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Confirmation Bias - Advanced Stats and Such, Cal 2018

By on Sep 25, 2018, 2:03pm PDT 53

EUGENE, OR - SEPTEMBER 08: Tight end Kano Dillon #85 of the Oregon Ducks celebrates with teammates on the sideline after scoring a touchdown during the second quarter of the game at Autzen Stadium on September 8, 2018 in Eugene, Oregon. - Steve Dykes/Getty Images

So full disclosure I missed watching the first 3 quarters of the Stanford game live and had to re-watch the beginning after watching the ending. So that for sure was a rough way to watch the game. But I did get to see my 4 year old daughter ride on the back of a sheep. I think I chose correctly.

Lamb Chops

Lamb Chops are pretty fast

The Mutton busting as they call it was actually a qualifying event for the local fair and my daughter did well enough to get invited back during the actual fair and rodeo on Thursday night. If she wins Thursday night she gets a pretty belt buckle. the qualifying event cost $30, then you have to pay an additional $30 to have your child ride in the main event. So as an irresponsible parent, I am paying $60 to watch my kid potentially get injured just so she can get a belt buckle. what the hell type of racket is that? there was also a BBQ competition going on at the fairground and my neighbor was competing so we were hanging out with them at their grille site while we killed time. so I ate a ton of smoked pork short ribs, chicken, and brisket. ohh and they had a metric ton of beer at their site. even though it was bud light it was still free. his BBQ team ended up getting 1st place for brisket so that was cool.

mmmmm brisket

My wife had our new baby boy Tuesday morning this last week. They came home from the hospital on Thursday last week so I have been in a more sleep deprived haze than ever. not only having the new baby in our room waking up every 2 hours for feedings, but also if either of the twins has issues I am the one that has to go run and get the one to sleep before they wake up the other. Fun times.

Disclaimer: I am not a writer, editor, statistician, or analyst. If grammatical errors cause you pain, then I bring the pain. All content is for my personal entertainment. If you like it great, if you don’t like it great. Please leave comments and criticism in the comment section.

in case you have any questions on definitions or from where I am getting my info I have provided links below to stats glossary and to both Ducks and Cal Bears stats provided by Bill Connelly.

NOW ON TO THE STATS!!!

2018 Advanced Stats Glossary

2018 Ducks Advanced Stats

2018 Cal Bears Advanced Stats

Ducks overall S&P

S&P+ Rk: 33
Off. S&P+ Rk: 19
Def. S&P+ Rk: 77
Special Teams S&P+ Rk: 56

Cal's overall S&P

S&P+ Rk: 56
Off. S&P+ Rk: 118
Def. S&P+ Rk: 5
Special Teams S&P+ Rk: 16

S&P+ likes our Offense and is indifferent about our Defense. It absolutely dislikes Cal's Offense and think's their defense is amazing. I will be interested to see which of those numbers gives.

Five Factors Ducks

Offense Rk Defense Rk
EFFICIENCY Success Rate* 48.40% 25 35.20% 27
Marginal Efficiency* 2.10% 26 -8.30% 36
EXPLOSIVENESS IsoPPP* 1.25 45 1.31 99
Marginal Explosiveness* 0.16 32 0.17 99
FIELD POSITION Avg. FP 35.5 9 28.3 63
FINISHING DRIVES Pts. Per Scoring Opp. 5.24 37 5.11 107
TURNOVERS Expected TO Margin -0.9 96 TO Luck (PPG): -1.4
Actual TO Margin -2 90

Cal's Five Factors

Offense Rk Defense RK
EFFICIENCY Success Rate* 42.30% 81 32.40% 10
Marginal Efficiency* -7.20% 110 -12.90% 2
EXPLOSIVENESS IsoPPP* 0.94 125 0.86 2
Marginal Explosiveness* -0.13 121 -0.28 1
FIELD POSITION Avg. FP 34.9 11 25 13
FINISHING DRIVES Pts. Per Scoring Opp. 3.62 118 4.64 83
TURNOVERS Expected TO Margin -0.4 86 TO Luck (PPG): 5.7
Actual TO Margin 3 26

As one might expect from the overall stat numbers the Ducks have their work cut out for them. Cal looks scary good on defense and really lucky at turnovers. As good as Cal's defense is their offense is almost the inverse.

The Basics Duck
Offense Rk Defense Rk Offense Rk Defense Rk
RUSHING Rushing marginal efficiency* -4.10% 48 -18.90% 4 PASSING Passing marginal efficiency* 9.20% 15 1.10% 96
Rushing marginal explosiveness* -0.13 83 -0.26 23 Passing marginal explosiveness* 49.00% 16 36.90% 100
Opportunity rate* 48.50% 60 35.80% 13 Passing completion rate* 61.30% 60 56.60% 46
Stuff rate* 15.40% 32 26.30% 20 Sack rate* 5.40% 60 9.40% 22
Offense Rk Defense Rk Offense Rk Defense Rk
STANDARD DOWNS SD marginal efficiency* -2.60% 65 -7.90% 45 PASSING DOWNS PD marginal efficiency* 13.50% 6 -9.00% 31
SD marginal explosiveness* 0.06 69 0.13 86 PD marginal explosiveness* 0.41 21 0.27 103
SD line yards per carry* 2.45 74 1.64 6 PD line yards per carry* 2.26 97 2.09 30
SD sack rate* 8.20% 110 8.50% 26 PD sack rate* 2.00% 12 10.40% 43

The Basics Cal

Offense Rk Defense Rk Offense Rk Defense Rk
RUSHING Rushing marginal efficiency* -9.00% 90 -14.40% 26 PASSING Passing marginal efficiency* -5.00% 105 -11.60% 7
Rushing marginal explosiveness* -0.29 122 -0.48 1 Passing marginal explosiveness* 5.60% 100 -4.30% 22
Opportunity rate* 47.30% 69 45.10% 62 Passing completion rate* 63.60% 42 52.50% 26
Stuff rate* 17.00% 51 23.20% 31 Sack rate* 5.20% 58 5.50% 81
Offense Rk Defense Rk Offense Rk Defense Rk
STANDARD DOWNS SD marginal efficiency* -9.60% 113 -10.60% 24 PASSING DOWNS PD marginal efficiency* -1.50% 55 -17.00% 1
SD marginal explosiveness* -0.17 123 -0.24 2 PD marginal explosiveness* -0.04 84 -0.41 5
SD line yards per carry* 2.42 77 2.36 56 PD line yards per carry* 3.87 9 2.7 74
SD sack rate* 5.00% 75 3.70% 81 PD sack rate* 5.60% 51 8.10% 64

So in case you missed it, our defense is our weakness this year. specifically the passing defense giving up explosive plays. Thankfully this week it doesn't appear Cal can exploit that. not to say they won't try and maybe improve their numbers, but thus far they have not been able to do it.

"Bill Walsh Stats" Ducks

Offense Rk Defense Rk Offense Rk Defense Rk
OPEN PLAY Standard Downs success rate 45.50% 89 36.40% 12 THIRD DOWN Third-and-long percentage 44.10% 34 53.30% 62
Pct. of first downs coming on 1st or 2nd 62.50% 108 67.40% 63 Third-and-short percentage 15.30% 25 10.00% 77
Big-play rate (20+ yards) 12.90% 6 6.70% 64 Third-and-long success rate 46.20% 7 15.60% 18
Avg. third-down distance 6.9 41 7.3 76 Third-and-medium success rate 37.50% 109 36.40% 21
Third down success rate 53.90% 11 28.60% 23 Third-and-short success rate 88.90% 38 83.30% 83
Offense Rk Defense Rk
BACKED UP Backed up success rate 55.60% 36 80.00% 117 Offense Rk Defense Rk
Backed up turnover rate 0.00% 1 0.00% 11 RED ZONE 21- to 30-yard line success rate 43.20% 67 52.90% 107
11- to 20-yard line success rate 50.00% 34 38.90% 69
Offense Rk Defense Rk Inside 10 success rate 57.10% 49 38.50% 32
BLITZ DOWNS Blitz down success rate 46.30% 7 20.00% 23 Inside 10 turnover rate 8.60% 121 0.00% 33
Blitz down big-play rate 22.00% 3 6.70% 52 First-and-goal success rate 57.10% 52 25.00% 13
Blitz down sack rate 5.00% 38 17.10% 18 Goal line success rate 87.50% 31 100.00% 99

"Bill Walsh Stats" Cal

Offense Rk Defense Rk Offense Rk Defense Rk
OPEN PLAY Standard Downs success rate 45.80% 84 42.70% 42 THIRD DOWN Third-and-long percentage 34.00% 7 37.50% 121
Pct. of first downs coming on 1st or 2nd 66.00% 89 65.70% 51 Third-and-short percentage 14.90% 27 14.60% 116
Big-play rate (20+ yards) 3.30% 126 3.00% 7 Third-and-long success rate 25.00% 72 5.60% 1
Avg. third-down distance 5.9 5 5.3 129 Third-and-medium success rate 41.70% 94 21.70% 5
Third down success rate 31.60% 114 23.70% 10 Third-and-short success rate 42.90% 120 85.70% 94
Offense Rk Defense Rk
BACKED UP Backed up success rate 50.00% 40 11.10% 17 Offense Rk Defense Rk
Backed up turnover rate 0.00% 1 0.00% 11 RED ZONE 21- to 30-yard line success rate 42.30% 72 15.80% 3
11- to 20-yard line success rate 30.00% 103 88.90% 130
Offense Rk Defense Rk Inside 10 success rate 88.90% 1 36.40% 26
BLITZ DOWNS Blitz down success rate 33.30% 43 12.50% 5 Inside 10 turnover rate 0.00% 1 0.00% 33
Blitz down big-play rate 3.70% 108 6.30% 45 First-and-goal success rate 100.00% 1 33.30% 31
Blitz down sack rate 0.00% 1 11.50% 53 Goal line success rate 50.00% 89 50.00% 29

Some pretty cool situational stats that I had never seen before. not sure what all to draw from them but like I said they look cool.

Individual Duck Stats

INDIVIDUAL PASSING STATS Player Ht, Wt Year Comp Att Yards TD-INT Comp Rate Yards/Comp Sack Rate Yards/Att. Marg. Eff. Marg. Expl.
Justin Herbert 6'6, 233 JR

72

 114 1186 13-5 63.20% 16.5 5.80% 9.4 10.10% 0.61
Braxton Burmeister 6'1, 206 SO 4 8 27 0-0 50.00% 6.8 0.00% 3.4 -16.50% -0.86
INDIVIDUAL RUSHING STATS Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year
Rushes
 Yards Yards/Carry TD Hlt Yds/Opp Opp Rate Marg. Eff. Marg. Expl. Fum (lost)
CJ Verdell RB 5'9, 201 FR 59 314 5.3 2 4.85 50.90% 3.10% -0.02 1 (1)
Tony Brooks-James RB 5'9, 190 SR 42 200 4.8 3 3.28 54.80% 5.70% -0.03 0 (0)
Travis Dye RB 5'10, 197 FR 26 135 5.2 1 5.55 42.30% -4.20% -0.06 0 (0)
Justin Herbert QB 6'6, 233 JR 20 127 6.4 1 7.36 55.00% 0.50% -0.05 2 (0)
Darrian Felix RB 5'11, 191 SO 14 47 3.4 0 2.43 42.90% -8.40% -0.17 0 (0)
Cyrus Habibi-Likio RB 6'1, 210 FR 7 4 0.6 5 2.8 14.30% 24.10% -0.03 1 (0)
INDIVIDUAL RECEIVING STATS Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year
Targets
 Catches Yards TD Yds/Catch Yds/Target Marg. Eff. Marg. Expl.
Target Rate
Dillon Mitchell WR 6'2, 189 JR 29 20 337 1 16.9 11.6 26.90% 0.23 25.00%
Johnny Johnson III WR 6'0, 197 SO 18 9 168 4 18.7 9.3 9.60% 0.81 15.50%
Jaylon Redd WR 5'8, 178 SO 12 8 135 3 16.9 11.3 15.80% 0.94 10.30%
Jacob Breeland TE 6'5, 248 JR 12 7 131 2 18.7 10.9 -13.00% 1.56 10.30%
Kano Dillon TE 6'5, 265 SR 8 4 47 1 11.8 5.9 -0.80% 0.39 6.90%
CJ Verdell RB 5'9, 201 FR 7 6 94 0 15.7 13.4 31.10% 0.43 6.00%
Brenden Schooler WR 6'2, 193 JR 6 5 38 0 7.6 6.3 8.00% -0.04 5.20%
Tabari Hines WR 5'10, 175 SR 5 3 32 1 10.7 6.4 4.80% 0.8 4.30%
Tony Brooks-James RB 5'9, 190 SR 4 3 73 0 24.3 18.3 39.50% 0.62 3.40%
Taj Griffin RB 5'11, 178 SR 3 2 89 1 44.5 29.7 24.20% 2.91 2.60%
Travis Dye RB 5'10, 197 FR 3 3 21 0 7 7 16.60% -0.14 2.60%
INDIVIDUAL DEFENSIVE STATS (defense-only -- no special teams tackles) Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year
Tackles
 TFLs Sacks Run Stuffs INT (PBU) FF Yards/Play Marg. Eff. Marg. Expl.
Justin Hollins OLB 6'5, 242 SR 19 7.5 4 8 1 (3) 3 1 -10.60% -0.23
Kaulana Apelu ILB 5'10, 208 SR 18 4.5 1.5 5 0 (2) 0 2.8 -17.60% -0.36
Troy Dye ILB 6'4, 224 JR 17 0 0 1 1 (2) 0 5.5 3.10% -0.19
Jalen Jelks DE 6'6, 245 SR 14 4 2.5 5.5 0 (1) 0 0.3 -22.40% -0.3
Ugochukwu Amadi S 5'10, 201 SR 14 2 1.5 4 1 (4) 0 5.6 2.60% -0.33
Thomas Graham Jr. CB 5'11, 191 SO 11 0 0 0 0 (5) 0 17.2 50.00% 0.49
Gary Baker DL 6'3, 310 JR 10.5 1 0 2 0 (0) 0 3 -30.10% 0.27
Austin Faoliu DL 6'3, 285 SO 10.5 0.5 0.5 2 0 (1) 0 2.6 -20.40% -0.59
Jordon Scott DL 6'1, 329 SO 10.5 1.5 0 4 0 (1) 0 1 -29.10% -0.55
Isaac Slade-Matautia ILB 6'1, 220 FR 10 1 0 2 0 (0) 0 7.3 -7.30% 0.37
Deommodore Lenoir CB 5'11, 196 SO 8.5 0 0 0 0 (2) 0 17.1 51.20% 0.12
Nick Pickett S 6'1, 200 SO 7.5 0 0 0.5 0 (1) 0 15.5 28.60% 0.3
Jevon Holland S 6'1, 192 FR 7.5 0 0 0 1 (1) 0 13.7 36.40% 0.29
Drayton Carlberg DL 6'5, 282 JR 5.5 1 1 2.5 0 (0) 0 0.7 -31.80% -0.8
Keith Simms OLB 6'3, 227 SO 5 0 0 0 0 (0) 0 5.8 -1.60% -0.12
La'Mar Winston Jr. OLB 6'2, 233 JR 4 0 0 0.5 0 (0) 0 6.3 12.30% -0.64
Gus Cumberlander DL 6'7, 251 JR 3 2 2 2 0 (0) 0 -2.7 -23.60% NULL
Mattrell McGraw S 5'10, 196 SR 2 0 0 0 0 (0) 0 3 -45.50% NULL
Verone McKinley III CB 5'10, 183 FR 2 0 0 0 0 (0) 0 3 -38.40% NULL
Popo Aumavae DL 6'3, 303 FR 2 1 0 1 0 (0) 0 0.3 -10.50% -0.3

Individual STATS Cal

INDIVIDUAL PASSING STATS Player Ht, Wt Year Comp Att Yards TD-INT Comp Rate Yards/Comp Sack Rate Yards/Att. Marg. Eff. Marg. Expl.
Chase Garbers 6'2, 205 FR 45 66 454 2-Jun 68.20% 10.1 5.70% 6.3 4.00% 0.22
Ross Bowers 6'1, 200 JR 8 17 56 0-0 47.10% 7 10.50% 2.3 -9.20% -0.58
Brandon McIlwain 6'1, 180 SO 10 16 92 Jan-00 62.50% 9.2 0.00% 5.8 3.40% -0.2
INDIVIDUAL RUSHING STATS Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year
Rushes
 Yards Yards/Carry TD Hlt Yds/Opp Opp Rate Marg. Eff. Marg. Expl. Fum (lost)
Patrick Laird RB 6'0, 205 SR 50 147 2.9 1 2.95 30.00% -16.80% -0.06 0 (0)
Brandon McIlwain QB 6'1, 180 SO 23 129 5.6 1 3.54 56.50% 10.20% -0.05 0 (0)
Chase Garbers QB 6'2, 205 FR 21 142 6.8 0 3.79 76.20% 12.00% -0.09 1 (0)
Marcel Dancy RB 5'10, 190 JR 12 82 6.8 1 4.63 66.70% 18.30% -0.08 0 (0)
Christopher Brown Jr. RB 6'1, 220 FR 5 31 6.2 0 7 40.00% -7.70% -0.44 0 (0)
Jeremiah Hawkins WR 5'8, 175 SO 4 27 6.8 0 8.7 50.00% 6.60% -0.33 0 (0)
INDIVIDUAL RECEIVING STATS Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year
Targets
 Catches Yards TD Yds/Catch Yds/Target Marg. Eff. Marg. Expl.
Target Rate
Patrick Laird RB 6'0, 205 SR 20 14 89 2 6.4 4.5 -16.40% 0.13 21.10%
Vic Wharton III WR 5'11, 190 SR 15 11 76 0 6.9 5.1 -7.40% -0.25 15.80%
Kanawai Noa WR 6'0, 185 JR 14 10 108 1 10.8 7.7 11.70% 0.11 14.70%
Jordan Duncan WR 6'1, 205 JR 11 9 127 2 14.1 11.5 19.50% 0.25 11.60%
Jeremiah Hawkins WR 5'8, 175 SO 9 4 54 1 13.5 6 0.70% -0.09 9.50%
Ray Hudson TE 6'3, 245 SR 7 1 9 0 9 1.3 -23.10% -0.86 7.40%
Ian Bunting TE 6'7, 255 SR 5 4 48 0 12 9.6 16.80% 0.34 5.30%
Moe Ways WR 6'4, 220 SR 5 4 45 0 11.3 9 40.50% -0.34 5.30%
Malik McMorris FB 5'11, 290 SR 3 2 8 0 4 2.7 -10.80% -0.15 3.20%
Jake Ashton TE 6'4, 235 SR 1 1 20 1 20 20 61.00% 1.37 1.10%
Marcel Dancy RB 5'10, 190 JR 1 1 14 0 14 14 39.30% 0.1 1.10%
INDIVIDUAL DEFENSIVE STATS (defense-only -- no special teams tackles) Player Pos. Ht, Wt Year
Tackles
 TFLs Sacks Run Stuffs INT (PBU) FF Yards/Play Marg. Eff. Marg. Expl.
Evan Weaver ILB 6'3, 235 JR 32.5 0 0 4.5 0 (4) 0 3.7 -5.50% -0.47
Jordan Kunaszyk ILB 6'3, 235 SR 22.5 1.5 1.5 2.5 0 (0) 0 4.5 5.20% -0.54
Elijah Hicks CB 5'11, 190 SO 8.5 3 0 3 0 (2) 0 4.2 -12.00% -0.53
Ashtyn Davis S 6'1, 190 JR 8.5 0.5 0 1.5 2 (1) 0 14.2 35.90% 0.49
Camryn Bynum CB 6'1, 195 SO 7.5 0 0 0 0 (5) 0 12.1 25.40% 0.13
Zeandae Johnson DE 6'4, 295 JR 7.5 1 1 2 0 (0) 0 2.7 6.70% -0.44
Tevin Paul DE 6'4, 270 SO 7 3 0 3.5 0 (0) 0 0.4 -33.70% 0
Josh Drayden CB 5'10, 185 JR 6.5 0 0 0 0 (1) 0 8.7 27.80% 0.14
Alex Funches OLB 6'2, 240 SR 5 2.5 2 3 0 (0) 1 -0.2 -10.20% -0.7
Traveon Beck CB 5'9, 160 JR 5 0 0 0 1 (1) 0 3 -19.60% -0.56
Siulagisipai Fuimaono NG 6'4, 305 FR 4 1 0 1.5 0 (0) 1 -0.4 -23.00% -0.16
Aaron Maldonado NG 6'3, 295 FR 3.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 0 (0) 0 -0.1 -30.40% -0.24
Chris Palmer NG 6'2, 335 SR 3.5 0 0 0 0 (1) 0 2.7 -22.40% 0
Rusty Becker DE 6'4, 285 SR 3.5 0 0 0.5 0 (0) 0 3.4 -20.40% -0.76
Luc Bequette DE 6'2, 300 JR 3.5 0 0 0 0 (0) 0 2.9 -14.90% -0.44
Evan Tattersall ILB 6'2, 225 FR 3 0 0 1 0 (0) 0 3.3 -14.90% -0.27
Quentin Tartabull S 5'11, 195 SR 3 0 0 0 0 (0) 0 8.7 25.30% -0.43
Cameron Goode OLB 6'3, 225 SO 3 0 0 1 1 (1) 0 1.7 -19.30% -0.57
Jaylinn Hawkins S 6'2, 205 JR 3 0 0 0 3 (1) 0 8.2 12.00% -0.49
Evan Rambo S 6'4, 215 JR 2.5 0 0 0 0 (0) 0 6.8 54.30% -0.33

So any one that wanted a wall of text, well you are in luck. I really wanted to look at the wide out numbers for us so you get to as well.

DUCK PRINTS

OFFENSIVE FOOTPRINT Category Team Rk Nat'l Avg DEFENSIVE FOOTPRINT Category Team Rk Nat'l Avg
Standard Downs run rate* 64.50% 30 59.40% Standard Downs run rate* 54.60% 83 58.90%
Passing Downs run rate* 27.10% 96 34.70% Passing Downs run rate* 33.30% 68 34.70%
Adj. Pace** -3.69 11 0 Overall Havoc Rate 9.10% 62 9.30%
% of Solo Tackles 74.20% 58 72.80% DL Havoc Rate 3.40% 46 2.50%
Havoc Rate Allowed 13.80% 49 15.30% LB Havoc Rate 0.00% 13 0.10%
DB Havoc Rate 5.70% 81 6.70%

PD to INC 50.90% 8 34.90%

CAL PRINTS

OFFENSIVE FOOTPRINT Category Team Rk Nat'l Avg DEFENSIVE FOOTPRINT Category Team Rk Nat'l Avg
Standard Downs run rate* 58.90% 58 59.40% Standard Downs run rate* 50.90% 109 58.90%
Passing Downs run rate* 41.90% 30 34.70% Passing Downs run rate* 41.30% 28 34.70%
Adj. Pace** -0.45 53 0 Overall Havoc Rate 7.40% 88 9.30%
% of Solo Tackles 82.70% 8 72.80% DL Havoc Rate 0.00% 96 2.50%
Havoc Rate Allowed 15.30% 67 15.30% LB Havoc Rate 2.10% 1 0.10%
DB Havoc Rate 5.30% 88 6.70%
PD to INC 51.10% 7 34.90%

looks like Cal does a good job of getting their play makers in one on one position. We don't really do that as much anymore. for most of these it looks like we have a pretty good advantage. Our offense better scheme their linebackers as they seem pretty disruptive.

SPECIAL DUCKS

SPECIAL TEAMS EFFICIENCY RATINGS Category Rate Rk
FG value (per kick) -0.34 100
Punt efficiency 75.00% 21
Kickoff efficiency 87.10% 47
Punt return efficiency 10.00% 124
Kick return efficiency 72.70% 16
PLACE-KICKING Kicker Ht, Wt Year PAT % FG % Net Pts/FG
Zach Emerson 6'2, 214 SO 21-22 95.50% 0-1 0.00% -1.68
Adam Stack 6'2, 182 SO 4-4 100.00% 1-1 100.00% 1
PUNTING Punter Ht, Wt Year Punts Avg. TB FC I20 Opp. Ret-Avg Punt SR
Net Yds/Punt
Blake Maimone 6'6, 227 JR 8 43.4 0 3 1 3 - 2.3 87.50% 42.5
Tom Snee 6'3, 205 FR 8 38.6 0 6 3 62.50% 38.6
KICKOFFS Kicker Ht, Wt Year Kickoffs Avg. TB TB% OOB Opp. Ret-Avg Kickoff SR
Net Yds/Kick
Zach Emerson 6'2, 214 SO 31 62.1 12 38.70% 0 12 - 24.9 87.10% 42.7
PUNT RETURNS Punt Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD FC PR SR
Ugochukwu Amadi 5'10, 201 SR 5 22.2 0 3 100.00%
Travis Dye 5'10, 197 FR 2 6 0 0 100.00%
Dillon Mitchell 6'2, 189 JR 2 5 0 0 50.00%
KICK RETURNS Kick Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD FC KR SR
Tony Brooks-James 5'9, 190 SR 6 22.5 0 0 66.70%
Hunter Kampmoyer 6'4, 262 SO 2 0.5 0 0 100.00%
Travis Dye 5'10, 197 FR 1 18 0 0 0.00%

SPECIAL CAL

SPECIAL TEAMS EFFICIENCY RATINGS Category Rate Rk
FG value (per kick) 0.21 50
Punt efficiency 68.40% 38
Kickoff efficiency 94.10% 17
Punt return efficiency 66.70% 18
Kick return efficiency 70.00% 18
PLACE-KICKING Kicker Ht, Wt Year PAT % FG % Net Pts/FG
Greg Thomas 5'9, 175 JR 12-12 100.00% 2-3 66.70% 0.21
PUNTING Punter Ht, Wt Year Punts Avg. TB FC I20 Opp. Ret-Avg Punt SR
Net Yds/Punt
Steven Coutts 6'4, 220 SR 19 38.9 1 9 8 6 - 4.0 68.40% 34.7
KICKOFFS Kicker Ht, Wt Year Kickoffs Avg. TB TB% OOB Opp. Ret-Avg Kickoff SR
Net Yds/Kick
Chris Landgrebe 6'2, 190 FR 15 63.3 10 66.70% 0 5 - 16.4 93.30% 41.2
Gabe Siemieniec 6'1, 230 SO 2 64 1 50.00% 0 1 - 15.0 100.00% 44
PUNT RETURNS Punt Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD FC PR SR
Vic Wharton III 5'11, 190 SR 8 4.5 0 4 25.00%
Nikko Remigio 5'10, 170 FR 4 12.5 0 0 50.00%
KICK RETURNS Kick Returner Ht, Wt Year Returns Avg. TD FC KR SR
Ashtyn Davis 6'1, 190 JR 6 32.3 1 0 50.00%
Jeremiah Hawkins 5'8, 175 SO 1 30 0 0 100.00%
Malik McMorris 5'11, 290 SR 1 11 0 0 100.00%

So the Ducks punt return and kicking have been awful. Lets just hope this game doesn't come down to special teams.

SO WHAT DOES IT ALL MEAN?

if the ducks had to pick a ranked team to try and face to shake off the demons from last week this is probably the one to pick. Cal does not seem to posses the ability to exploit our Achilles Heel the long explosive pass. I have faith in the offensive staff to solve Cal's Defense like we "solved" Stanford's Defense. I just hope our defense improves this week.

PREDICTION Ducks win 42 -14

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