FanPost

Confirmation Bias - Advanced Stats & Such washington 2021

Troy Wayrynen-USA TODAY Sports

Man the Colorado game was fun to watch the offense. too bad we all knew Colorado's offense would be amazing after firing their offensive line coach. Halloween was super fun this year. My oldest daughter decided she wanted to dress up as Bob the Shark from Shark Week.

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Gotta say I was pretty proud of her. She said none of her friends at school knew who it was. It's ok honey, I know who it is... I know who it is.

ohh, that's right it's HATE WEEK!!!

harry the husky from the twitter feud with The Duck from 2018. For those that don't remember it was a pretty epic twitter battle. Most would agree that The Duck won.

The fuskies "claim" to have invented "the wave" back in 1981, but there is evidence that it actually started first at an Oakland Athletics baseball game in the same year.

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so another Uw false claim to some thing stupid.

Speaking of stupid, Thank you Coach Jimmy Lake.

ON TO THE STATS

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Oregon on Offense washington on Defense

Team TO Margin PPG 3rd Down Efficiency 3rd Down % Yards Per Pass Attempt Yards Per Rush Run Pass %
Oregon Ducks +8(8th) 36.13(23rd) 49/100 49.00% 7.91 5.4 55.94%
washington huskies +1(51st) 18.88(18th) 40/113 35.40% 5.25 4.6 57.89%

washington's pass defense is pretty dang good, but why pass when you can just run the ball over and over.

Oregon on Defense washington on Offense

Team PPG 3rd Down Efficiency 3rd Down % Yards Per Pass Attempt Yards Per Rush Run Pass %
Oregon Ducks 23.3(51st) 53/123 43.09% 6.63 3.5 48.69%
washington huskies 22.75(104th) 50/113 44.25% 7.02 3.6 51.11%

While washington does pretty well on defense, their offense is much much worse. They can't run, but they try to run it a lot.

Advanced statistical rankings and margins

Teams SP+ Overall SP+ Offense SP+ Defense SP+ Specials SP+ Point Spread Sagarin Ranking Sagarin Rating Sagarin Point Spread FEI Rating FEI Offense FEI Defense FPI Raiting FPI Win %
Oregon Ducks 23 13 44 6 Oregon 5.7 15 83.06 Oregon 4.94 19 11 45 20 62.8%
washington huskies 59 75 40 85 30 - 25 45 75.12 43 75 14 51 37.2%
SP+ Oregon Win %
63%

very similar to the raw stats, Oregon is better on offense and our defense is better than washington's offense. So the strength on strength but not really. Oregon's offense is centered around running, washington does not stop the run well.

Individual Stats

Rushing Leaders
Oregon Name Games Attempts Yards Loss Net AVG Touchdowns Long AVG/GM
26 Dye, Travis 8 106 616 7 609 5.7 10 53 76.13
7 Verdell, CJ 5 78 417 11 406 5.2 6 77 81.2
13 Brown, Anthony 8 80 433 68 365 4.6 6 43 45.63
washington
5 McGrew, Sean 6 92 397 14 383 4.2 6 39 63.83
24 Pleasant, Kamari 7 40 261 2 259 6.5 0 32 37
22 Davis, Cameron 8 50 203 9 194 3.9 1 22 24.25
Passing Leaders
Oregon Name Games Rating Completion ATT INT % Yards TD Long AVG/GM
13 Brown, Anthony 8 145.23 143 221 3 64.71% 1797 10 66 224.63
17 Thompson, Ty 3 126.05 7 15 1 46.67% 87 2 54 29
washington
9 Morris, Dylan 8 128.23 156 256 8 60.94% 1809 11 51 226.13
7 Huard, Sam 2 76.73 2 6 0 33.33% 31 0 23 15.5
Oregon Name Games Catches Yards AVG TD's Long AVG/GM
2 Williams, Devon 7 18 290 16.11 1 32 41.43
26 Dye, Travis 8 24 264 11 1 39 33
3 Johnson III, Johnny 8 21 255 12.14 1 32 31.88
4 Pittman, Mycah 8 12 197 16.42 0 66 24.63
washington
1 Bynum, Terrell 7 25 427 17.08 4 51 61
11 McMillan, Jalen 7 27 392 14.52 3 39 56
17 Davis, Taj 7 21 270 12.86 1 39 38.57
87 Otton, Cade 6 20 194 9.7 1 25 32.33

So What Does It All Mean?

dub down, Oregon runs all day. washington's terrible offense can't keep up and it snowballs in the second half

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Huge Win Oregon 52 - washington 19

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