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Advanced Stats Saturday

A quick look at the rest of the PAC-12 and a few interesting games coming up this weekend.

Ameer Abdullah should have a big day
Ameer Abdullah should have a big day
David Banks-USA TODAY Sports

Instead of doing quick previews in the advanced stats article for Oregon for other teams, I'll be doing previews in their own article. Should make our click through rate skyrocket it easier to read and talk about these games. If there are other games that you'd like to see, let me know and I'll try and get to them in the comments.

UCLA-Colorado:


OVERALL When UCLA has the ball When Colorado has the ball
Category UCLA

Colorado

UCLA Off UCB Def UCLA Def UCB Off
F/+ Rk 12 (23.5%) 80 (-7.0%) 4 (17.5%) 94 (-7.9%) 44 (5.7%) 51 (2.3%)
S&P+ 32 (231.6) 85 (203.2) 29 (116.8) 90 (98.6) 34 (114.7) 70 (104.6)
Play Efficiency

28 (121.8) 78 (96.5) 24 (120.4) 65 (103.8)
Rushing S&P+

22 (125.7) 96 (89.8) 29 (118.1) 96 (90.7)
Passing S&P+

26 (123.4) 73 (99.1) 24 (122.5) 39 (116.0)
Std. Downs S&P+

20 (123.8) 106 (88.6) 17 (122.0) 75 (100.1)
Pass. Downs S&P+

58 (110.0) 37 (119.0) 42 (115.4) 51 (112.8)
Drive Efficiency

27 (112.3) 80 (97.6) 37 (108.3) 80 (98.0)
DNP

NA (NA) NA (NA) NA (NA) NA (NA)

OVERALL When UCLA has the ball When Colorado has the ball
Category UCLA

Colorado

UCLA Off UCB Def UCLA Def UCB Off
F/+ Rk 12 (23.5%) 80 (-7.0%) 4 (17.5%) 94 (-7.9%) 44 (5.7%) 51 (2.3%)
FEI Rk 9 (.239) 69 (-.019) 2 (.797) 90 (.314) 43 (-.211) 48 (.143)
Field Position 67 (.495) 91 (.477)



Raw Efficiency 46 (.046) 91 (-.075) 25 (.328) 99 (.359) 74 (.103) 50 (.104)
First Down rate

10 (.776) 90 (.725) 88 (.721) 30 (.720)
Available Yards rate

35 (.497) 82 (.509) 74 (.475) 46 (.479)
Explosive Drives

25 (.188) 119 (.231) 28 (.081) 102 (.086)
Methodical Drives

36 (.165) 18 (.077) 123 (.233) 22 (.183)
Value Drives

55 (.395) 87 (.450) 58 (.354) 49 (.407)
Special Team rank 63 (.195) 89 (-.885)



Field Goal efficiency 68 (-.034) 102 (-.406)



Punt Return efficiency 98 (-.220) 91 (-.199)



Kickoff return efficiency 30 (-.065) 49 (-.127)



punt efficiency 81 (-.037) 26 (-.229)



kickoff efficiency 14 (-.291) 103 (-.045)



Not particularly surprising. Colorado should be able to move the ball a decent amount with passing and may get lucky in some stops against UCLA if they get them in worse down and distance situations, but otherwise UCLA should handily crush Colorado. UCLA should also get some good kickoff returns here and there too. This is probably going to be something of a highlight reel game for UCLA.

Oregon State - Stanford:


OVERALL When Oregon State has the ball When Stanford has the ball
Category Oregon State

Stanford

OSU Off STAN Def OSU Def STAN Off
F/+ Rk 56 (1.6%) 28 (16.8%) 62 (0.2%) 3 (22.3%) 59 (1.4%) 81 (-4.3%)
S&P+ 71 (208.5) 17 (245.9) 75 (103.9) 3 (143.5) 69 (104.6) 83 (102.4)
Play Efficiency

69 (102.0) 1 (169.8) 76 (97.6) 91 (93.0)
Rushing S&P+

43 (113.5) 2 (167.9) 122 (77.4) 100 (89.2)
Passing S&P+

88 (92.8) 3 (164.1) 26 (121.2) 76 (96.5)
Std. Downs S&P+

56 (106.7) 3 (157.8) 107 (88.5) 80 (96.7)
Pass. Downs S&P+

108 (83.1) 3 (192.8) 30 (122.0) 106 (83.6)
Drive Efficiency

68 (99.7) 30 (112.0) 78 (97.9) 55 (104.1)
DNP

NA (NA) NA (NA) NA (NA) NA (NA)

OVERALL When Oregon State has the ball When Stanford has the ball
Category Oregon State

Stanford

OSU Off STAN Def OSU Def STAN Off
F/+ Rk 56 (1.6%) 28 (16.8%) 62 (0.2%) 3 (22.3%) 59 (1.4%) 81 (-4.3%)
FEI Rk 43 (.088) 28 (.156) 60 (.040) 3 (-.750) 58 (-.102) 82 (-.174)
Field Position 99 (.471) 27 (.527)



Raw Efficiency 54 (.024) 34 (.064) 61 (.023) 7 (-.549) 45 (-.193) 92 (-.227)
First Down rate

34 (.712) 47 (.615) 8 (.548) 51 (.687)
Available Yards rate

63 (.456) 13 (.345) 38 (.386) 73 (.444)
Explosive Drives

59 (.136) 13 (.062) 9 (.048) 110 (.075)
Methodical Drives

66 (.136) 89 (.169) 57 (.129) 87 (.119)
Value Drives

65 (.385) 6 (.217) 51 (.340) 72 (.370)
Special Team rank 67 (-.008) 85 (-.726)



Field Goal efficiency 11 (.596) 99 (-.359)



Punt Return efficiency 118 (-.321) 104 (-.236)



Kickoff return efficiency 19 (-.020) 23 (-.042)



punt efficiency 95 (.011) 88 (-.017)



kickoff efficiency 69 (-.145) 41 (-.215)



Despite losing to ASU Stanford remains one of the best defensive teams in the country in every category. Oregon State is also a team in the country. Oregon State is in particular vulnerable to rushing attacks which should allow Stanford's fairly horrible run game to get some yards. OSU is good against the pass, however, so I would expect the Stanford red zone shenanigans to continue. Stanford should also not get a lot of big plays as OSU is good at keeping stuff in front of them. Looks like another typical Stanford game to me.

Arizona - Washington State


OVERALL When Arizona has the ball When Washington State has the ball
Category Arizona

Washington State

UA Off WSU Def UA Def WSU Off
F/+ Rk 29 (16.8%) 61 (0.0%) 23 (11.6%) 90 (-7.1%) 43 (5.8%) 9 (15.0%)
S&P+ 45 (220.8) 50 (219.8) 37 (112.9) 70 (103.4) 55 (107.9) 30 (116.4)
Play Efficiency

53 (108.2) 65 (101.0) 49 (108.5) 27 (122.1)
Rushing S&P+

62 (106.2) 88 (93.9) 47 (109.0) 75 (100.0)
Passing S&P+

50 (109.7) 50 (108.1) 60 (105.7) 27 (122.0)
Std. Downs S&P+

60 (105.5) 78 (97.0) 55 (104.3) 25 (118.9)
Pass. Downs S&P+

42 (116.3) 47 (114.2) 39 (117.6) 23 (132.0)
Drive Efficiency

23 (113.0) 52 (104.4) 44 (105.9) 39 (108.0)
DNP

NA (NA) NA (NA) NA (NA) NA (NA)

OVERALL When Arizona has the ball When Washington State has the ball
Category Arizona

Washington State

UA Off WSU Def UA Def WSU Off
F/+ Rk 29 (16.8%) 61 (0.0%) 23 (11.6%) 90 (-7.1%) 43 (5.8%) 9 (15.0%)
FEI Rk 4 (.254) 37 (.104) 14 (.537) 94 (.330) 33 (-.292) 5 (.675)
Field Position 16 (.548) 122 (.446)



Raw Efficiency 28 (.089) 87 (-.068) 11 (.488) 95 (.332) 79 (.197) 26 (.318)
First Down rate

1 (.855) 79 (.703) 72 (.689) 32 (.714)
Available Yards rate

5 (.610) 85 (.515) 67 (.454) 17 (.539)
Explosive Drives

18 (.197) 111 (.203) 69 (.135) 19 (.195)
Methodical Drives

31 (.171) 103 (.189) 46 (.122) 15 (.195)
Value Drives

7 (.552) 110 (.507) 67 (.375) 25 (.466)
Special Team rank 74 (-.370) 126 (-4.887)



Field Goal efficiency 78 (-.109) 115 (-.567)



Punt Return efficiency 68 (-.105) 113 (-.285)



Kickoff return efficiency 115 (-.299) 59 (-.150)



punt efficiency 76 (-.056) 127 (.297)



kickoff efficiency 12 (-.303) 124 (.126)



The pundits are expecting a game similar to WSU-Cal, but the numbers don't see that. Both teams have fairly good offenses - but they also have decent defenses. From an S+P standpoint these teams are within 1 point of each other, and both have about a 10 point advantage on offense over the other's defense. That usually means a good scoring but not absurd high scoring game. Where it'll get absurd is the pace; both teams are high in their average pace, so the score could inflate some simply due to how many plays the game has. Arizona should be able to get some more stops on passing downs than WSU does and get advantages in yardage due to good kickoffs; that may be the difference in this game.

Arizona State - Washington


OVERALL When Arizona State has the ball When Washington has the ball
Category Arizona State

Washington

ASU Off UW Def ASU Def UW Off
F/+ Rk 13 (23.1%) 62 (-0.1%) 8 (15.5%) 55 (2.6%) 39 (6.6%) 78 (-4.0%)
S&P+ 31 (231.9) 77 (206.1) 23 (120.5) 78 (101.7) 44 (111.5) 73 (104.3)
Play Efficiency

20 (125.2) 69 (99.1) 53 (106.0) 63 (104.8)
Rushing S&P+

44 (113.2) 71 (98.8) 62 (102.3) 29 (120.4)
Passing S&P+

15 (132.6) 74 (99.0) 49 (108.9) 85 (94.0)
Std. Downs S&P+

16 (126.3) 83 (94.8) 67 (101.2) 59 (105.6)
Pass. Downs S&P+

32 (121.6) 48 (113.5) 49 (113.1) 66 (103.2)
Drive Efficiency

30 (111.7) 90 (93.9) 24 (113.7) 75 (98.4)
DNP

NA (NA) NA (NA) NA (NA) NA (NA)

OVERALL When Arizona State has the ball When Washington has the ball
Category Arizona State

Washington

ASU Off UW Def ASU Def UW Off
F/+ Rk 13 (23.1%) 62 (-0.1%) 8 (15.5%) 55 (2.6%) 39 (6.6%) 78 (-4.0%)
FEI Rk 16 (.208) 45 (.087) 7 (.650) 45 (-.197) 32 (-.295) 84 (-.182)
Field Position 85 (.484) 5 (.571)



Raw Efficiency 39 (.056) 27 (.095) 17 (.431) 38 (-.287) 72 (.050) 89 (-.174)
First Down rate

13 (.770) 51 (.629) 106 (.759) 92 (.631)
Available Yards rate

13 (.573) 44 (.402) 81 (.499) 100 (.397)
Explosive Drives

42 (.164) 18 (.071) 95 (.172) 97 (.092)
Methodical Drives

24 (.180) 98 (.186) 92 (.172) 62 (.138)
Value Drives

19 (.481) 41 (.317) 77 (.415) 107 (.291)
Special Team rank 43 (.677) 38 (.836)



Field Goal efficiency 32 (.303) 33 (.291)



Punt Return efficiency 58 (-.072) 50 (-.056)



Kickoff return efficiency 57 (-.140) 58 (-.145)



punt efficiency 25 (-.238) 33 (-.195)



kickoff efficiency 109 (-.026) 89 (-.092)




As I said in the Oregon-Washington preview, S+P doesn't think all that highly of Washington's defense. Arizona State's offense remains very strong, especially on passing. I expect ASU to have a fairly easy game of it on offense. On defense ASU also has an advantage almost everywhere save against UW's rushing attack. With Cyler Miles out with a concussion I don't see that getting better. FEI thinks that ASU's defense is a smidgen more exploitable, but only a bit. Neither team will get much from the special teams, being almost precisely the same at every category.

Ole Miss - LSU


OVERALL When Ole Miss has the ball When LSU has the ball
Category Ole Miss

LSU

Miss Off LSU Def Miss Def LSU Off
F/+ Rk 1 (37.6%) 27 (17.1%) 19 (12.6%) 31 (7.4%) 4 (22.2%) 42 (4.6%)
S&P+ 2 (277.1) 14 (248.3) 8 (129.3) 13 (127.0) 1 (147.7) 18 (121.3)
Play Efficiency

10 (136.5) 13 (128.2) 2 (164.8) 29 (121.1)
Rushing S&P+

31 (119.6) 21 (122.6) 5 (147.5) 26 (121.3)
Passing S&P+

5 (152.5) 12 (136.1) 2 (181.9) 20 (126.4)
Std. Downs S&P+

8 (133.2) 15 (123.0) 2 (159.6) 24 (119.4)
Pass. Downs S&P+

12 (142.9) 20 (131.6) 5 (172.3) 28 (123.3)
Drive Efficiency

2 (130.9) 9 (128.6) 7 (130.2) 6 (127.1)
DNP

NA (NA) NA (NA) NA (NA) NA (NA)

OVERALL When Ole Miss has the ball When LSU has the ball
Category Ole Miss

LSU

Miss Off LSU Def Miss Def LSU Off
F/+ Rk 1 (37.6%) 27 (17.1%) 19 (12.6%) 31 (7.4%) 4 (22.2%) 42 (4.6%)
FEI Rk 6 (.249) 50 (.057) 23 (.400) 49 (-.162) 5 (-.700) 54 (.074)
Field Position 8 (.563) 14 (.554)



Raw Efficiency 3 (.301) 21 (.134) 31 (.279) 24 (-.358) 1 (-.932) 64 (-.025)
First Down rate

31 (.716) 21 (.585) 10 (.551) 108 (.590)
Available Yards rate

32 (.505) 12 (.336) 2 (.269) 102 (.393)
Explosive Drives

23 (.189) 77 (.146) 2 (.026) 76 (.120)
Methodical Drives

67 (.135) 2 (.024) 31 (.103) 116 (.072)
Value Drives

42 (.419) 15 (.260) 1 (.162) 88 (.342)
Special Team rank 22 (1.677) 4 (3.143)



Field Goal efficiency 103 (-.417) 4 (.839)



Punt Return efficiency 120 (-.377) 8 (.206)



Kickoff return efficiency 6 (.140) 44 (-.115)



punt efficiency 11 (-.298) 78 (-.051)



kickoff efficiency 4 (-.414) 22 (-.253)




LSU matches up well on defense against Ole Miss, but boy do they have some problems on offense. Ole Miss is the top rated defense in the country by S+P standards with more than a 25 point advantage. The only advantage LSU has is that they tend to complete drives fairly well. Otherwise they're kind of hosed. Where LSU might get something back is in special teams, a typical Les Miles trait. LSU is great kicking field goals, kicking the ball off and most importantly punt returns. Ole Miss is pretty good at that as well, but LSU has a small advantage. If LSU wins it'll be in typical LSU fashion - getting field position advantages, not turning the ball over and weirdness in the swamp.

Rutgers - Nebraska


OVERALL When Rutgers has the ball When Nebraska has the ball
Category Rutgers

Nebraska

RUT Off NEB Def RUT Def NEB Off
F/+ Rk 48 (6.2%) 17 (21.7%) 38 (6.0%) 21 (11.1%) 73 (-1.7%) 33 (7.1%)
S&P+ 42 (221.3) 23 (237.2) 33 (115.8) 31 (116.0) 62 (105.5) 20 (121.2)
Play Efficiency

31 (119.6) 30 (116.5) 59 (102.4) 17 (126.8)
Rushing S&P+

41 (114.5) 63 (102.0) 59 (103.0) 17 (129.3)
Passing S&P+

16 (132.4) 18 (129.9) 79 (96.6) 29 (121.6)
Std. Downs S&P+

22 (120.3) 33 (114.7) 46 (107.3) 35 (115.6)
Pass. Downs S&P+

49 (113.2) 36 (119.1) 90 (89.7) 7 (155.7)
Drive Efficiency

41 (107.0) 31 (112.0) 54 (104.0) 24 (112.7)
DNP

NA (NA) NA (NA) NA (NA) NA (NA)

OVERALL When Rutgers has the ball When Nebraska has the ball
Category Rutgers

Nebraska

RUT Off NEB Def RUT Def NEB Off
F/+ Rk 48 (6.2%) 17 (21.7%) 38 (6.0%) 21 (11.1%) 73 (-1.7%) 33 (7.1%)
FEI Rk 66 (-.011) 20 (.196) 38 (.207) 18 (-.481) 75 (.068) 39 (.206)
Field Position 111 (.461) 7 (.563)



Raw Efficiency 76 (-.033) 6 (.245) 46 (.154) 17 (-.393) 92 (.293) 19 (.399)
First Down rate

87 (.635) 4 (.500) 91 (.726) 25 (.732)
Available Yards rate

59 (.463) 9 (.329) 93 (.528) 11 (.583)
Explosive Drives

67 (.127) 49 (.108) 115 (.210) 13 (.211)
Methodical Drives

8 (.222) 26 (.095) 28 (.097) 45 (.155)
Value Drives

35 (.433) 26 (.282) 83 (.439) 10 (.540)
Special Team rank 27 (1.166) 16 (2.140)



Field Goal efficiency 25 (.342) 57 (.053)



Punt Return efficiency 44 (-.037) 3 (.271)



Kickoff return efficiency 93 (-.213) 97 (-.220)



punt efficiency 30 (-.214) 12 (-.290)



kickoff efficiency 56 (-.177) 80 (-.111)



Nebraska is a fairly good team by both stats standards. Good on both defense and offense, very good on special teams. Rutgers is...not. Nebraska is better at offense than defense; Rutgers is worse at defense than offense. This spells some hard times for the Scarlet Knights, as they will likely be unable to keep up effectively. Nebraska is one of the best at returning punts too, so they'll likely keep the pressure up through the day. Nebraska should also have some good highlights out of this game thanks to Rutgers being fairly horrible at defending big plays.

Texas - Kansas State


OVERALL When Texas has the ball When Kansas State has the ball
Category Texas

Kansas State

UT Off KSU Def UT Def KSU Off
F/+ Rk 63 (-0.1%) 23 (19.6%) 83 (-4.8%) 16 (12.3%) 28 (9.0%) 36 (6.4%)
S&P+ 49 (220.1) 34 (229.1) 63 (106.0) 28 (116.7) 38 (114.1) 39 (112.4)
Play Efficiency

64 (104.8) 23 (120.7) 26 (117.2) 55 (107.1)
Rushing S&P+

52 (109.9) 9 (140.0) 55 (104.7) 58 (107.5)
Passing S&P+

65 (101.5) 56 (107.3) 13 (134.0) 52 (108.2)
Std. Downs S&P+

53 (107.4) 35 (114.6) 25 (117.7) 66 (103.1)
Pass. Downs S&P+

78 (97.2) 17 (137.9) 45 (114.3) 31 (122.3)
Drive Efficiency

49 (105.0) 27 (113.0) 47 (105.2) 45 (106.7)
DNP

NA (NA) NA (NA) NA (NA) NA (NA)

OVERALL When Texas has the ball When Kansas State has the ball
Category Texas

Kansas State

UT Off KSU Def UT Def KSU Off
F/+ Rk 63 (-0.1%) 23 (19.6%) 83 (-4.8%) 16 (12.3%) 28 (9.0%) 36 (6.4%)
FEI Rk 74 (-.029) 19 (.200) 90 (-.244) 15 (-.532) 24 (-.391) 32 (.269)
Field Position 105 (.467) 18 (.545)



Raw Efficiency 75 (-.030) 14 (.173) 102 (-.275) 69 (.004) 18 (-.384) 12 (.473)
First Down rate

104 (.596) 37 (.600) 23 (.586) 21 (.740)
Available Yards rate

108 (.369) 55 (.418) 23 (.359) 12 (.573)
Explosive Drives

116 (.067) 12 (.060) 31 (.092) 9 (.220)
Methodical Drives

42 (.157) 106 (.200) 78 (.149) 100 (.100)
Value Drives

97 (.316) 52 (.340) 29 (.295) 9 (.545)
Special Team rank 118 (-2.680) 47 (.553)



Field Goal efficiency 116 (-.587) 106 (-.452)



Punt Return efficiency 55 (-.064) 1 (.478)



Kickoff return efficiency 128 (-.391) 98 (-.221)



punt efficiency 65 (-.077) 118 (.147)



kickoff efficiency 114 (-.012) 61 (-.163)




This will be an interesting one to hear about, but probably not to watch. Both defenses are better than both offenses. KSU has a big advantage on defense. Texas has a small one on offense. KSU's special teams are also good, especially on punt returns. I'd bet that this is a 16-9 kind of game where there's a lot of field position fighting that KSU keeps winning a bit more every time.

Georgia Tech - Pitt


OVERALL When Georgia Tech has the ball When Pittsburgh has the ball
Category Georgia Tech

Pittsburgh

GT Off Pitt Def GT Def Pitt Off
F/+ Rk 25 (17.9%) 33 (16.1%) 1 (24.6%) 64 (0.8%) 98 (-10.1%) 15 (13.7%)
S&P+ 41 (221.9) 27 (233.2) 14 (126.0) 48 (110.9) 100 (95.9) 17 (122.3)
Play Efficiency

12 (134.4) 68 (99.6) 113 (85.1) 8 (136.7)
Rushing S&P+

16 (129.6) 58 (103.3) 116 (82.0) 4 (148.4)
Passing S&P+

10 (141.9) 82 (94.8) 96 (89.6) 23 (124.6)
Std. Downs S&P+

17 (124.9) 100 (90.5) 105 (89.0) 9 (132.4)
Pass. Downs S&P+

6 (160.7) 18 (134.3) 118 (78.9) 24 (131.9)
Drive Efficiency

29 (111.7) 34 (109.3) 51 (104.7) 28 (112.0)
DNP

NA (NA) NA (NA) NA (NA) NA (NA)

OVERALL When Georgia Tech has the ball When Pittsburgh has the ball
Category Georgia Tech

Pittsburgh

GT Off Pitt Def GT Def Pitt Off
F/+ Rk 25 (17.9%) 33 (16.1%) 1 (24.6%) 64 (0.8%) 98 (-10.1%) 15 (13.7%)
FEI Rk 22 (.177) 30 (.152) 1 (1.066) 71 (-.001) 100 (.401) 15 (.536)
Field Position 30 (.526) 31 (.526)



Raw Efficiency 38 (.057) 53 (.024) 6 (.637) 43 (-.233) 124 (.554) 81 (-.137)
First Down rate

2 (.833) 49 (.625) 102 (.750) 48 (.694)
Available Yards rate

7 (.606) 17 (.350) 122 (.593) 68 (.449)
Explosive Drives

52 (.150) 50 (.111) 79 (.150) 94 (.097)
Methodical Drives

10 (.217) 8 (.056) 124 (.233) 34 (.167)
Value Drives

11 (.537) 12 (.254) 122 (.545) 84 (.350)
Special Team rank 17 (2.106) 34 (.941)



Field Goal efficiency 82 (-.149) 15 (.499)



Punt Return efficiency 6 (.244) 81 (-.147)



Kickoff return efficiency 28 (-.064) 26 (-.052)



punt efficiency 27 (-.222) 71 (-.070)



kickoff efficiency 83 (-.103) 62 (-.161)




Here's a good one for different stats. Georgia Tech is the best offense in the nation by FEI standards but is only 14th by S+P. Pitt is a fairly mediocre defense by either standard. Oddly GTech is good at both rushing and passing. Pitt has a huge disadvantage on standard downs, which should make it very easy for the methodical GTech offense. However, GTech's defense is hideous. Absolutely atrocious. Pitt apparently has a good offense (huh) and should be able to get massive gains running the ball all day. This one might be a lot of fun to watch.

The Silly Matchup of the week:

David Piper - Jared Light :


OVERALL When David has the ball When Jared has the ball
Category David Piper

Jared Light

David Off Jared Def David Def Jared Off
F/+ Rk 55 (3.0%) 18 (21.6%) 72 (-2.5%) 13 (13.6%) 42 (6.4%) 32 (7.3%)
S&P+ 35 (224.6) 5 (259.1) 61 (106.3) 8 (132.4) 23 (118.3) 13 (126.6)
Play Efficiency

58 (106.6) 7 (141.5) 18 (123.7) 16 (129.5)
Rushing S&P+

24 (122.6) 7 (141.2) 6 (143.3) 40 (114.9)
Passing S&P+

80 (95.2) 11 (136.8) 40 (113.0) 7 (148.4)
Std. Downs S&P+

28 (118.2) 30 (115.8) 11 (127.8) 11 (129.5)
Pass. Downs S&P+

113 (80.0) 1 (205.1) 56 (109.8) 25 (130.8)
Drive Efficiency

42 (107.0) 6 (130.2) 49 (105.0) 21 (115.6)
DNP

NA (NA) NA (NA) NA (NA) NA (NA)

OVERALL When David has the ball When Jared has the ball
Category David Piper

Jared Light

David Off Jared Def David Def Jared Off
F/+ Rk 55 (3.0%) 18 (21.6%) 72 (-2.5%) 13 (13.6%) 42 (6.4%) 32 (7.3%)
FEI Rk 67 (-.017) 25 (.168) 74 (-.126) 23 (-.425) 44 (-.207) 45 (.152)
Field Position 84 (.484) 17 (.547)



Raw Efficiency 62 (.007) 8 (.210) 94 (-.241) 14 (-.403) 25 (-.354) 27 (.297)
First Down rate

68 (.671) 2 (.459) 16 (.569) 20 (.743)
Available Yards rate

98 (.400) 4 (.304) 14 (.347) 20 (.535)
Explosive Drives

72 (.123) 97 (.176) 4 (.042) 61 (.135)
Methodical Drives

118 (.068) 1 (.014) 37 (.111) 109 (.081)
Value Drives

104 (.299) 11 (.254) 24 (.279) 21 (.475)
Special Team rank 82 (-.591) 56 (.399)



Field Goal efficiency 51 (.094) 85 (-.171)



Punt Return efficiency 36 (.006) 77 (-.138)



Kickoff return efficiency 116 (-.303) 25 (-.050)



punt efficiency 116 (.118) 48 (-.128)



kickoff efficiency 21 (-.259) 47 (-.197)



Sorry, David, but advanced stats say Jared's got this one in the bag. In particular Jared's defensiveness will be tough to overcome, and Jared has some major advantages passing the buck that David will be unable to avoid. Jared is the best in the nation at stopping passing downs as well. FEI thinks even less of this matchup, particularly saying that David is almost completely inoffensive.