miss	LSU	Miss Off	LSU Def	Miss Def	LSU Off
F/+ Rk	1 (37.6%)	27 (17.1%)	19 (12.6%)	31 (7.4%)	4 (22.2%)	42 (4.6%)
S&P+	2 (277.1)	14 (248.3)	8 (129.3)	13 (127.0)	1 (147.7)	18 (121.3)
Play Efficiency			10 (136.5)	13 (128.2)	2 (164.8)	29 (121.1)
Rushing S&P+			31 (119.6)	21 (122.6)	5 (147.5)	26 (121.3)
Passing S&P+			5 (152.5)	12 (136.1)	2 (181.9)	20 (126.4)
Std. Downs S&P+			8 (133.2)	15 (123.0)	2 (159.6)	24 (119.4)
Pass. Downs S&P+			12 (142.9)	20 (131.6)	5 (172.3)	28 (123.3)
Drive Efficiency			2 (130.9)	9 (128.6)	7 (130.2)	6 (127.1)
DNP			NA (NA)	NA (NA)	NA (NA)	NA (NA)

	OVERALL		When Ole Miss has the ball		When LSU has the ball
Category	Ole Miss	LSU	Miss Off	LSU Def	Miss Def	LSU Off
F/+ Rk	1 (37.6%)	27 (17.1%)	19 (12.6%)	31 (7.4%)	4 (22.2%)	42 (4.6%)
FEI Rk	6 (.249)	50 (.057)	23 (.400)	49 (-.162)	5 (-.700)	54 (.074)
Field Position	8 (.563)	14 (.554)
Raw Efficiency	3 (.301)	21 (.134)	31 (.279)	24 (-.358)	1 (-.932)	64 (-.025)
First Down rate			31 (.716)	21 (.585)	10 (.551)	108 (.590)
Available Yards rate			32 (.505)	12 (.336)	2 (.269)	102 (.393)
Explosive Drives			23 (.189)	77 (.146)	2 (.026)	76 (.120)
Methodical Drives			67 (.135)	2 (.024)	31 (.103)	116 (.072)
Value Drives			42 (.419)	15 (.260)	1 (.162)	88 (.342)
Special Team rank	22 (1.677)	4 (3.143)
Field Goal efficiency	103 (-.417)	4 (.839)
Punt Return efficiency	120 (-.377)	8 (.206)
Kickoff return efficiency	6 (.140)	44 (-.115)
punt efficiency	11 (-.298)	78 (-.051)
kickoff efficiency	4 (-.414)	22 (-.253)

LSU matches up well on defense against Ole Miss, but boy do they have some problems on offense. Ole Miss is the top rated defense in the country by S+P standards with more than a 25 point advantage. The only advantage LSU has is that they tend to complete drives fairly well. Otherwise they're kind of hosed. Where LSU might get something back is in special teams, a typical Les Miles trait. LSU is great kicking field goals, kicking the ball off and most importantly punt returns. Ole Miss is pretty good at that as well, but LSU has a small advantage. If LSU wins it'll be in typical LSU fashion - getting field position advantages, not turning the ball over and weirdness in the swamp.

Rutgers - Nebraska

	OVERALL		When Rutgers has the ball		When Nebraska has the ball
Category	Rutgers	Nebraska	RUT Off	NEB Def	RUT Def	NEB Off
F/+ Rk	48 (6.2%)	17 (21.7%)	38 (6.0%)	21 (11.1%)	73 (-1.7%)	33 (7.1%)
S&P+	42 (221.3)	23 (237.2)	33 (115.8)	31 (116.0)	62 (105.5)	20 (121.2)
Play Efficiency			31 (119.6)	30 (116.5)	59 (102.4)	17 (126.8)
Rushing S&P+			41 (114.5)	63 (102.0)	59 (103.0)	17 (129.3)
Passing S&P+			16 (132.4)	18 (129.9)	79 (96.6)	29 (121.6)
Std. Downs S&P+			22 (120.3)	33 (114.7)	46 (107.3)	35 (115.6)
Pass. Downs S&P+			49 (113.2)	36 (119.1)	90 (89.7)	7 (155.7)
Drive Efficiency			41 (107.0)	31 (112.0)	54 (104.0)	24 (112.7)
DNP			NA (NA)	NA (NA)	NA (NA)	NA (NA)

	OVERALL		When Rutgers has the ball		When Nebraska has the ball
Category	Rutgers	Nebraska	RUT Off	NEB Def	RUT Def	NEB Off
F/+ Rk	48 (6.2%)	17 (21.7%)	38 (6.0%)	21 (11.1%)	73 (-1.7%)	33 (7.1%)
FEI Rk	66 (-.011)	20 (.196)	38 (.207)	18 (-.481)	75 (.068)	39 (.206)
Field Position	111 (.461)	7 (.563)
Raw Efficiency	76 (-.033)	6 (.245)	46 (.154)	17 (-.393)	92 (.293)	19 (.399)
First Down rate			87 (.635)	4 (.500)	91 (.726)	25 (.732)
Available Yards rate			59 (.463)	9 (.329)	93 (.528)	11 (.583)
Explosive Drives			67 (.127)	49 (.108)	115 (.210)	13 (.211)
Methodical Drives			8 (.222)	26 (.095)	28 (.097)	45 (.155)
Value Drives			35 (.433)	26 (.282)	83 (.439)	10 (.540)
Special Team rank	27 (1.166)	16 (2.140)
Field Goal efficiency	25 (.342)	57 (.053)
Punt Return efficiency	44 (-.037)	3 (.271)
Kickoff return efficiency	93 (-.213)	97 (-.220)
punt efficiency	30 (-.214)	12 (-.290)
kickoff efficiency	56 (-.177)	80 (-.111)

Nebraska is a fairly good team by both stats standards. Good on both defense and offense, very good on special teams. Rutgers is...not. Nebraska is better at offense than defense; Rutgers is worse at defense than offense. This spells some hard times for the Scarlet Knights, as they will likely be unable to keep up effectively. Nebraska is one of the best at returning punts too, so they'll likely keep the pressure up through the day. Nebraska should also have some good highlights out of this game thanks to Rutgers being fairly horrible at defending big plays.

Texas - Kansas State

	OVERALL		When Texas has the ball		When Kansas State has the ball
Category	Texas	Kansas State	UT Off	KSU Def	UT Def	KSU Off
F/+ Rk	63 (-0.1%)	23 (19.6%)	83 (-4.8%)	16 (12.3%)	28 (9.0%)	36 (6.4%)
S&P+	49 (220.1)	34 (229.1)	63 (106.0)	28 (116.7)	38 (114.1)	39 (112.4)
Play Efficiency			64 (104.8)	23 (120.7)	26 (117.2)	55 (107.1)
Rushing S&P+			52 (109.9)	9 (140.0)	55 (104.7)	58 (107.5)
Passing S&P+			65 (101.5)	56 (107.3)	13 (134.0)	52 (108.2)
Std. Downs S&P+			53 (107.4)	35 (114.6)	25 (117.7)	66 (103.1)
Pass. Downs S&P+			78 (97.2)	17 (137.9)	45 (114.3)	31 (122.3)
Drive Efficiency			49 (105.0)	27 (113.0)	47 (105.2)	45 (106.7)
DNP			NA (NA)	NA (NA)	NA (NA)	NA (NA)

	OVERALL		When Texas has the ball		When Kansas State has the ball
Category	Texas	Kansas State	UT Off	KSU Def	UT Def	KSU Off
F/+ Rk	63 (-0.1%)	23 (19.6%)	83 (-4.8%)	16 (12.3%)	28 (9.0%)	36 (6.4%)
FEI Rk	74 (-.029)	19 (.200)	90 (-.244)	15 (-.532)	24 (-.391)	32 (.269)
Field Position	105 (.467)	18 (.545)
Raw Efficiency	75 (-.030)	14 (.173)	102 (-.275)	69 (.004)	18 (-.384)	12 (.473)
First Down rate			104 (.596)	37 (.600)	23 (.586)	21 (.740)
Available Yards rate			108 (.369)	55 (.418)	23 (.359)	12 (.573)
Explosive Drives			116 (.067)	12 (.060)	31 (.092)	9 (.220)
Methodical Drives			42 (.157)	106 (.200)	78 (.149)	100 (.100)
Value Drives			97 (.316)	52 (.340)	29 (.295)	9 (.545)
Special Team rank	118 (-2.680)	47 (.553)
Field Goal efficiency	116 (-.587)	106 (-.452)
Punt Return efficiency	55 (-.064)	1 (.478)
Kickoff return efficiency	128 (-.391)	98 (-.221)
punt efficiency	65 (-.077)	118 (.147)
kickoff efficiency	114 (-.012)	61 (-.163)

This will be an interesting one to hear about, but probably not to watch. Both defenses are better than both offenses. KSU has a big advantage on defense. Texas has a small one on offense. KSU's special teams are also good, especially on punt returns. I'd bet that this is a 16-9 kind of game where there's a lot of field position fighting that KSU keeps winning a bit more every time.

Georgia Tech - Pitt

	OVERALL		When Georgia Tech has the ball		When Pittsburgh has the ball
Category	Georgia Tech	Pittsburgh	GT Off	Pitt Def	GT Def	Pitt Off
F/+ Rk	25 (17.9%)	33 (16.1%)	1 (24.6%)	64 (0.8%)	98 (-10.1%)	15 (13.7%)
S&P+	41 (221.9)	27 (233.2)	14 (126.0)	48 (110.9)	100 (95.9)	17 (122.3)
Play Efficiency			12 (134.4)	68 (99.6)	113 (85.1)	8 (136.7)
Rushing S&P+			16 (129.6)	58 (103.3)	116 (82.0)	4 (148.4)
Passing S&P+			10 (141.9)	82 (94.8)	96 (89.6)	23 (124.6)
Std. Downs S&P+			17 (124.9)	100 (90.5)	105 (89.0)	9 (132.4)
Pass. Downs S&P+			6 (160.7)	18 (134.3)	118 (78.9)	24 (131.9)
Drive Efficiency			29 (111.7)	34 (109.3)	51 (104.7)	28 (112.0)
DNP			NA (NA)	NA (NA)	NA (NA)	NA (NA)

	OVERALL		When Georgia Tech has the ball		When Pittsburgh has the ball
Category	Georgia Tech	Pittsburgh	GT Off	Pitt Def	GT Def	Pitt Off
F/+ Rk	25 (17.9%)	33 (16.1%)	1 (24.6%)	64 (0.8%)	98 (-10.1%)	15 (13.7%)
FEI Rk	22 (.177)	30 (.152)	1 (1.066)	71 (-.001)	100 (.401)	15 (.536)
Field Position	30 (.526)	31 (.526)
Raw Efficiency	38 (.057)	53 (.024)	6 (.637)	43 (-.233)	124 (.554)	81 (-.137)
First Down rate			2 (.833)	49 (.625)	102 (.750)	48 (.694)
Available Yards rate			7 (.606)	17 (.350)	122 (.593)	68 (.449)
Explosive Drives			52 (.150)	50 (.111)	79 (.150)	94 (.097)
Methodical Drives			10 (.217)	8 (.056)	124 (.233)	34 (.167)
Value Drives			11 (.537)	12 (.254)	122 (.545)	84 (.350)
Special Team rank	17 (2.106)	34 (.941)
Field Goal efficiency	82 (-.149)	15 (.499)
Punt Return efficiency	6 (.244)	81 (-.147)
Kickoff return efficiency	28 (-.064)	26 (-.052)
punt efficiency	27 (-.222)	71 (-.070)
kickoff efficiency	83 (-.103)	62 (-.161)

Here's a good one for different stats. Georgia Tech is the best offense in the nation by FEI standards but is only 14th by S+P. Pitt is a fairly mediocre defense by either standard. Oddly GTech is good at both rushing and passing. Pitt has a huge disadvantage on standard downs, which should make it very easy for the methodical GTech offense. However, GTech's defense is hideous. Absolutely atrocious. Pitt apparently has a good offense (huh) and should be able to get massive gains running the ball all day. This one might be a lot of fun to watch.

The Silly Matchup of the week:

David Piper - Jared Light :

	OVERALL		When David has the ball		When Jared has the ball
Category	David Piper	Jared Light	David Off	Jared Def	David Def	Jared Off
F/+ Rk	55 (3.0%)	18 (21.6%)	72 (-2.5%)	13 (13.6%)	42 (6.4%)	32 (7.3%)
S&P+	35 (224.6)	5 (259.1)	61 (106.3)	8 (132.4)	23 (118.3)	13 (126.6)
Play Efficiency			58 (106.6)	7 (141.5)	18 (123.7)	16 (129.5)
Rushing S&P+			24 (122.6)	7 (141.2)	6 (143.3)	40 (114.9)
Passing S&P+			80 (95.2)	11 (136.8)	40 (113.0)	7 (148.4)
Std. Downs S&P+			28 (118.2)	30 (115.8)	11 (127.8)	11 (129.5)
Pass. Downs S&P+			113 (80.0)	1 (205.1)	56 (109.8)	25 (130.8)
Drive Efficiency			42 (107.0)	6 (130.2)	49 (105.0)	21 (115.6)
DNP			NA (NA)	NA (NA)	NA (NA)	NA (NA)

	OVERALL		When David has the ball		When Jared has the ball
Category	David Piper	Jared Light	David Off	Jared Def	David Def	Jared Off
F/+ Rk	55 (3.0%)	18 (21.6%)	72 (-2.5%)	13 (13.6%)	42 (6.4%)	32 (7.3%)
FEI Rk	67 (-.017)	25 (.168)	74 (-.126)	23 (-.425)	44 (-.207)	45 (.152)
Field Position	84 (.484)	17 (.547)
Raw Efficiency	62 (.007)	8 (.210)	94 (-.241)	14 (-.403)	25 (-.354)	27 (.297)
First Down rate			68 (.671)	2 (.459)	16 (.569)	20 (.743)
Available Yards rate			98 (.400)	4 (.304)	14 (.347)	20 (.535)
Explosive Drives			72 (.123)	97 (.176)	4 (.042)	61 (.135)
Methodical Drives			118 (.068)	1 (.014)	37 (.111)	109 (.081)
Value Drives			104 (.299)	11 (.254)	24 (.279)	21 (.475)
Special Team rank	82 (-.591)	56 (.399)
Field Goal efficiency	51 (.094)	85 (-.171)
Punt Return efficiency	36 (.006)	77 (-.138)
Kickoff return efficiency	116 (-.303)	25 (-.050)
punt efficiency	116 (.118)	48 (-.128)
kickoff efficiency	21 (-.259)	47 (-.197)

Sorry, David, but advanced stats say Jared's got this one in the bag. In particular Jared's defensiveness will be tough to overcome, and Jared has some major advantages passing the buck that David will be unable to avoid. Jared is the best in the nation at stopping passing downs as well. FEI thinks even less of this matchup, particularly saying that David is almost completely inoffensive.