It’s football time! Week 1 presents the Ducks with an interesting out of conference opponent in the Bowling Green Falcons from the MAC. They are located in Bowling Green, Ohio (not to be confused with the city in nearby Kentucky).
Head Coach: Mike Jinks (third season)
2017 record: 2-10 (2-6 in MAC play) 0-5 home and 2-5 away
Key numbers + info (2017 season)
OOC opponents: Michigan State, South Dakota, Northwestern, Middle Tennessee State
Points per game: 25.8
Points allowed per game: 38.0
Avg. yards per rush: 4.2
Avg. yards per rush allowed: 5.6
Avg. rush yards per game: 151.7
Avg. rush yards per game allowed: 253.2
Rushing TDs: 13 for, 35 against
Avg. pass yards per game: 235.0
Avg. pass yards per game allowed: 253.3
Passing TDs: 21 for, 22 against
Bowling Green is headed by Mike Jinks, who came from Texas Tech after serving on Kliff Kingsbury’s staff as the running backs coach from 2013-2015. He’s a native of the state of Texas and has coached the entirety of career in the state until coming to Ohio. The second year was a step back from his first year which the Falcons finished 4-8.
Looking at the numbers only, it appears that BGSU was about 50/50 between the run and the pass last season. They return the first and third leading passers, second leading rusher, and just three receivers with any significant experience.
The presumptive starter at QB is Jarret Doege who posted 1,381 yards and 12 touchdowns in a timeshare last year. Doege is the younger brother of former Texas Tech standout QB and receivers coach Seth Doege.
The Falcons nearly broke even on passing touchdowns for and allowed on the whole. Take into account that teams were just trying to run out clock for the majority of their games.
The OOC slate is another tough one for the Falcons as they have Oregon, Maryland, and Georgia Tech on the docket.
The Falcons’ DC is Carl Pelini, a familiar face in the region and in the state of Ohio. He’s a solid player developer as a defensive coach. Has served as an assistant at Youngstown State, Ohio University, and Nebraska. Head coach experience came at Florida Atlantic. Holds three degrees, including a master’s degree from both Kansas State (journalism) and Ohio State (education). What’s impressive is that he attained a bachelor’s degree and those two master’s degrees in just five years. The talent at BGSU obviously won’t trouble Oregon but it will be a good opening test for OC Marcus Arroyo to go against a premier defensive mind like Pelini’s.
Keys to an Oregon win
- Offensive balance. By the numbers, BGSU was equally adept at giving up yards both in the air and ground. With perceived level of opponent being what it is, I suspect that OC Marcus Arroyo will look to get the post Royce Freeman running game going early. Expect TBJ and CJ Verdell to get a ton of work. The pass game should be used to get the lower ranked receivers some much needed reps for the upcoming conference slate.
- Defensive Accountability. The secondary needs to be on alert right off the bat as the Texas Tech Air Raid could be in effect. The inexperienced corner depth will be tested a bit. They need the reps to build some confidence going into the meat of the schedule. No blown assignments.
- Health. Just stay healthy through the early OOC part of the schedule. No need to have key starters once it gets out of hand. Besides, the freshmen need to be broken in, the schedule will be fortuitous in that regard. The depth this year isn’t what it should be at certain positions.
- Bowling Green was outscored the most in the second quarter by 62 points last season.
- They tightened the margin in the fourth quarter to a mere 19 point differential.
- The first half margin: 102. The second half margin: 50
- Their four OOC games were lost by a combined 86 points, the biggest being a 49-7 defeat to Northwestern.
- Notable football alumni: Texans DT Chris Jones, Broncos OL Kory Lichtensteiger, K Shaun Suisham
- The previous two head coaches elevated themselves to coaching at Power 5 programs. Dave Clawson is at Wake Forest and Dino Babers is at Syracuse.
What are the odds?
According to the WestGate Superbook, Oregon is favored by 33 points at -110. The over/under is set at 72 points.
Popular British betting service William Hill has Oregon listed as 32 point favorites at -110. Their over/under is set at 72 as well.
Bovada has the Ducks favored by 32 points at -110. They have the same over/under at 72 points.
Note: These odds are current as of yesterday morning. The line hasn’t changed much over the past couple of days.